Market Corrections | Returns Around Geopolitical Events - a podcast by Derek Moore

Derek Moore relays how markets have done historically around geopolitical events. Plus, how being hedged allows investors to stay in the market. Interesting stats on markets 1-year later after drawdowns. It may surprise you. What the latest Russia/Ukraine situation means for inflation and interest rates.

 

How markets perform around geopolitical events

Does the Russia conflict increase inflation risks?

Will the Fed raise interest rates less in 2022 now?

Energy prices and inflation

Commodities rallied in the short term

After corrections how do markets do a year later?

What percentage of corrections turn into bear markets?

Market corrections vs bear markets

Historical market returns after worst days, 3-months a year later

Probability of Fed ¼ point vs ½ point rate hikes

 

Mentioned in this Episode:

 

Contact Derek Moore derek.moore@zegafinancial.com

 

Derek Moore’s Book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547?ref_=nav_signin&

 

Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast https://www.clevelandfed.org/our-research/indicators-and-data/inflation-nowcasting.aspx

 

Atlanta Fed GDP Now https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow

 

JP Morgan Guide to the markets https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/protected/adv/insights/market-insights/guide-to-the-markets/

 

Fed Rate Probability Tool https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

 

CNN Business analysis on inflation with higher oil prices due to Russia Ukraine conflicthttps://www.cnn.com/2022/02/15/economy/russia-ukraine-inflation/index.html)

 

Mohamed El-Erian from Allianz discusses impact of Russian Ukraine conflict on 2022 Fed interest rate moves https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yh-RKSbS_hI&t=22s

 

Schwab market correction article showing corrections and bear markets since 1974 https://www.schwab.com/resource-center/insights/content/market-correction-what-does-it-mean

 

Table with market shock events and stock market performance historical https://www.investopedia.com/solving-the-war-puzzle-4780889

Further episodes of Broken Pie Chart

Further podcasts by Derek Moore

Website of Derek Moore