NASCAR DFS Course and Picks - a podcast by David S McIvor, Kurtis Little

By David S McIvor               @SemiProDFS                July19th 2020

 

Oof.

 I’m going to try and wash that disgusting UFC betting performance taste out of my mouth and hit up some SOUTHERN COMFORT with the NASCAR O’reilly Auto Parts 500

And Around and Around we go!

                                              

                              TRACK HISTORY AND STORYLINES

Texas Motor Speedway is a 1.5 mile tri-oval that has been in the cup series since 1997. Ford holds the title for most manufacturer wins but has been kept from Victory Lane the last 5 years. The last time we seen a Ford win was Joey Logano in 2014. Since then we’ve two racers win twice, Jimmie Johnson(2015 and 2017 In Chevrolet) and Kyle Busch(2016 and 2018 In Toyota) with a Denny Hamlin(Toyota) win last year.

Kevin Harvick will be starting his 700th NASCAR Cup Series race.

Out of the Six 1.5 mile tracks we have raced this year; six different drivers have won.

 

                                          DFS STRATEGY

When it comes to NASCAR DFS, placement position prior to race to the finish of the race is absolutely the biggest thing to look at(Place Differential). Unless you know who is going to win(which you fucking don’t) it is always safer to scan through the top drivers and see who has a lower starting position. Other last weeks Cole Custer win, It does always seem to be the elite drivers, race teams, and crew, that end up top 5. With the new COVID rules depicting starting grid by number draw, this has been the best time to find that all start driver at dipped qualifying start. Another strategy I use is to never go below $6,000 range for drivers… they are down there for a reason.

 

                                                DRIVER PICKS  

 

Obviously Joey Logano(9.5k-DK) starting 9th. His resume at Texas is excellent. Take away last years 17th, he’s was 6th in 2018, 3rd in 2017 and 2016, and 4th in 2015 + the Win 2014. Also one of the racers to win at a 1.5 mile track earlier this year (Las Vegas)

Next is Jimmie Johnson(9k-DK). Continuing to underperform during his retirement tour, I feel is due for a Victory Lane at a familiar place. Winner here twice, I feel like it could be a spot after a terrible All-star race to interject himself into the top 10. Especially starting 20th.

Erik Jones(8.6k-DK) is riding back to back 4th finishes and drives a pesky Toyota, add his 23rd starting spot and as long as he can avoid slamming into the wall or other drivers; I can see massive upside.

Clint Bowyer(7.7k-DK) as a 17th starting option and another Ford to break the winless streak.

My Value play of the day is going to be Austin Dillon(6.9k-DK) starting 21st who doesn’t always seem to pop but is always viable for a top 15 finish.

 

Good Luck in Texas today *BOOGEDY*

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