WHAT About the Stats? - a podcast by SB Nation

This week’s WHAT podcast features a hypothetical playoff scenario (that the Blazers would win), who would be the best retired Trail Blazer to have on the broadcast team, and what should Santa bring for the team this season? Then  Tara and Cassidy are joined by Anna Jane Smith of Raptors Twitter for a tutorial on getting started with basketball statistics.  0:45 Come to the Blazers WHAT meetup watch party!5:45 If the playoffs started today. (which has already changed) the Blazers would play OKC, how do you think the Blazers would do in a seven game series against them? 8:45 Which former Blazer would you like to have as a broadcaster 10:30 A bit about Clyde Drexler on Dancing with the Stars12:00 What should the Blazers ask santa for this year?  16:30 How do you watch a game? 19:30 Introducing Anna Jane Smith how she got into basketball.21:45 Helpful stats for evaluating individual players? Simplest stats are often the best. 23:30 In real time you often see what you expect to see. Sometimes it takes watching a second 25:15 time to figure out what is really going on.25:30 What do you look at to figure out what is going on with a player vs what is going on with a team? Look at lineup data. What combinations are working and what combinations are not working? 27:45 Regularized Adjusted Plus Minus adjusts for teammate quality and opponent quality.32:15 Jacob Goldstein's Player Impact Plus Minus, Luck adjustment. 34:00 Defenses used to have less control over 3-point make rates, but that is changing as teams are learning how to be more effective guarding against the 3-point shot. 36:00 Would you prefer your team take more 3-pointers with a lower success rate or a fewer 3-pointers with better accuracy?39:30 Do you think the league might use stats to make policy changes? 44:30 We can use numbers to bust through narratives a bit, to check assumptions about what we think is going on.  49:30 Some basics to get us started. Player Impact Estimate (PIE) from nba.com, watch for productivity vs impact stats, Cranjis McBasketball for Points Over Expectation (tutorial),ESPN’s Real Plus Minus, Player Impact Plus Minus,  BBall INdex, Basketball Reference, NBA.com  53:45 Writers to follow: Jacob Goldstein, Jeremias Englemann, Cranjis McBasketball56:45 Follow Anna on twitter @AnnaJaneSmith4 57:15 Just kidding, not really done! When is a sample size not small anymore?  And don't forget to pull the Phoenix game (or Bulls) stats out!
Music used in the episode: "Happy Alley" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com) Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 3.0 License
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