Podcasts by Center for Advanced Studies (CAS) Research Focus Forecasting Politics (LMU)
Forecasting encompasses the analysis and application of methods to determine future developments or events. In contrast to planning, which is concerned with what the future should look like, forecasting is concerned with what the future will be like. The quality of political and managerial decision-making depends on reliable forecasts of future developments such as economic growth, unemployment, and birth rates, the demand of alternative technologies and public transportation, or variations in global temperature. Thus, forecasting helps to evaluate different plans and is a prerequisite for shaping the future.
Further podcasts by Center for Advanced Studies (CAS)
Podcast on the topic Kunst
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Prognosen der Bundestagswahl 2013 from 2013-09-16T19:00
Seit 2004 demonstriert das PollyVote-Projekt, dass sich durch Kombination von Vorhersagen unterschiedlicher Prognosemethoden die Ergebnisse von U.S. Präsidentschaftswahlen mit hoher Genauigkeit vor...
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Can Science Improve Advertising? from 2013-09-12T20:00
To this day, advertising experts have difficulty in predicting the effectiveness of advertisements. The reason is that advertising is complex and involves much uncertainty. In such situations peopl...
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Schwerpunktportrait from 2013-07-17T00:00
Das Forschungsfeld "Forecasting" beschäftigt sich mit der Analyse und Anwendung von Methoden zur Vorhersage künftiger Entwicklungen und Ereignisse. Im Gegensatz zur Planung geht es beim Forecasting...
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The Right Look from 2013-07-15T19:15
Panu Poutvaara shows in his talk the correlation between facial appearance and success. This plays also an important role in political elections. This lecture is part of the CAS Research Focus "For...
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Wer gewinnt die US-Präsidentschaftswahlen? from 2012-10-29T00:00
Die Kombination von Vorhersagen, die auf unterschiedlichen Methoden und Daten beruhen, ist einer der einfachsten und effektivsten Ansätze zur Erstellung verlässlicher Prognosen. Das Projekt "PollyV...
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