Disconnect Between the Stock Market and the Economy? - a podcast by Derek Moore

Why doesn’t the stock market and economy both go up or down with one another at the same time? How is the market a forward-looking discounting mechanism? How do recessions and earnings expectations play into underlying price of the S&P 500 Index?

 

Atlanta Fed GDP Now 

Comparing historical recessions by examining real GDP declines

Great Depression vs. Financial Crisis vs 2020 Covid19 Recession

Looking at consensus S&P 500 Index earnings forecasts 2020, 2021, and 2022

How the market does not go up or down equal to change in GDP

Are there times that companies write down or take charges to earnings during recessions

Uncertainty of S&P 500 Index earnings estimates

Intrinsic value of future earnings 

How interest rates effect valuations

 

Mentioned  in  this  Episode:

 

Atlanta Fed GDP Nowcast https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?panel=3

 

JP Morgan on the Markets Guide PDF https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/gim/protected/adv/insights/guide-to-the-markets

 

Percent Change Gross Domestic Product Quarterly https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPGDPAI

 

Free Chapter from my book Broken Pie Chart https://www.book2look.com/book/YcqUhbCrtN

 

Resource for S&P 500 Index consensus earnings estimates https://www.yardeni.com/pub/yriearningsforecast.pdf

 

Book Jeremy Seigel Stocks for the Long Run https://amzn.to/3el67tO

 

Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr

 

Contact Derek www.razorwealth.com

Further episodes of Broken Pie Chart

Further podcasts by Derek Moore

Website of Derek Moore