Why is it so hard to predict the outcome of competitions like the Premier League? - a podcast by BBC Radio 4

Football competitions are kicking off all around Europe in the coming days and weeks, including the world’s most watched division: The English Premier League. We might make our predictions on who we think is going to win a sporting competition but what factors are we considering?
In this programme we look at some of the most popular variables that are taken into account when making sporting predictions and why even these have drawbacks. From upcoming football leagues to the Olympic Games, Head Analyst from Nielsen Gracenote, Simon Gleave tells us what are some of the most difficult sports to predict and why.

Presenter: Paul Connolly
Producer: Natasha Fernandes
Editor: Richard Vadon
Production Co-ordinators: Debbie Richford and Janet Staples
Sound Engineer: Graham Puddifoot

Image: Premier League Trophy, Credit: Carl Recine/Reuters

Further episodes of More or Less: Behind the Stats

Further podcasts by BBC Radio 4

Website of BBC Radio 4