Podcasts by Astral Codex Ten Podcast

The official audio version of Astral Codex Ten, with an archive of posts from Slate Star Codex. It's just me reading Scott Alexander's blog posts.

Further podcasts by Jeremiah

Podcast on the topic Technologie

All episodes

Links For November 2023 from 2023-12-04T22:02

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each link. On average, commenters will end up spotting evidence that around two or three of the links in each links post are wrong or misleading. ...

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Contra DeBoer On Movement Shell Games from 2023-12-04T22:01

"Lots of alcoholics want to quit in principle, but only some join AA"

Followup to: Listen

In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruism from 2023-12-01T11:42

"All you do is cause boardroom drama, and maybe some other things I’m forgetting..."

I.

Search “effective altruism” on social media right now, a...
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God Help Us, Let's Try To Understand AI Monosemanticity from 2023-12-01T11:34

Inside every AI is a bigger AI, trying to get out

You’ve probably heard AI is a “black box”. No one knows how it works. Researchers simulate a weird type of pseudo-neur...
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Book Review: I See Satan Fall Like Lightning from 2023-11-23T11:55

The phrase “I see Satan fall like lightning” comes from Luke 10:18. I’d previously encountered it on insane right-wing conspiracy theory websites. You can rephrase it as “I see Satan descend to ...
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Does Anaesthesia Prove Ketamine Placebo? from 2023-11-20T04:39

The psychiatric study everyone’s talking about this month is ”Randomized trial of ketamine masked by surgical anesth...
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Followup: Quests And Requests from 2023-11-20T04:33

Thanks to everyone who commented on Qu...
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Hardball Questions For The Next Debate from 2023-11-16T09:16

[previously in series: 2016, Listen

Highlights From The Comments On Kidney Donation from 2023-11-16T09:02

[original post: My Left Kidney]

1: Comments From People Who Are Against This Sort Of Thing<...
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Quests And Requests from 2023-11-14T11:05

Projects that need incubating

I’ll be starting a new round of ACX Grants sometime soon. I can’t guarantee I’ll fund all these projects - some of them are more like vani...
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Dictator Book Club: Chavez from 2023-11-09T14:13

Review of Rory Carroll's "Comandante"

[previously in series: Erdogan, Listen

Mantic Monday 10/30/23 from 2023-11-07T04:14

Manifest || Manifold.Love || Eyeless in Gaza

Last month, the Lighthaven convention center in Berkeley hosted Manifest, the first conference for prediction market enthus...
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My Left Kidney from 2023-10-28T08:04

A person has two kidneys; one advises him to do good and one advises him to do evil. And it stands to reason that the one advising him to do good is to his right and the one tha...
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Impact Market Mini-Grants Results from 2023-10-18T03:47

Last March we (ACX and Manifold Markets) did a test run...
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Pause For Thought: The AI Pause Debate from 2023-10-09T04:41

Last month, Ben West of the Center for Effective Altruism Listen

How Are The Gay Younger Brothers Doing? from 2023-10-09T04:40

In the 1990s, Blanchard and Bogaert proposed Listen

Links For September 2023 from 2023-10-05T00:51

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each link. On average, commenters will end up spotting evidence that around two or three of the links in each links post are wrong or misleading. ...
Listen

Book Review: The Alexander Romance from 2023-09-28T04:52

[if this looks familiar to you, see explanation here]

Sometimes scholars go on a search ...
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Highlights From The Comments On Elon Musk from 2023-09-22T02:17

[original post: Book Review: Elon Musk]

1: Comments From People With Personal Exper...
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Book Review Contest 2023 Winners from 2023-09-22T02:16

Thanks to everyone who entered or voted in the book review contest. The winners are:

1st: Listen

Book Review: Elon Musk from 2023-09-22T02:15

Not the new one, sorry

This isn’t the new Musk biography everyone’s talking about. This is the 2015 Musk biography by Ashlee Vance...
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Highlights From The Comments On Last Week's Model Cities Post from 2023-09-12T06:35

Comments On The Solano County City

Ecorche Listen

Vote In The 2023 Book Review Contest from 2023-09-12T06:31

If you’ve read the finalists of this year’s book review contest, vote for your favorite here. Voting will stay open unti...
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Contra Kirkegaard On Evolutionary Definitions Of Mental Illness from 2023-09-12T06:25

Emil Kirkegaard proposes a semi-objective definition of “mental illness”.

He’s partly respond...
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Model City Monday 9/4/23: California Dreamin' from 2023-09-09T04:19

Tech moguls plan new city in Solano County

Guardian: Listen

My Presidential Platform from 2023-09-09T04:19

The American people deserve a choice. They deserve a candidate who will reject the failed policies of the past and embrace the failed policies of the future. It is my honor to announce I am thro...
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Your Book Review: Zuozhuan from 2023-09-05T05:46

Finalist #16 in the Book Review Contest

To tell the story of the fall of a realm, it’s best to start with its rise.

More th...
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Here's Why Automaticity Is Real Actually from 2023-09-05T05:45

“Literal Banana” on Carcinization writes Against Automaticity, which they describe as:
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Highlights From The Comments On Fetishes from 2023-09-05T05:41

Original post: What C...
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Mantic Monday 8/28/23 from 2023-09-02T07:42

Superconductor autopsy -- Prediction mutual funds -- Flight delays

Sorry guys, Listen

Your Book Review: Why Nations Fail from 2023-09-02T07:39

Finalist #15 in the Book Review Contest

Listen

Meetups Everywhere 2023: Times&Places from 2023-08-30T09:38

Thanks to everyone who responded to my request for ACX meetup organizers. Volunteers have arranged meetups in 169 cities around the world, from Baghdad to Bangalore to Buenos Aires.

You c...
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Highlights From The Comments On Dating Preferences from 2023-08-30T09:36

Original post here. And I forgot to highlight a link to t...
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More Thoughts On Critical Windows from 2023-08-30T09:33

On the fetish post, I discussed people who had some early sexual experience - like seeing a sexy cart...
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Critical Periods For Language: Much More Than You Wanted To Know from 2023-08-30T09:31

Scott Young writes about Seven Expert Opinions I Agree With That Most People Don’t. I like most of them, but #...
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What Can Fetish Research Tell Us About AI? from 2023-08-30T09:28

Epistemic status: Ha ha, only serious...

Arguing about gender is like taking OxyConti...
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Your Book Review: The Mind Of A Bee from 2023-08-24T04:25

[This is one of the finalists in the 2023 book review contest, written by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after voting is done. I’ll be posting about one of these a week for se...
Listen

Bride Of Bay Area House Party from 2023-08-20T13:59

[previously in series: 1, Listen

In Defense Of Describable Dating Preferences from 2023-08-20T13:49

The New York Times has an article on “dating docs”. These are a local phenomenon - I think an ex of mine might have been Patient Zero. I d...
Listen

Your Book Review: The Weirdest People in the World from 2023-08-20T13:42

Finalist #13 in the Book Review Contest

[This is one of the finalists in the 2023 book review contest, written by an ACX reade...
Listen

Highlights From The Comments On Putin from 2023-08-18T14:35

[original post: Dictator Book Club: Putin]

Table of Contents:

Listen

Links for August 2023 from 2023-08-18T14:26

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each link. On average, commenters will end up spotting evidenc...
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Your Book Review: The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich from 2023-08-12T09:27

[This is one of the finalists in the 2023 book review contest, written by an ACX reader who will remain an...
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More Memorable Passages From "The Man Without A Face" from 2023-08-12T08:00

Actual serious review here, Amazon link to the book here. T...
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Dictator Book Club: Putin from 2023-08-09T13:08

Review of Masha Gessen's "The Man Without A Face"

[previously in series: Listen

Meetups Everywhere Fall 2023 - Call For Organizers from 2023-08-09T13:05

You can find the meetup organizer volunteer form here. If you want to know if anyone has signed up to run a meetup for your city, you can...
Listen

Mantic Monday 7/31/23: Room Temperature Superforecaster from 2023-08-04T07:01

Plus more CFTC, X, and UFOs

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-7...
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Your Book Review: On the Marble Cliffs from 2023-08-04T06:59

Finalist #11 in the Book Review Contest

[This is one of the finalists in the 2023 book review contest, written by an ACX reade...
Listen

Bad Definitions Of "Democracy" And "Accountability" Shade Into Totalitarianism from 2023-08-04T06:56

Suppose there’s freedom of religion: everyone can choose what religion to practice. Is there some sense in which this is “undemocratic”? Would it be more “democratic” if the democratically-elect...
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Highlights From The Comments On Social Model Of Disability from 2023-08-01T14:18

[original post: Contra The Social Model Of Disability]

Listen

We're Not Platonists, We've Just Learned The Bitter Lesson from 2023-07-30T11:50

Machine Alignment Monday, 7/24/23

Intelligence explosion arguments don’t require Platonism. They just require intelligence to exist in the normal fuzzy way that all conce...
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Your Book Review: The Laws of Trading from 2023-07-30T11:34

[This is one of the finalists in the 2023 book review contest, written by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after voting is done. I’ll be posting about one of these a week for se...
Listen

Highlights From The Comments On British Economic Decline from 2023-07-30T11:32

People are talking about British economic decline.

Not just the decline from bestriding the world in the 19th century to today. A more recent, more profound decline, starting in the early...
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The Extinction Tournament from 2023-07-25T13:22

This month’s big news in forecasting: the Forecasting Research Institute has Listen

Contra The xAI Alignment Plan from 2023-07-20T11:55

Elon Musk has a new AI company, xAI. I appreciate that he seems very concerned about alignment. From Listen

Your Book Review: The Educated Mind from 2023-07-20T11:35

[This is one of the finalists in the 2023 book review contest, written by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after voting is done. I’ll be posting about one of these a week for se...
Listen

Contra The Social Model Of Disability from 2023-07-17T06:56

What is the Social Model Of Disability? I’ll let its proponents describe it in their own words (emphases and line breaks mine)

Listen

Why Match School And Student Rank? from 2023-07-14T00:44

Matt Yglesias’ five-year old son asks: why do we send the top students to the best colleges? Why not send the...
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Your Book Review: Secret Government from 2023-07-13T11:30

Finalist #8 in the Book Review Contest

[This is one of the finalists in the 2023 book review contest, written by an ACX reader...
Listen

Links For July 2023 from 2023-07-13T11:24

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each link. On average, commenters will end up spotting evidence that around two or three of the links in each links post are wrong or misleading. ...
Listen

Tales Of Takeover In CCF-World from 2023-07-13T08:26

Machine Alignment Monday, 7/3/2023

Tom Davidson...
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Your Book Review: Safe Enough? from 2023-07-06T14:25

[This is one of the finalists in the 2023 book review contest, written by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after voting is done. I’ll be posting about one of these a week for se...
Listen

Is There An Illusion Of Moral Decline? from 2023-07-06T14:21

[Epistemic status: very uncertain about Part II; more convinced about Part III]

I.

This is the big question in the paper du jour, Listen

Sure, Whatever, Let's Try Another Contra Caplan On Mental Illness from 2023-07-02T12:30

I.

Bryan Caplan thinks he’s debating me about mental illness. He’s not. Sometimes he posts some thoughts he has been having about mental illness, with or without a senten...
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Every Flashing Element On Your Site Alienates And Enrages Users from 2023-07-01T02:40

Warning: This post might give vulnerable people new sensory sensitivities

Listen

"Through A Glass Darkly" In Asterisk Magazine from 2023-07-01T02:37

(Includes full article narration.)

I have an article summarizing attempts to forecast AI progress, including a five year check-in on the predictions in Listen

Your Book Review: Public Citizens from 2023-06-30T13:27

[This is one of the finalists in the 2023 book review contest, written by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after voting is done. I’ll be posting about one of these a week for se...
Listen

Davidson On Takeoff Speeds from 2023-06-25T13:05

Machine Alignment Monday 6/19/23

The face of Mt. Everest is gradual and continuous; for each point on the mountain, the points 1 mm away aren’t too much higher or lower...
Listen

Your Book Review: Njal’s Saga from 2023-06-23T14:47

Finalist #5 in the Book Review Contest

Listen

Your Incentives Are Not The Same As Media Companies' from 2023-06-18T03:23

Unfortunately I hate many of you.

Only the ones with Twitter accounts. If you don’t have one of those, you’re fine. But if you do have one, there’s a good chance you said something which ...
Listen

The Canal Papers from 2023-06-18T02:31

You know all the stuff we’ve been talking about here the past few years...
Listen

Your Book Review: Man’s Search for Meaning from 2023-06-14T07:03

Finalist #4 in the Book Review Contest

[This is one of the finalists in the 2023 book review contest, written by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after...
Listen

Attempts To Put Statistics In Context, Put Into Context from 2023-06-09T07:48

Sometimes people do a study and find that a particular correlation is r = 0.2, or a particular effect size is d = 1.1. Then an article tries to “put this in context”. “The study found r = 0.2, w...
Listen

Highlights From The Comments On The Academic Job Market from 2023-06-09T07:30

Original post: Why Is The Academic Job Market So Weird?

Listen

Your Book Review: Why Machines Will Never Rule the World from 2023-06-04T13:27

Finalist #3 in the Book Review Contest

[This is one of the finalists in the 2023 book review contest, written by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after...
Listen

Links For May 2023 from 2023-06-04T13:25

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-may-2023

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each link....
Listen

All Medications Are Insignificant In The Eyes Of God And Traditional Effect Size Criteria from 2023-06-04T13:23

In this post, the author suggests that the standard metrics for assessing the efficacy of medications, especially antidepressants, may be flawed and restrictive, indicating that if these stringe...
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Are Woo Non-Responders Defective? from 2023-06-04T13:12

This post explores the differing responses to alternative wellness practices, suggesting various explanations, and highlights the challenge of discerning whether certain behaviors, such as drug ...
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Your Book Review: Lying for Money from 2023-06-02T01:31

[This is one of the finalists in the 2023 book review contest, written by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after voting is done. I’ll be posting about one of these a week for se...
Listen

Hypergamy: Much More Than You Wanted To Know from 2023-05-27T11:58

“Female hypergamy” (from now on, just “hypergamy”) is a supposed tendency for women to seek husbands who are higher-status than themselves. Arguing about educational hypergamy (women seeking hus...
Listen

Mantic Monday 5/22/23 from 2023-05-25T10:50

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-52223

Whales v. Minnows // US v. Itself // E...
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Your Book Review: Cities And The Wealth Of Nations/The Question Of Separatism from 2023-05-21T13:19

[This is one of the finalists in the 2023 book review contest, written by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after voting is done. I’ll be posting about one of these a week for se...
Listen

Why Is The Academic Job Market So Weird? from 2023-05-19T07:31

Bret Devereaux writes Listen

Galton, Ehrlich, Buck - An exploding generational bomb from 2023-05-19T07:28

Adam Mastroianni has a great review of Listen

Highlights From The Comments On Long COVID And Bisexuality from 2023-05-17T06:21

Table of Contents

1. Summary Of Best Comments And Overall Updates
2. Comments Proposing Explanations Based On Response Patterns Listen

Highlights From The Comments On Housing Density And Prices from 2023-05-14T12:10

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-housing

Table O...
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Constitutional AI: RLHF On Steroids from 2023-05-12T23:51

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/constitutional-ai-rlhf-on-steroids

A Machi...
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Raise Your Threshold For Accusing People Of Faking Bisexuality from 2023-05-10T12:58

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/raise-your-threshold-for-accusing

I.

...
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Replication Attempt: Bisexuality And Long COVID from 2023-05-10T12:56

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/replication-attempt-bisexuality-and

I learned from Listen

Change My Mind: Density Increases Local But Decreases Global Prices from 2023-05-08T23:18

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/change-my-mind-density-increases

Matt Yglesias Listen

Highlights From The Comments On Nerds And Hipsters from 2023-05-04T02:41

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-nerds

Table of co...
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Mantic Monday 4/24/23 from 2023-04-29T06:01

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-42423<...
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Links For April 2023 from 2023-04-29T05:53

Listen

Contra Kriss On Nerds And Hipsters from 2023-04-22T04:57

Sam Kriss has a post on nerds and hipsters. I think he gets the hipsters right, but bungles the nerds.

Hipster...
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[CLASSIC POST] Book Review: The Hungry Brain from 2023-04-22T04:52

[Content note: food, dieting, obesity]

I.

Listen

Highlights From The Comments On IRBs from 2023-04-21T13:32

Table of Contents

1: Comments From The Author Of The Book
2: Stories From People In The Trenches
3: Stories From People In Other Industries...
Listen

Book Review: From Oversight To Overkill from 2023-04-14T03:43

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-from-oversight-to-overkill

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Spring Meetups Everywhere 2023 from 2023-04-14T03:38

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/spring-meetups-everywhere-2023

Many cities have regular Astral C...
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Book Review: The Arctic Hysterias from 2023-04-09T06:36

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-the-arctic-hysterias

I.

St...
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Most Technologies Aren't Races from 2023-04-09T06:34

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/most-technologies-arent-races

[Disclaimer: I’m not an AI poli...
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Highlights From The Comments On Telemedicine Regulations from 2023-04-09T06:33

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-telemedicine

[...
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MR Tries The Safe Uncertainty Fallacy from 2023-04-04T12:49

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mr-tries-the-safe-uncertainty-fallacy

The Safe Uncertaint...
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The Government Is Making Telemedicine Hard And Inconvenient Again from 2023-04-04T12:47

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-government-is-making-telemedicine

[I’m writing th...
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Turing Test from 2023-03-30T12:19

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/turing-test

The year is 2028, and this is Turing Test!, the ga...
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Half An Hour Before Dawn In San Francisco from 2023-03-25T08:34

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/half-an-hour-before-dawn-in-san-francisco

I try to av...
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Why Do Transgender People Report Hypermobile Joints? from 2023-03-25T08:32

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/why-do-transgender-people-report

[Related: Listen

Why I Am Not (As Much Of) A Doomer (As Some People) from 2023-03-25T08:27

Machine Alignment Monday 3/13/23

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/why-i-am-not-a...
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Links For March 2023 from 2023-03-25T08:25

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-march-2023

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each l...
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Give Up Seventy Percent Of The Way Through The Hyperstitious Slur Cascade from 2023-03-09T16:14

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/give-up-seventy-percent-of-the-way

...
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Issue Two Of Asterisk from 2023-03-09T16:12

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/issue-two-of-asterisk

…the new-ish rationalist / effective altruist magazi...
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Kelly Bets On Civilization from 2023-03-09T16:10

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/kelly-bets-on-civilization

Scott Aaronson Listen

Impact Market Mini-Grants Update from 2023-03-09T16:09

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/impact-market-mini-grants-update

Listen

Against Ice Age Civilizations from 2023-03-09T16:08

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/against-ice-age-civilizations

There’s a good debate about this Listen

OpenAI's "Planning For AGI And Beyond" from 2023-03-06T20:27

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/openais-planning-for-agi-and-beyond

Listen

Highlights From The Comments On Geography Of Madness from 2023-03-05T18:06

Plus: A case for culture-bound mental disorder skepticism

https://astralcode...
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Announcing Forecasting Impact Mini-Grants from 2023-03-05T18:05

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/announcing-forecasting-impact-mini

I still dream of running ...
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Book Review: The Geography Of Madness from 2023-03-04T13:22

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-the-geography-of-madness

Around the wide world...
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Grading My 2018 Predictions For 2023 from 2023-03-04T13:20

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/grading-my-2018-predictions-for-2023

To celebrate the fift...
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Declining Sperm Count: Much More Than You Wanted To Know from 2023-02-18T00:32

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/de...
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Trying Again On Fideism from 2023-02-17T10:14

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/trying-again-on-fideism

[apologies for an issue encountered when sen...
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Contra Kavanagh On Fideism from 2023-02-15T02:39

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/contra-kavanaugh-on-fideism

Listen

Ro-mantic Monday 2/13/23 from 2023-02-15T02:35

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/ro-mantic-monday-21323

In honor of Valentine’s Day, this installment of M...
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Links For February 2023 from 2023-02-13T14:44

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-february-2023

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified ...
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Crowds Are Wise (And One's A Crowd) from 2023-02-07T23:53

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/crowds-are-wise-and-ones-a-crowd

The long ro...
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Mostly Skeptical Thoughts On The Chatbot Propaganda Apocalypse from 2023-02-07T23:51

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mostly-skeptical-thoughts-on-the

People worry about chatbot pr...
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Book Review Contest Rules 2023 from 2023-02-03T16:40

Basically the same as 2022 - this is just a reminder to start working on entries

https:...
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Response To Alexandros Contra Me On Ivermectin from 2023-02-03T16:26

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/response-to-alexandros-contra-me

I.

In...
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Mantic Monday 1/30/2023 from 2023-02-01T05:26

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-1302023

One million Metaculi, fake stocks,...
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Janus' Simulators from 2023-01-29T12:10

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/janus-simulators

This post isn’t exactly about AI. But the first three parts wi...
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You Don't Want A Purely Biological, Apolitical Taxonomy Of Mental Disorders from 2023-01-26T22:51

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/you-dont-want-a-purely-biological

CONTENT NOTE: Listen

Who Predicted 2022? from 2023-01-26T22:50

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/who-predicted-2022

Winners and takeaways from last year's p...
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ACX Survey Results 2022 from 2023-01-22T22:51

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/acx-survey-res...
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Which Political Victories Cause Backlash? from 2023-01-22T22:49

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/which-political-victories-cause-backlash

Four years ag...
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SSC Survey Results On Schooling Types from 2023-01-19T06:07

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/ssc-survey-results-on-schooling-types

Taken from the Listen

2023 Subscription Drive + Free Unlocked Posts from 2023-01-18T02:03

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-subscription-drive-free-unlocked

Listen

Conspiracies of Cognition, Conspiracies Of Emotion from 2023-01-18T01:57

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/conspiracies-of-cognition-conspiracies

I. Listen

Highlights From The Comments On The Media Very Rarely Lying from 2023-01-17T16:42

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-the-061

Originally: Listen

Stage 2 Of Prediction Contest from 2023-01-11T05:13

Thanks to the 3295 of you who participated in Stage 1 of the 2023 Prediction Contest (“Blind Mode”). This is now closed. You ...
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Even More Bay Area House Party from 2023-01-11T05:09

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/even-more-bay-area-house-party

[Previously: Listen

How Do AIs' Political Opinions Change As They Get Smarter And Better-Trained? from 2023-01-11T05:07

Future Matrioshka brains will be pro-immigration Buddhist gun nuts.

https://astra...
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Take The 2022 ACX Survey! from 2023-01-03T04:59

Each year, I post a reader survey. This helps me learn who’s reading this blog. But it also helps me try to replicate a bunch...
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Sorry, I Still Think I Am Right About The Media Very Rarely Lying from 2023-01-03T04:56

Answers to your proposed counterexamples

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/so...
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Links For December 2022 from 2023-01-02T11:10

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each link. On average, commenters will end up spotting evidence that around two or three of the links in each links post are wrong or misleading. ...
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Selection Bias Is A Fact Of Life, Not An Excuse For Rejecting Internet Surveys from 2023-01-02T11:08

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/selection-bias-is-a-fact-of-life

Sometimes people do amateur r...
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[Classic] Abraham Lincoln, Ape-Man from 2022-12-24T12:50

https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/02/12/abraham-lincoln-ape-man/

Poste...
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Fact Check: Do All Healthy People Have Mystical Experiences? from 2022-12-24T10:52

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/fact-check-do-all-healthy-people

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The Media Very Rarely Lies from 2022-12-24T10:48

"With a title like that, obviously I will be making a nitpicky technical point."

https://ast...
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Prediction Market FAQ from 2022-12-22T15:01

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/prediction-market-faq

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2023 Prediction Contest from 2022-12-20T03:43

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest

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Perhaps It Is A Bad Thing That The World's Leading AI Companies Cannot Control Their AIs from 2022-12-14T12:51

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/perhaps-it-is-a-bad-thing-that-the

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Highlights From The Comments On Bobos In Paradise from 2022-12-12T05:36

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-bobos

Table of contents:<...
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Why I'm Less Than Infinitely Hostile To Cryptocurrency from 2022-12-11T04:12

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/why-im-less-than-infinitely-hostile

Go an...
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Know Your GABA-A Receptor Subunits from 2022-12-11T02:18

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/know-your-gaba-a-receptor-subunits

Many psychiatric drugs an...
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Book Review: First Sixth Of Bobos In Paradise from 2022-12-02T12:02

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-first-sixth-of-bobos

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Highlights From The Comments On Semaglutide from 2022-12-01T11:20

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-semaglutide

Table o...
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Can This AI Save Teenage Spy Alex Rider From A Terrible Fate? from 2022-11-30T04:24

We’re showcasing a hot new totally bopping, popping musical track called “bromancer era? bromancer era?? bromancer era???“ His subtle sublime thoughts raced, making his eyes literally explode. Listen

Semaglutidonomics from 2022-11-25T13:19

140 million obese Americans x $15,000/year for obesity drugs = . . . uh oh, that can't be right.

http...
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"Is Wine Fake?" In Asterisk Magazine from 2022-11-23T01:06

I wrote an article on whether wine is fake. It's not here, it's at asteriskmag.com, the new rationalist / effective altruist magazine. Congratulation...
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Mantic Monday: Twitter Chaos Edition from 2022-11-22T05:48

Plus FTX charges, scandal markets - and oh yeah, wasn't there some kind of midterm recently?

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The Psychopharmacology Of The FTX Crash from 2022-11-18T15:25

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-psychopharmacology-of-the-ftx

Must not ...
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Contra Resident Contrarian On Unfalsifiable Internal States from 2022-11-13T13:46

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/contra-resident-contrarian-on-unfalsifiable

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Can People Be Honestly Wrong About Their Own Experiences? from 2022-11-10T13:05

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/can-people-be-honestly-wrong-about

A tangent of Listen

Highlights From The Comments On Brain Waves from 2022-11-09T13:44

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-brain

[original post Listen

Highlights From The Comments On My California Ballot from 2022-11-06T07:20

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-my

[Original post Listen

ACX Grants: Project Updates from 2022-11-06T07:14

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/acx-grants-project-updates

...
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My California Ballot 2022 from 2022-11-06T07:06

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/my-california-ballot-2022

Previously: Listen

Moderation Is Different From Censorship from 2022-11-03T11:41

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/moderation-is-different-from-censorship

This is a point...
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Highlights From The Comments On Jhanas from 2022-11-02T06:32

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-jhanas

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Book Review: Malleus Maleficarum from 2022-10-29T13:13

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-malleus-maleficarum

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Nick Cammarata On Jhana from 2022-10-29T13:04

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/nick-cammarata-on-jhana

Buddhists say that if you meditate enough, you c...
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Highlights From The Comments On Supplement Labeling from 2022-10-27T12:59

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-supplement

[Orig...
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From The Mailbag from 2022-10-26T13:36

Answers to the questions I get most often at meetup Q&As

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/from-th...
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Book Review: Rhythms Of The Brain from 2022-10-23T12:00

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-rhythms-of-the-brain

Brain waves have always felt ...
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Another Bay Area House Party from 2022-10-21T13:33

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/another-bay-area-house-party

[Previously: Listen

Mantic Monday 10/17/22 from 2022-10-20T04:05

What do Sam Altman, Matt Bruenig, and the Sacramento Kings have in common? -- Are the polls wrong? -- CFTC vs. Everybody

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Highlights From The Comments On The Central Valley from 2022-10-16T07:06

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-the-3b1

Original po...
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Links For October 2022 from 2022-10-13T07:05

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-october-397

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each...
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Highlights From The Comments On Columbus Day from 2022-10-11T13:10

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-columbus

[Original pos...
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A Columbian Exchange from 2022-10-10T10:49

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/a-columbian-exchange

Adraste: Happy Indigenous People’s Da...
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[Classic] You’re Probably Wondering Why I’ve Called You Here Today from 2022-10-09T07:06

Due to an oversight by the ancient Greeks, there is no Muse of blogging. Denied the ability to begin with a proper Invocation To The Muse, I will compensate with s...
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LA and San Diego Meetups This Weekend from 2022-10-08T02:01

Also Austin, Seattle, Tokyo, Rome, Mumbai, etc.

We have two Southern California meetups this weeken...
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How Trustworthy Are Supplements? from 2022-10-06T08:25

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/how-trustworthy-are-supplements

[EDIT: LabDoor responds Listen

CHAI, Assistance Games, And Fully-Updated Deference from 2022-10-05T00:39

Machine Alignment Monday 10/3/22

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/chai-as...
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Universe-Hopping Through Substack from 2022-10-02T00:15

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/universe-hopping-through-substack

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Highlights From The Comments On Unpredictable Reward from 2022-10-01T14:25

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-unpredictable

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From Nostradamus To Fukuyama from 2022-09-29T09:54

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/from-nostradamus-to-fukuyama

I.

Nostradamu...
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Highlights From The Comments On Billionaire Replaceability from 2022-09-23T13:15:21

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-billionaire

[or...
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Why Is The Central Valley So Bad? from 2022-09-22T02:36:12

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/why-is-the-central-valley-so-bad

I.

He...
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Janus' GPT Wrangling from 2022-09-20T16:01:07

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/janus-gpt-wrangling

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Bay Area Meetups This Weekend (September 17-18 2022) from 2022-09-17T08:26:55

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/bay-area-meetups-this-weekend

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Unpredictable Reward, Predictable Happiness from 2022-09-15T00:20:25

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/unpredictable-reward-predictable

[Epistemic status: very c...
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I Won My Three Year AI Progress Bet In Three Months from 2022-09-13T22:44:04

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/i-won-my-three-year-ai-progress-bet

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Links For September 2022 from 2022-09-08T23:37:08

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-september-2022

[Remember, I haven’t independently verifie...
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Book Review Contest 2022 Winners from 2022-09-04T11:39:08

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-contest-2022-winners

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The Prophet And Caesar's Wife from 2022-09-04T07:51:36

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-prophet-and-caesars-wife

I.

The Prophe...
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Billionaires, Surplus, And Replaceability from 2022-08-31T10:53:13

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/billionaires-surplus-and-replaceability

The typical neo...
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Your Book Review: Kora In Hell from 2022-08-28T12:54:37

Finalist #16 in the Book Review Contest

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-...
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Meetups Everywhere 2022: Times&Places from 2022-08-27T13:15:49

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/meetups-everywhere-2022-times-and

Thanks to everyone who resp...
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Highlights From The Comments On The Repugnant Conclusion And WWOTF from 2022-08-27T12:26:50

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-the-909

(Original post ...
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Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions from 2022-08-24T13:17:43

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/effective-altruism-as-a-tower-of

I have an essay that my frien...
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Book Review: What We Owe The Future from 2022-08-23T13:22:38

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-what-we-owe-the-future

I.
<...
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Your Book Review: 1587, A Year Of No Significance from 2022-08-22T16:24:56

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-1587-a-year-of-no

Finalis...
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Highlights From The Comments On Subcultures from 2022-08-19T06:12:56

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-subcultures

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Skills Plateau Because Of Decay And Interference from 2022-08-18T11:03:32

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/skills-plateau-because-of-decay-and

Followup to...
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Meetups Everywhere 2022 - Call For Organizers from 2022-08-18T10:39:25

Please volunteer to host a meetup in your city!

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p...
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Mantic Monday 8/15/22 from 2022-08-16T11:21:21

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-81522

RIP PredictIt -- Hedgehog Markets -- S...
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Your Book Review: God Emperor Of Dune from 2022-08-14T12:23:30

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-god-emperor-of-dune

Fin...
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Will Nonbelievers Really Believe Anything? from 2022-08-12T22:20:51

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/will-nonbelievers-really-believe

There’s a popular saying amon...
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A Cyclic Theory Of Subcultures from 2022-08-12T22:20:17

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/a-cyclic-theory-of-subcultures

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Why Not Slow AI Progress? from 2022-08-09T11:56:15

Machine Alignment Monday 8/8/22

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/why-not-slow-ai-progress...
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Your Book Review: Exhaustion from 2022-08-07T07:56:53

Finalist #13 in the Book Review Contest

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-re...
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Absurdity Bias, Neom Edition from 2022-08-05T12:25:56

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/absurdity-bias-neom-edition

Alexandros M Listen

Slightly Against Underpopulation Worries from 2022-08-05T11:26:39

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/slightly-against-underpopulation

So I hear there’s an underpop...
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Model City Monday 8/1/22 from 2022-08-03T09:55:13

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/model-city-monday-8122

Neom Neom Neom<...
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Your Book Review: Viral from 2022-07-30T23:02:22

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-viral

Finalist #12 in the Book Review ...
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Links For July '22 from 2022-07-30T08:25:47

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-july-095

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each link....
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Highlights From The Comments On Criticism Of Criticism Of Criticism from 2022-07-29T14:33:41

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-criticism

1:<...
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Forer Statements As Updates And Affirmations from 2022-07-27T14:08:50

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/forer-statements-as-updates-and-affirmations

The <...
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ELK And The Problem Of Truthful AI from 2022-07-27T13:27:33

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/elk-and-the-problem-of-truthful-ai

Machine...
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Your Book Review: The Society Of The Spectacle from 2022-07-23T14:36:25

Finalist #11 in the Book Review Contest

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your...
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Criticism Of Criticism Of Criticism from 2022-07-20T12:19:57

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/criticism-of-criticism-of-criticism

I.
...
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Your Book Review: The Righteous Mind from 2022-07-18T15:15:46

Finalist #10 in the Book Review Contest

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your...
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Impact Markets: The Annoying Details from 2022-07-17T10:36:33

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/impact-markets-the-annoying-details

I said last year that I...
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Book Review: The Man From The Future from 2022-07-14T13:29:15

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-the-man-from-the-future

John von Neumann invent...
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Mantic Monday 7/11/22 from 2022-07-13T12:26:32

New star forecasting team -- Musk vs. Twitter -- Donald Trump wriggling his way out of things

https...
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Your Book Review: The Outlier from 2022-07-10T15:05:35

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-the-outlier

[This is one of the finalists in ...
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Highlights From The Comments On The 2020 Homicide Spike from 2022-07-08T12:38:14

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-the-bb9

...
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Nobody Knows How Well Homework Works from 2022-07-07T11:30:49

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/nobody-knows-how-well-homework-works

Yesterday I wrote abo...
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Study: Ritalin Works, But School Isn't Worth Paying Attention To from 2022-07-07T11:28:54

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/study-ritalin-works-but-school-isnt

Recent study, Pelham et...
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Your Book Review: The Internationalists from 2022-07-04T15:27:47

Finalist #8 in the Book Review Contest

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/yo...
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Highlights From The Comments On Xi Jinping from 2022-04-29T12:29:22

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-xi

I: Xi’s Rise To P...
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Book Review: A Clinical Introduction To Lacanian Psychoanalysis from 2022-04-27T22:24:09

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-a-clinical-introduction

[epistemic status: ...
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Initial Conditions from 2022-04-23T22:00:41

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/initial-conditions

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Contra Hoffman On Vitamin D Dosing from 2022-04-22T11:55:10

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/contra-hoffman-on-vitamin-d-dosing

[epistemic status: pr...
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Highlights From The Comments On "Sadly, Porn" from 2022-04-20T13:30:42

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-sadly
I. The Duality Of Man Listen

Mantic Monday 4/18/22 from 2022-04-19T15:33:56

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-41822

Nuclear risk, AI risk, Musk-acquiring-...
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Irvine Meetup This Monday from 2022-04-16T11:55:14

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/irvine-meetup-this-monday

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Men Will Literally Have Completely Different Mental Processes Instead Of Going To Therapy from 2022-04-12T21:29:26

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/men-will-literally-have-completely
People are debating “therapy: go...
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Deceptively Aligned Mesa-Optimizers: It's Not Funny If I Have To Explain It from 2022-04-12T21:28:55

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/deceptively-aligned-mesa-optimizers
A Machine Al...
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Spring Meetups In Seventy Cities from 2022-04-12T21:27:27

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/spring-meetups-in-seventy-cities

Lots of people only want to...
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Dictator Book Club: Xi Jinping from 2022-04-12T21:26:59

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/dictator-book-club-xi-jinping
[Previous entries: Listen

Highlights From The Comments On Self-Determination from 2022-04-12T21:25:22

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-self 1: Listen

Yudkowsky Contra Christiano On AI Takeoff Speeds from 2022-04-05T14:15:13

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/yudkowsky-contra-christiano-on-ai

Previously in serie...
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The Low-Hanging Fruit Argument: Models And Predictions from 2022-04-02T21:09:38

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-low-hanging-fruit-argument-models

A followup to Listen

Idol Words from 2022-04-01T22:06:55

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/idol-words

The woman was wearing sunglasses, a visor, a little too much lipstick, and...
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Who Gets Self-Determination? from 2022-03-30T20:41:27

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/who-gets-self-determination

I.

LSE: Listen

Information Markets, Decision Markets, Attention Markets, Action Markets from 2022-03-29T12:07:23

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/information-markets-decision-markets

[thumbnail image...
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Highlights From The Comments On Justice Creep from 2022-03-25T12:21:56

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-justice

A lot of commen...
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Contra Hoel On Aristocratic Tutoring from 2022-03-23T12:27:45

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/contra-hoel-on-aristocratic-tutoring

I. Listen

Mantic Monday 3/21/22 from 2022-03-22T10:51:23

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-32122

Warcasting

Changes in Ukraine prediction market...
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Highlights From The Comments On Zulresso from 2022-03-18T08:01:18

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-zulresso

Thanks to eve...
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Justice Creep from 2022-03-17T11:56:45

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/justice-creep

Freddie deBoer says we’re a Listen

Mantic Monday 3/14/22 from 2022-03-15T19:27:12

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-31422

Changes in Ukraine prediction markets since Listen

Ukraine Thoughts And Links from 2022-03-12T12:35:11

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/ukraine-thoughts-and-links?s=r

Disclaimer: I am not an exper...
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Progesterone Megadoses Might Be A Cheap Zulresso Substitute from 2022-03-11T20:42:07

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/progesterone-megadoses-might-be-a

Earlier this week Listen

Advice For Unwoke Academic? from 2022-03-11T12:28:23

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/advice-for-unwoke-academic

An academic recently asked me for advice. ...
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Zounds! It's Zulresso and Zuranolone! from 2022-03-09T12:36:39

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/zounds-its-zulresso-and-zuranolone

How...
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What Are We Arguing About When We Argue About Rationality? from 2022-03-04T21:29:29

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/what-are-we-arguing-about-when-we

The backstory: Steven Pinke...
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Microaddictions from 2022-03-03T14:09:55

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/microaddictions

Everyone always says you should “eat mindfully”. I tried this on...
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Ukraine Warcasting from 2022-03-01T13:12:40

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/ukraine-warcasting

Yeah, I know you’re saturated with Ukraine content. Yeah, ...
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Austin Meetup Correction from 2022-02-26T13:33:56

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/austin-meetup-correction?utm_source=url

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Biological Anchors: A Trick That Might Or Might Not Work from 2022-02-24T20:10:46

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/biological-anchors-a-trick-that-might?utm_source=url<...
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Links For February from 2022-02-23T13:50:23

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-february?utm_source=url
[Remember, I haven’t independe...
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Play Money And Reputation Systems from 2022-02-22T14:00:10

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/play-money-and-reputation-systems?utm_source=url
...
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Austin Meetup Next Sunday from 2022-02-19T21:48:33

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/austin-meetup-next-sunday?utm_source=url

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The Gods Only Have Power Because We Believe In Them from 2022-02-18T14:53:17

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-gods-only-have-power-because?utm_source=url
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Book Review: Sadly, Porn from 2022-02-18T14:48:04

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-sadly-porn

I.

Freshman Engli...
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Mantic Monday: Ukraine Cube Manifold from 2022-02-15T11:52:46

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-ukraine-cube-manifold?r=fm577
Ukraine
...
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Highlights From The Comments On Motivated Reasoning And Reinforcement Learning from 2022-02-13T14:28:48

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-motivated

I. ...
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ACX Grants ++: The Second Half from 2022-02-11T12:41:44

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/acx-grants-the-second-half

This is the closing part of Listen

So You Want To Run A Microgrants Program from 2022-02-10T12:35:09

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/so-you-want-to-run-a-microgrants

I.

Me...
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Heuristics That Almost Always Work from 2022-02-09T12:02:12

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/heuristics-that-almost-always-work

The Security Guar...
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Two Small Corrections And Updates from 2022-02-09T12:00:03

https://astralcodexten.substack.c...
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The Passage Of Polymarket from 2022-02-08T10:59:51

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-passage-of-polymarket

RIP Polymarket, Long Live Polymarket...
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Book Review Contest Rules 2022 from 2022-02-05T11:41:13

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-contest-rules-2022

O...
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ACX Grants ++: The First Half from 2022-02-04T13:59:06

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/acx-grants-the-first-half

This is the closing part of Listen

Why Do I Suck? from 2022-02-03T12:01:06

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/why-do-i-suck

I recently ran a subscriber-only AMA, and one of the most frequent q...
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Motivated Reasoning As Mis-applied Reinforcement Learning from 2022-02-02T07:46:59

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/motivated-reasoning-as-mis-applied

Here’s something else I g...
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Predictions For 2022 from 2022-02-01T12:37:43

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest

- Read the contest Listen

Highlights From The Comments On Health Care Systems from 2022-01-28T13:16:19

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-health

I’m experimenting...
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Against That Poverty And Infant EEGs Study from 2022-01-27T14:06:58

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/against-that-poverty-and-infant-eegs

A recent paper claims...
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Bounded Distrust from 2022-01-27T13:21:24

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/bounded-distrust

I.

Suppose you're a liberal w...
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Grading My 2021 Predictions from 2022-01-26T12:05:16

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/grading-my-2021-predictions

At the beginning of every year...
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Resubmit And Summarize Your Proposals For Grants ++ from 2022-01-22T08:02

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/resubmit-and-summarize-your-proposals

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Book Review: Which Country Has The World's Best Health Care? from 2022-01-20T12:52:56

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-which-country-has-the

I. Listen

Practically-A-Book Review: Yudkowsky Contra Ngo On Agents from 2022-01-19T12:16:12

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/practically-a-book-review-yudkowsky

I. Listen

There's A Time For Everyone from 2022-01-13T12:04:19

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/theres-a-time-for-everyone

Last week I got married.

I met her ...
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Highlights From The Comments On "Don't Look Up" from 2022-01-07T12:01:48

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-dont

Lots of people though...
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Movie Review: Don't Look Up from 2022-01-05T13:15:32

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/movie-review-dont-look-up

I.

Don’t Look Up...
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Lewis Carroll Invented Retroactive Public Goods Funding In 1894 from 2022-01-04T11:10:55

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/lewis-carroll-invented-retroactive

Retroactive public goods funding is one of those ideas that’s so great people can’t stop reinventing it.

I...
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Links For December from 2021-12-31T23:20:14

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-december

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified e...
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ACX Grants Results from 2021-12-29T12:35:31

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/acx-grants-results

Thanks to everyone who participated in ACX Grants, whether as an applicant, an evaluator, or a funder.

Before I announce aw...
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Mantic Monday: Dogs In Wizard Hats from 2021-12-28T11:52:15

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-dogs-in-wizard-hats

I found this YouTu...
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Highlights From The Comments On Diseasonality from 2021-12-24T11:02:53

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-diseasonality

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Addendum To "No Evidence" Post from 2021-12-23T11:20:47

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/addendum-to-no-evidence-post

The day after I wrote The Phrase “No Evidence” Is A Red Flag For Bad Science Communication, FT published this article:<...
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Addendum To Luvox Post from 2021-12-23T11:13:43

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/addendum-to-luvox-post

In my post yesterday, I Listen

The FDA Has Punted Decisions About Luvox Prescription To The Deepest Recesses Of The Human Soul from 2021-12-23T11:06:52

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-fda-has-punted-decisions-about

I. Listen

Mantic Monday: Let Me Google That For You from 2021-12-21T10:23:31

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-let-me-google-that

Let Me Google That For You

New from Google this month: Creating A Prediction Market On Google Cloud. Google ...
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The Phrase "No Evidence" Is A Red Flag For Bad Science Communication from 2021-12-18T09:55:53

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-phrase-no-evidence-is-a-red-flag

https://ast...
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Ancient Plagues from 2021-12-15T10:58:01

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/ancient-plagues

During our recent discussion of climate change, someone...
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Does Georgism Work, Part 3: Can Unimproved Land Value be Accurately Assessed Separately From Buildings? from 2021-12-12T12:54:02

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/does-georgism-work-part-3-can-unimproved

...
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Does Georgism Work? Part 2: Can Landlords Pass Land Value Tax on to Tenants? from 2021-12-10T13:17:03

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/does-georgism-work-part-2-can-landlords

[Lars Doucet won this year’s Listen

Does Georgism Work? Is Land Really A Big Deal? from 2021-12-09T14:29:32

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/does-georgism-work-is-land-really

[Lars Doucet w...
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Diseasonality from 2021-12-08T10:20:03

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/diseasonality

[epistemic status: conjecture and speculation in something that isn’t really my field]

I.

It’s ...
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Model City Monday 12/6/21 from 2021-12-07T11:16:19

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/model-city-monday-12621

Tegucigalpa, Honduras

The socialist opposition has won Honduras’ election and pledges to fight against charter ci...
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Book Review: Lifespan from 2021-12-03T12:22:08

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-lifespan

[epistemic status: non-expert review of a...
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MM: Omicron Variant from 2021-11-30T10:40:44

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mm-omicron-variant

Noah Smith has a good summary of the Omicron evidence h...
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[Classic] The Virtue of Silence from 2021-11-28T17:00

https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/06/14/the-virtue-of-silence/

Leah Libresco writes a couple of essays (...
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Links For November from 2021-11-26T13:20:09

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-november

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified e...
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Pascalian Medicine from 2021-11-25T12:41:08

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/pascalian-medicine

I.

When I reviewed Vitamin D, I said I was about 75% sure it didn’t work against COVID. When I reviewed ivermectin, I said ...
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Highlights From The Comments On Ivermectin from 2021-11-24T12:39:56

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/higlights-from-the-comments-on-ivermectin

Th...
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Highlights From The Comments On The FDA And Paxlovid from 2021-11-24T12:33:41

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-the

Andrew Listen

When Will The FDA Approve Paxlovid? from 2021-11-23T10:54:08

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/when-will-the-fda-approve-paxlovid

https://astralc...
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Highlights From The Comments On Great Families from 2021-11-19T12:00:28

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-great

Thanks to ...
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Ivermectin: Much More Than You Wanted To Know from 2021-11-18T15:29:40

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/ivermectin-much-more-than-you-wanted

I know I’m two months late here. Everyone’s already made up their mind and moved on to other things.

But...
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Mantic Monday 11/15 from 2021-11-16T12:15:34

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-1115

Reciprocal Scoring, Part II

I talked abo...
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Apply For An ACX Grant from 2021-11-12T11:33:01

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/apply-for-an-acx-grant

What is ACX Grants?
...
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Highlights From The Comments On Orban from 2021-11-11T13:38:24

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-orban

Lyman Stone on Twitter:

Twitter avatar for @lymanstonekyLyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 @lymanstoneky
Here...
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Secrets Of The Great Families from 2021-11-10T12:14:21

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/secrets-of-the-great-families

I.
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Model City Monday 11/8/21 from 2021-11-09T12:58:25

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/model-city-monday-11821

Telosa, USA

Bloomberg: Listen

Dictator Book Club: Orban from 2021-11-05T13:28:30

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/dictator-book-club-orban

(previously: Listen

Non-Cognitive Skills For Educational Attainment Suggest Benefits Of Mental Illness Genes from 2021-11-04T13:05:28

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/non-cognitive-skills-for-educational

Suppose you want to s...
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Mantic Monday 11/1/21 from 2021-11-02T12:37:42

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-11121

Keynesian Beauty Contests

I have no source for this, someone told me about it at a ...
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Jhanas and the Dark Room Problem from 2021-10-29T11:31:08

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/jhanas-and-the-dark-room-problem

The Listen

Epistemic Minor Leagues from 2021-10-26T11:06:55

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/epistemic-minor-leagues

[I’m traveling this week - here is an older essay I never previously got around to posting]

Viral g...
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Chilling Effects from 2021-10-20T12:21:20

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/chilling-effects

[Epistemic status: Extremely confused! Low confidence in a...
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Links For October from 2021-10-15T11:34:11

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-october

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each link. On average, commenters will end up spotting evidence that around two or thre...
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Highlights From The Comments On Kids And Climate Change from 2021-10-14T12:33:58

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-kids

Ramparen Listen

Please Don't Give Up On Having Kids Because Of Climate Change from 2021-10-12T12:16:42

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/please-dont-give-up-on-having-kids

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Highlights From The Comments On Modern Architecture from 2021-10-05T15:19:46

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-modern

Thanks t...
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Book Review: The Scout Mindset from 2021-09-29T13:51:45

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-the-scout-mindset

I.

You tried Carol Dweck’s Listen

Whither Tartaria? from 2021-09-24T14:10:02

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/whither-tartaria

Imagine a postapocalyptic world. Beside the ruined buildings o...
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Links For September from 2021-09-21T12:13:11

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-september

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each link. On average, commenters will end up spotting evidence that ar...
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Lisbon Meetup This Saturday from 2021-09-18T08:58:55

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/lisbon-meetup-this-saturday

<...
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Book Review: The Revolt Of The Public from 2021-09-17T14:18:21

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-the-revolt-of-the-public

I. Listen

Book Review: Modi - A Political Biography from 2021-09-14T15:29:36

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-modi-a-political-biography

...
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Washington DC Meetup This Saturday from 2021-09-11T05:46:51

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/washington-dc-meetup-this-saturday

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The Unbearable Semiheaviness Of Being from 2021-09-09T13:06:13

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-unbearable-semiheaviness-of-being

I hear tha...
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Too Good To Check: A Play In Three Acts from 2021-09-07T00:40:28

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/too-good-to-check-a-play-in-three

I.

...
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New York Meetup This Monday from 2021-09-06T04:28:16

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/new-york-meetup-this-monday

Listen

Boston Meetup This Sunday from 2021-09-04T10:23:40

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/boston-meetup-this-sunday

When: Sunday, 9/5, 5 PM

Where: Listen

Long COVID: Much More Than You Wanted To Know from 2021-09-03T04:03:17

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/long-covid-much-more-than-you-wanted

Like everyone else, I'm trying to figure out how cautious I should be around COVID. It seems like the most impo...
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On Hreha On Behavioral Economics from 2021-09-01T05:04:38

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/on-hreha-on-behavioral-economics

Jason Hreha’s articl...
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Berkeley Meetup This Saturday from 2021-08-27T22:23:02

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/berkeley-meetup-this-saturday

When: Saturday, August 28, at 1 PM

Where: Listen

Highlights From The Comments On Missing School from 2021-08-27T22:11:22

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-missing

[O...
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If You're So Smart, Why Aren't You Governor Of California? from 2021-08-27T01:03:51

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/if-youre-so-smart-why-arent-you-governor

Californians love long-shot bets. Actors trying to make it big in LA, tech founders chasing unicorns in San...
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Carbon Costs Quantified from 2021-08-26T02:15:58

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/carbon-costs-quantified

This post tries to quantify how much carbon is produced by various activities, lifestyle changes, and actors.
<...
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Meetups Everywhere 2021: Times And Places from 2021-08-25T03:40:46

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/meetups-everywhere-2021-times-and

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1QFbM5B9KfsiwqO6DvJ4D05dQitBtZ6kYDwXZ3Hj6SEc/edit#gid=1585750313

Th...
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Highlights From The Comments On Aducanumab from 2021-08-22T02:33:59

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-aducanumab

These are...
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Links For August from 2021-08-19T23:47:39

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-august

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each ...
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Kids Can Recover From Missing Even Quite A Lot Of School from 2021-08-19T01:14:18

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/kids-can-recover-from-missing-even

I. Introduction

Back when the public schools were closed or online, some...
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Blindness, Schizophrenia, and Autism from 2021-08-15T00:17:25

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/blindness-schizophrenia-and-autism

Some weird psych...
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Contra Hanania On Partisanship from 2021-08-14T01:07:47

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/contra-hanania-on-partisanship

Support the author on Substack: a...
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(Outdoor, Careful) Meetups Everywhere 2021 - Seeking Organizers from 2021-08-12T03:31:13

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/outdoor-careful-meetups-everywhere

Support the author on Sub...
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Eight Hundred Slightly Poisoned Word Games from 2021-08-11T00:32:47

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/eight-hundred-slightly-poisoned-word

Support the author on...
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Contra Drum On The Fish Oil Story from 2021-08-10T00:16:37

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/contra-drum-on-the-fish-oil-story

Su...
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Details Of The Infant Fish Oil Story from 2021-08-08T00:53:33

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/details-of-the-infant-fish-oil-story

I. Listen

Highlights From The Comments On Acemoglu And AI from 2021-08-07T07:04:58

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-acemoglu

Listen

Adumbrations Of Aducanumab from 2021-08-06T04:19:20

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/adumbrations-of-aducanumab

Lots of people have been writing ...
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What Should We Make Of Sasha Chapin's Claim That Taking LSD Restored His Sense Of Smell After COVID? from 2021-08-05T01:22:30

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/what-should-we-make-of-sasha-chapins

I. Listen

Model City Monday 8/2/21 from 2021-08-04T01:42:11

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/model-city-monday-8221

Support the author here:
astralcodexten.subs...
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Updated Look At Long-Term AI Risks from 2021-08-02T03:28:48

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/updated-look-at-long-term-ai-risks

The last couple ...
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When Does Worrying About Things Trade Off Against Worrying About Other Things? from 2021-07-30T01:20:03

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/when-does-worrying-about-things-trade

On yesterday’s post,...
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Contra Acemoglu On...Oh God, We're Doing This Again, Aren't We? from 2021-07-29T04:00:32

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/contra-acemoglu-onoh-god-were-doing

The Washington Post Listen

Mantic Monday 7/26 from 2021-07-28T05:59:04

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-726

This Week In Markets

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Links For July from 2021-07-25T01:55:32

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-july

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each link...
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Things I Learned Writing The Lockdown Post from 2021-07-23T02:11:37

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/things-i-learned-writing-the-lockdown

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Highlights From The Comments On "Crazy Like Us" from 2021-07-22T01:44:03

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-crazy

Some good discussion of PTSD, culminating in a link to the ACOUP blog, Listen

Peer Review Request: Ketamine from 2021-07-21T10:57:01

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/peer-review-request-ketamine

I'm trying to build up a dat...
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Please Take The Reader Survey from 2021-07-17T02:30:04

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/please-take-the-reader-survey

All right, here goes.

This is a project to support studies by ACX community members, by getting readers to fill...
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Book Review: Crazy Like Us from 2021-07-16T02:48:52

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-crazy-like-us

We talk a lot about falling biodiversity. So...
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Reader Survey Final Check-In from 2021-07-15T01:23:56

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/reader-survey-final-check-in

I accidentally missed some Book Review Contest entries, so I want to make sure I have everything lined up right for the...
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Use Prediction Markets To Fund Investigative Reporting from 2021-07-13T03:23:39

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/use-prediction-markets-to-fund-investigative

Suppo...
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[Your Book Review] Disunited Nations vs. Dawn Of Eurasia from 2021-07-12T04:21:47

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1xexFJ7h0vULMDE7N77q_MIzXoerexfe_CqqGEL...
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Book Review Contest: Winners from 2021-07-10T01:23:13

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-contest-winners

Thanks to everyone who participated or voted in the Book Review Contest. The winners are:

FIRST PLACE Listen

Lockdown Effectiveness: Much More Than You Wanted To Know from 2021-07-08T05:43:54

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/lockdown-effectiveness-much-more

Back when everyone was debati...
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Model City Monday from 2021-07-07T02:05:51

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/model-city-monday

Support the author: astralcodexten.substack.com/subscribe

Then support ...
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Highlights From The Comments On "How Asia Works" from 2021-07-03T02:29:20

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-how

Support the ...
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Welcome Polygenically Screened Babies from 2021-07-02T00:41:43

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/welcome-polygenically-screened-babies

Another th...
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Book Review: How Asia Works from 2021-06-30T04:57

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-how-asia-works

What was the best thing that ever...
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ACX Reader Research Survey: Call For Submissions from 2021-06-27T00:53:18

Now that the book review contest is winding down, I want to start another big project: the ACX Reader Research Survey.

I used to do regular December surveys with questions I was intereste...
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Links For June from 2021-06-23T13:08:44

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-june

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each link. On average, commenters will end up spotting evidence tha...
Listen

Mantic Monday 6/21/21 from 2021-06-22T21:19:40

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-62121

Among this month’s interesting Metaculus predictions:

If Puerto Rico gets statehood, will their first two senators...
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[Classic] FEAR AND LOATHING AT EFFECTIVE ALTRUISM GLOBAL 2017 from 2021-06-22T02:53:01

https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/08/16/fear-and-loathing-at-effective-altruism-global-2017/<...
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Vote In The Book Review Contest! from 2021-06-19T03:03:13

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/vote-in-the-book-review-contest

Thanks for reading the entries in this very delayed (and then very protracted) book review contest.

Please Listen

Your Book Review: Plagues And Peoples from 2021-06-19T02:47:50

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-plagues-and-peoples

[This is...
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On Cerebralab On Nutt/Carhart-Harris On Serotonin from 2021-06-16T22:54:56

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/on-cerebralab-on-nuttcarhart-harris

[epistemic...
Listen

Contra Smith On Jewish Selective Immigration from 2021-06-15T13:19:59

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/contra-smith-on-jewish-selective

Noah Smith Listen

Your Book Review: How Children Fail from 2021-06-12T04:01:47

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-how-children-fail

[This is the...
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Your Book Review: Down And Out In Paris And London from 2021-06-11T05:48:19

[This is the fifteenth of seventeen finalists in the book review contest. It’s not by me - it’s by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after voting is done, to prevent their identi...
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Drug Users Use A Lot Of Drugs from 2021-06-11T00:02:37

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/drug-users-use-a-lot-of-drugs

I.
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I Will Not Eat The Bugs from 2021-06-10T01:16:27

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/i-will-not-eat-the-bugs

From the comments on Moral C...
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Instead Of Pledging To Change The World, Pledge To Change Prediction Markets from 2021-06-08T21:01:22

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/instead-of-pledging-to-change-the

In April, Joe Bide...
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Your Book Review: Where's My Flying Car? from 2021-06-05T01:01:14

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-wheres-my-flying

[This is the f...
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Your Book Review: The Collapse Of Complex Societies from 2021-06-04T04:20:13

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-the-collapse-of

[This is the thi...
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Moral Costs Of Chicken Vs. Beef from 2021-06-03T00:09:45

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/moral-costs-of-chicken-vs-beef

Support ...
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What Do Treatments For Accelerated Aging Tell Us About Normal Aging? from 2021-06-01T20:51:32

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/what-do-treatments-for-accelerated

Progeria is a ra...
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Your Book Review: Humankind from 2021-05-29T00:07:29

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-humankind

[This is the twelfth of many ...
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Peer Review Request: Depression from 2021-05-27T03:04:39

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/peer-review-request-depression

I'm trying to build up a...
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Book Review: Arabian Nights from 2021-05-25T13:13:05

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-arabian-nights

I.

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Your Book Review: The Accidental Superpower from 2021-05-23T14:37:38

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-the-accidental-superpower

...
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Links For May from 2021-05-21T05:39:32

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-may

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each link. ...
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Highlights From The Comments On Culture Wars from 2021-05-20T01:15:07

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-culture

Some o...
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Your Book Review: Addiction By Design from 2021-05-15T04:16:18

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-addiction-by-design

[This is...
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Highlights From The Comments On CBT-i Apps from 2021-05-15T04:01:15

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-cbt

Several people...
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Welcome To The Terrible World Of Prescription-Only Apps from 2021-05-13T23:52:29

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/welcome-to-the-terrible-world-of

Trouble falling asle...
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Theses On The Current Moment from 2021-05-13T02:58:27

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/theses-on-the-current-moment

[followup to Listen

The Rise And Fall Of Online Culture Wars from 2021-05-11T04:30:21

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-rise-and-fall-of-online-culture

[Followup to: New Atheism: The Godlessness That Failed]

I. Introduction

You've probably seen these...
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Your Book Review: The Years Of Lyndon Johnson from 2021-05-08T23:25:19

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-the-years-of-lyndon

[This is...
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Your Book Review: Through The Eye Of A Needle from 2021-05-08T06:18:31

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-through-the-eye

[This is the eig...
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Why Is It Hard To Acknowledge Preferences? from 2021-05-06T06:36:36

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/why-is-it-hard-to-acknowledge-preferences

I ...
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Book Review: A Brief History Of Neoliberalism from 2021-05-06T06:22:11

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-a-brief-history-of-neoliberalism

...
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If You Can Be Bad, You Can Also Be Good from 2021-05-04T20:33:53

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/if-you-can-be-bad-you-can-also-be

Support the author Scott Al...
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Your Book Review: The Wizard And The Prophet from 2021-05-01T04:01:17

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-the-wizard-and-the

[This is t...
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Your Book Review: Double Fold from 2021-05-01T03:45:31

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-double-fold

[This is the sixth of ma...
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Nootropics Survey 2020 Results from 2021-04-29T05:40:30

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/nootropics-survey-2020-results

Thanks to the 852 of you...
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Mantic Monday: Predictions For 2021 from 2021-04-28T10:20:04

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-predictions-for-2021

At the beginning...
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Your Book Review: Why Buddhism Is True from 2021-04-24T05:37:38

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-why-buddhism-is

[This is the fif...
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Your Book Review: Are We Smart Enough To Know How Smart Animals Are? from 2021-04-23T07:05:17

[This is the fourth of many finalists in the book review contest. It’s not by me - it’s by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after voting is done, to prevent their identity from ...
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Book Review: Global Economic History from 2021-04-23T06:23:51

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-global-economic-history

Listen

No, Really, Why Are So Many Christians In Colombia Converting To Orthodox Judaism? from 2021-04-21T21:28:36

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/no-really-why-are-so-many-christians

I enjoyed re...
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Mantic Monday: Grading My Trump Predictions from 2021-04-20T11:22:02

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-grading-my-trump-predictions

...
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Your Book Review: Progress And Poverty from 2021-04-17T05:00:08

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-progress-and-poverty

[This ...
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Prospectus On Próspera from 2021-04-16T06:56:12

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/prospectus-on-prospera

Who among us hasn't looked out at the gre...
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[LINK] Unifying Predictive Coding With Backpropagation from 2021-04-14T21:51:07

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/link-unifying-predictive-coding-with

[epistem...
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Links For April from 2021-04-14T00:39:46

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-april

[Remember, I haven’t independently verified each link. On av...
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Your Book Review: On The Natural Faculties from 2021-04-11T00:28:13

[This is the second of many finalists in the book review contest. It’s not by me - it’s by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after voting is done, to prevent their identity from ...
Listen

Your Book Review: Order Without Law from 2021-04-10T03:04:37

[This is the first of many finalists in the book review contest. It’s not by me - it’s by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after voting is done, to prevent their identity from i...
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Metis And Bodybuilders from 2021-04-09T00:07:20

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/metis-and-bodybuilders

Fitness researcher Menno Henselmans writes about optimal progra...
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Two Unexpected Multiple Hypothesis Testing Problems from 2021-04-07T22:49:17

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/two-unexpected-multiple-hypothesis

I. Listen

2020 Predictions: Calibration Results from 2021-04-07T00:01:30

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2020-predictions-calibration-results

At the begin...
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Ambidexterity And Cognitive Closure from 2021-04-04T03:45:51

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/ambidexterity-and-cognitive-closure

Back in a more...
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[Classic] The Parable Of The Talents from 2021-04-03T07:51:50

https://slatestarcodex.com/2015/01/31/the-parable-of-the-talents/

Listen

Oh, The Places You'll Go When Trying To Figure Out The Right Dose Of Escitalopram from 2021-04-01T02:53:22

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/oh-the-places-youll-go-when-trying

I.

What is the right dose of Lexapro (escitalopram)?

The...
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Toward A Bayesian Theory Of Willpower from 2021-03-26T23:31:58

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/towards-a-bayesian-theory-of-willpower

...
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More Antifragile, Diversity Libertarianism, And Corporate Censorship from 2021-03-26T22:00:21

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/more-antifragile-diversity-libertarianism

In yesterda...
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Book Review: Antifragile from 2021-03-25T00:25:34

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-antifragile

Nassim Taleb summarizes the thesis of <...
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Adding My Data Point To The Discussion Of Substack Advances from 2021-03-24T23:31:34

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/adding-my-data-point-to-the-discussion

[war...
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Book Review: The New Sultan from 2021-03-20T04:47:46

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-the-new-sultan

I.

If you...
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Sleep Is The Mate Of Death from 2021-03-18T02:42:55

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/sleep-is-the-mate-of-death

Melancholic depressive patients r...
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Mantic Monday: Mantic Matt Y from 2021-03-15T23:58:28

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-mantic-matt-y

The current interest in foreca...
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Richard Nixon Vs. Cool from 2021-03-13T20:41:47

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/richard-nixon-vs-cool

In Listen

[Classic] Contra Grant On Exaggerated Differences from 2021-03-13T00:52:03

https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/08/07/contra-grant-on-exaggerated-differences/

Listen

Trapped Priors As A Basic Problem Of Rationality from 2021-03-11T03:52:52

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/trapped-priors-as-a-basic-problem

Introducti...
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The Consequences Of Radical Reform from 2021-03-10T23:28:06

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-consequences-of-radical-reform

The thread that ...
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Highlights From The Comments On Class from 2021-03-07T01:34:25

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-class

To my surp...
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Highlights From The Comments On March Links from 2021-03-05T23:41:08

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-march

[link back...
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Links For March from 2021-03-04T23:00:17

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-march

Warning: I haven’t independently verified each link...
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Shilling For Big Mitochondria from 2021-03-03T11:17:15

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/shilling-for-big-mitochondria

In the 1930s, a shady outf...
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Mantic Monday: Scoring Rule Controversy from 2021-03-02T11:26:45

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-scoring-rule-controversy

...
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Bay Area Plant-Based Meat Reviews from 2021-02-26T23:36:10

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/bay-area-plant-based-meat-reviews

By this point you’...
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A Modest Proposal For Republicans: Use The Word "Class" from 2021-02-26T23:30:35

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/a-modest-proposal-for-republicans

Read this ...
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Book Review: Fussell On Class from 2021-02-25T23:24:29

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-fussell-on-class

I.

P...
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Mantic Monday: Judging April COVID Predictions from 2021-02-24T21:04:43

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-judging-april-covid

Since this is gett...
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A Look Down Track B from 2021-02-22T22:22:10

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/a-look-down-track-b

I.

Depression Listen

Ezra Klein On Vetocracy from 2021-02-20T23:16:01

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/ezra-klein-on-vetocracy

In my review last week of Ezra Klein's ...
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Highlights From The Comments On Cult Of Smart from 2021-02-20T02:49:18

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/highlights-from-the-comments-on-cult

DeBoer argue...
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Book Review: The Cult Of Smart from 2021-02-20T02:40:02

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-the-cult-of-smart

Oscar Wilde supposedly sai...
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COVID/Vitamin D: Much More Than You Wanted To Know from 2021-02-17T23:15:09

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/covidvitamin-d-much-more-than-you

Most health articl...
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Coronavirus: Links, Discussion, Open Thread from 2021-02-16T20:18:44

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/coronavirus-links-discussion-open

So far there have ...
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Statement on New York Times Article from 2021-02-14T11:15:17

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/statement-on-new-york-times-article

There was rece...
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The Precision Of Sensory Evidence from 2021-02-14T11:08:15

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/the-precision-of-sensory-evidence

In earlier posts, ...
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List Of Fictional Cryptocurrencies Banned By The SEC from 2021-02-12T05:26:27

[previously in sequence: List Of Fictional Drugs Banned By The FDA, Listen

Ontology Of Psychiatric Conditions: Tradeoffs And Failures from 2021-02-11T03:47:57

[previously in sequence: Taxometrics, Listen

Book Review: Why We're Polarized from 2021-02-11T01:06:15

I.

Ezra Klein is great. I know a lot of people throw shade on him for founding Vox. But as Van Gogh said about God creating the world, "We must not hold it against Him; o...
Listen

Metaculus Monday 2/8/21 from 2021-02-08T23:39:25

Thanks to everyone who commented last week with prediction markets I missed. Two of them seemed to be especially interesting.

Polymarket Listen

Journalism and Legible Expertise from 2021-02-08T23:32:53

I heard from a journalist yesterday after writing yesterday's post on WebMD. They've been trying to write a ...
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WebMD, And The Tragedy Of Legible Expertise from 2021-02-06T12:05:47

I started a small database of psychiatry information. It's going well. I'm grateful for all your emails suggesting changes and corrections. Sort of.

Here are some of the kinds of emails I...
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Book Review Contest Final Rules from 2021-02-05T01:32:59

Thanks to everyone who has waited patiently for more information on this.

I planned a book review co...
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Ontology Of Psychiatric Conditions: Dynamical Systems from 2021-02-05T01:17:05

[Previously in sequence: Taxometrics]

I.

Imagine Alice ha...
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Riddle Of The Sphinx II: Sustained Release Riddlin' from 2021-02-03T21:25:18

I was driving down to LA when the cops pulled me over. "You have to turn back sir, the Sphinx here eats any traveler who can't answer her riddle."

"I've trained my whole life for this" I ...
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Metaculus Monday from 2021-02-02T10:24:13

Prediction markets are the future. They're a type of trustless, decentralized expertise that often equals or outperforms official sources.

But they're not quite the present. Right now I o...
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Weyl Contra Me On Technocracy from 2021-01-31T10:05:19

Glen Weyl posted a reply to my post criticizing his essay on technocracy, and kindly agreed to let me elevate it into a top-level post.

(consider this a standing offer to any...
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Contra Weyl On Technocracy from 2021-01-30T13:38:22

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/contra-weyl-on-technocracy

I.

I am n...
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Ontology Of Psychiatric Conditions: Taxometrics from 2021-01-28T13:31:22

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/ontology-of-psychiatric-conditions

[reposted fr...
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Know Your Amphetamines from 2021-01-26T13:33:26

In the 1950s, a shady outfit called Obetrol Pharmaceuticals made a popular over-the-counter diet pill called Obetrol. If you're familiar with any of: the 1950s, shady pharma, or diet pills, your...
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Logistics from 2021-01-25T12:11:33

Listen

You're Probably Wondering Why I've Called You Here Today from 2021-01-22T02:21:57

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/youre-probably-wondering-why-ive

Welcome to Astral Co...
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Still Alive from 2021-01-22T01:56:50

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/still-alive

I.

This was a triumph
I'm mak...
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[Classic] Social Psychology Is A Flamethrower from 2021-01-17T12:38:30

Mark Twain:

There is something fascinating about science. One gets such wholesale returns of conjecture out of such a trifling investment of fact.

If thi...
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[Classic] Lizardman’s Constant Is 4% from 2021-01-10T11:10:02

https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/12/noisy-poll-results-and-reptilian-muslim-...
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[Classic] We Are All MsScribe from 2020-12-28T11:26:49

https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/12/23/we-are-all-msscribe/

AskReddit asked recently: If you could only g...
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[Classic] Why Were Early Psychedelicists So Weird? from 2020-12-20T11:47:35

https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/04/28/why-were-early-psychedelicists-so-weird/

Listen

[Classic] The Influenza Of Evil from 2020-12-13T11:56:51

https://slatestarcodex.com/2015/01/13/evil-is-anti-inductive/

I.

A recent Cra...
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[Meetup Audio] Professor Stuart Russell - Human Compatible from 2020-12-08T20:48:35

Stuart Russell is a Professor of Computer Science at the University of California at Berkeley, holder of the Smith-Zadeh Chair in Engineering, and Director of the Center for Human-Compatible AI....
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[Classic] Reporter Degrees of Freedom from 2020-12-06T19:36:02

Reporter Degrees Of Freedom

I.

A sample of Thursday’s Listen

[Classic] How The West Was Won from 2020-11-30T04:23:57

https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/07/25/how-the-west-was-won/

I.

Someone recently...
Listen

[Classic] Reverse Voxsplaining: Drugs vs. Chairs from 2020-11-23T03:02:42

https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/08/29/reverse-voxsplaining-drugs-vs-chairs/

Listen

[Classic] A Modern Myth from 2020-11-16T22:55:04

https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/02/27/a-modern-myth/

1. Eris

A middle-aged man, James,...
Listen

[Classic] A Theory About Religion from 2020-11-09T17:09:40

https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/04/08/a-theory-of-religion/

Related to Listen

Here Are The Nine Ways The Election Could End from 2020-11-04T16:20:10

Link: https://slatestarscratchpad.tumblr.com/post/633822178059730944/here...
Listen

[Classic] The Ideology Is Not The Movement from 2020-11-02T14:56:21

I.

Why is there such a strong Sunni/Shia divide?

I know the Comparative Religion 101 answer. The early Muslims were debating who was the rightful caliph. Some of t...
Listen

[Meetup Audio] Jason Crawford: "The Non-Linear Model of Innovation" from 2020-10-28T22:12:30

This week the SSC Meetup features guest speaker Jason Crawford, author the blog The Roots of Progress, discussing 'the non-linear model of innovation.' Listen

[Classic] Weak Men Are Superweapons from 2020-10-26T17:50:45

I.

There was an argument on Tumblr which, like so many arguments on Tumblr, was terrible. I will rephrase it just a little to make a point.

Alice said something al...
Listen

[Classic] Skin in the Game from 2020-10-19T12:36:22

I.

One of the most interesting responses I got to my post supporting the junior doctors strike was by Sal...
Listen

[Meetup Audio] David Friedman: "Legal Systems Very Different from Ours" from 2020-10-15T13:15:46

David Friedman on Legal Systems Very Different from Ours: A brief survey of a range of legal system, past and present, from Imperial China ...
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[Classic] In The Future, Everyone Will Be Famous To Fifteen People from 2020-10-12T10:34

[Epistemic status: not very serious]
[Content note: May make you feel overly scrutinized]

Sometimes I hear people talking about ho...
Listen

[Classic] The Lottery of Fascinations from 2020-10-05T12:44:40

I.

Suppose I were to come out tomorrow as gay.

I have amazing and wonderful friends, and I certainly wouldn’t expect them to hate me forever or tell me to burn in ...
Listen

[Meetup Audio] Diana Fleischman: Integrating Evolutionary Psychology and Behaviorism from 2020-09-30T14:20:14

Integrating Evolutionary Psychology and Behaviorism

Summary - All of us want to change other people's behavior to align more closely with our goals. Over the las...
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[Classic] Freedom On The Centralized Web from 2020-09-28T08:45:22

I.

A lot of libertarians and anarcho-capitalists envision a future of small corporate states competing for migrants and capital by trying to have the best policies.
<...
Listen

[Classic] Against Interminable Arguments from 2020-09-21T14:46:51

[Epistemic status: something I’ve been thinking about recently. There’s a lot of complication around these issues and this is more to start a discussion th...
Listen

[Meetup Audio] Connor Leahy on GPT-3 as an AI Fire Alarm from 2020-09-17T12:36:40

Connor Leahy discusses the idea of an 'AGI Fire Alarm' and argues GPT-3 might be the last such warning we'll receive before it's too late to act.
Listen

[Classic] Should You Reverse Any Advice You Hear? from 2020-09-13T18:40:16

Suppose a lot of that stuff about bravery debates is right.

That lots of the advice people give is us...
Listen

Update on my Situation from 2020-09-13T17:43:06

It’s been two and a half months since I deleted the blog, so I owe all of you an update on Listen

[Classic] SSC Gives A Graduation Speech from 2020-09-07T11:49:34

Trigger warning: deliberately provoking horror about graduates’ real-?world post-?college prospects.

Epistemic status: intended as persuasiv...
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[Classic] Yes, We Have Noticed The Skulls from 2020-09-01T08:42:39

[Related: Tyler Cowen on rationalists, Listen

NYT Is Threatening My Safety By Revealing My Real Name, So I Am Deleting The Blog from 2020-06-23T08:30:12

So, I kind of deleted the blog. Sorry. Here’s my explanation.

Last week I talked to a New York Times technology reporter who was planning to write a story on Slate Star Codex. He...
Listen

Slightly Skew Systems of Government from 2020-06-18T10:52:20

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/06/17/slightly-skew-systems-of-government/

Listen

Open Thread 156.25 + Signal Boost for Steve Hsu from 2020-06-18T09:50:09

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/06/16/open-thread-156-25/

Normally this would be a hidden thread, but I w...
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The Vision of Vilazodone and Vortioxetine from 2020-06-17T12:04:34

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/06/15/the-vision-of-vilazodone-and-vortioxetine/

...
Listen

Wordy Wernicke's from 2020-06-13T09:16:30

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/06/11/wordy-wernickes/

There are two major brain areas involved in language....
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[Classic] Proving Too Much from 2020-06-13T08:38:47

https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/04/13/proving-too-much/

The fallacy of Listen

The Obligatory GPT-3 Post from 2020-06-12T13:30:27

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/06/10/the-obligatory-gpt-3-post/

I. Listen

Take the New Nootropics Survey from 2020-06-08T20:08:57

A few years ago I surveyed nootropics users about their experiences with different substances and posted the resu...
Listen

Problems With Paywalls from 2020-06-06T09:36:57

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/06/04/problems-with-paywalls/

I.

I hate paywa...
Listen

Bush Did North Dakota from 2020-05-31T07:24:20

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/05/28/bush-did-north-dakota/

Continuing Listen

[Classic] Guided by the Beauty of Our Weapons from 2020-05-30T08:48:39

https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/03/24/guided-by-the-beauty-of-our-weapons/

Listen

Creationism, Unchallenged from 2020-05-29T08:12:43

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/05/28/creationism-unchallenged/

How much should responsible news or...
Listen

“My Immortal” As Alchemical Allegory from 2020-05-28T10:11:32

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/05/26/my-immortal-as-alchemical-allegory/

I. Listen

Coronalinks 5/18/20: When All You Have Is a Hammer, Everything Starts Looking Like a Dance from 2020-05-20T11:54:46

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/05/18/coronalinks-5-18...
Listen

[Classic] Cardiologists and Chinese Robbers from 2020-05-16T10:02:54

https://slatestarcodex.com/2015/09/16/cardiologists-and-chinese-robbers/

I. Listen

Studies on Slack from 2020-05-14T14:15:05

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/05/12/studies-on-slack/

I.

Imagine a distant planet...
Listen

Book Review Contest: Call for Entries from 2020-05-07T08:38:37

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/05/05/book-review-contest-call-for-entries/

Your missi...
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[Classic] The Goddess of Everything Else from 2020-05-02T10:14:43

https://slatestarcodex.com/2015/08/17/the-goddess-of-everything-else-2/

Listen

Predictions for 2020 from 2020-05-01T08:30:53

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/29/predictions-for-2020/

At the beginning of every year, I Listen

Give Yourself Gout for Fame and Profit from 2020-04-29T13:02:33

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/27/give-yourself-gout-for-fame-and-profit/

Listen

Employer Provided Health Care Delenda Est from 2020-04-25T10:26:45

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/24/employer-provided-health-insurance-delenda-est/
Listen

The Amish Health Care System from 2020-04-22T09:59:56

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/20/the-amish-health-care-system/

I.
Listen

Depression: The Olfactory Perspective from 2020-04-17T22:40:28

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/17/depression-the-olfactory-perspective/

Depressed ...
Listen

A Failure, but Not of Prediction from 2020-04-16T11:18:11

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/14/a-failure-but-not-of-prediction/

I.<...
Listen

Coronalinks 4/10: Second Derivative from 2020-04-12T11:35:46

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/10/coronalinks-4-10-second-derivative/

The second derivative i...
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2019 Predictions: Calibration Results from 2020-04-09T20:35:48

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/08/2019-predictions-calibration-results/

At the beg...
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Never Tell Me the Odds (Ratio) from 2020-04-09T12:40:37

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/07/never-tell-me-the-odds-ratio/ Listen

SSCJC: Real World Depression Measurement from 2020-04-07T09:56:35

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/06/sscjc-real-world-depression-measurement/

The largest n...
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Book Review: The Precipice from 2020-04-03T13:43:01

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/01/book-review-the-precipice/

I.

It is ...
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SSC Journal Club: MacIntyre on Cloth Masks from 2020-04-02T07:13:20

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/03/31/ssc-journal-club-macintyre-on-cloth-masks/

...
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Legal Systems Very Different From Ours, Because I Just Made Them Up from 2020-03-31T21:56:27

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/03/30/legal-systems-very-different-from-ours...
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Coronalinks 3/27/20: We’re Number One from 2020-03-28T12:07:52

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/03/27/coronalinks-3-27-20/

The United States now has Listen

Face Masks: Much More Than You Wanted to Know from 2020-03-25T00:16:10

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/03/23/face-masks-much-more-than-you-wanted-to-know/

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Coronalinks 3/19/20 from 2020-03-21T14:31:19

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/03/19/coronalinks-3-19-20/

As before, feel free to treat this as an open...
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Book Review: Hoover from 2020-03-21T13:35:20

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/03/17/book-review-hoover/

You probably remember Herbert Hoover as the guy who bung...
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For, Then Against, High-Saturated-Fat Diets from 2020-03-15T10:59:36

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/03/10/for-then-against-high-saturated-fat-diets/

I...
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[Classic] Book Review: Surfing Uncertainty from 2020-03-08T20:46:37

https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/09/05/book-review-surfing-uncertainty/

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Socratic Grilling from 2020-03-07T14:49:26

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/03/06/socratic-grilling/

Imagine an kid in school first hearing about germ...
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Coronavirus: Links, Speculation, Open Thread from 2020-03-05T18:46:41

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/03/02/coronavirus-links-speculation-open-thread/

...
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Book Review: The Seven Principles for Making Marriage Work from 2020-03-01T19:57:03

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/02/27/book-review-the-seven-principles-for-ma...
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Book Review: Just Giving from 2020-02-26T21:06:53

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/02/24/book-review-just-giving/

I.

Traditiona...
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Sleep Support: An Individual Randomized Controlled Trial from 2020-02-18T20:32:53

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/02/17/sleep-support-an-individual-randomized-controlled...
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Addendum to "Targeting Meritocracy" from 2020-02-16T09:37:58

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/02/14/addendum-to-targeting-meritocracy/

I’ve always been...
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Confirmation Bias As Misfire of Normal Bayesian Reasoning from 2020-02-15T09:38:26

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/02/12/confirmation-bias-as-misfire-of-normal-bayesian...
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Welcome (?), Infowars Readers from 2020-02-15T09:35:41

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/02/12/welcome-infowars-readers/

Hello to all the new readers I’ve gotten fro...
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Autogenderphilia Is Common and Not Especially Related to Transgender from 2020-02-12T18:44:22

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/02/10/autogenderphilia-is-common-and-not-e...
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Suicide Hotspots of the World from 2020-02-09T12:18:45

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/02/05/suicide-hotspots-of-the-world/

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Book Review: Human Compatible from 2020-02-02T09:08:23

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/01/30/book-review-human-compatible/

I.
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Assortative Mating and Autism from 2020-01-29T20:32:20

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/01/28/assortative-mating-and-autism/

Introduction Listen

Book Review Review: Little Soldiers from 2020-01-26T17:16:55

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/01/22/book-review-review-little-soldiers/

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SSC Survey Results 2020 from 2020-01-21T19:15:08

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/01/20/ssc-survey-results-2020/

Thanks to the 8,043 people who took t...
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Contra Contra Contra Caplan on Psych from 2020-01-18T10:12:41

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/01/15/contra-contra-contra-caplan-on-psych/

I....
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2019 Adversarial Collaboration Winners from 2020-01-16T18:44:24

https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/01/13/2019-adversarial-collaboration-winners/

Thanks...
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What Intellectual Progress Did I Make in the 2010s? from 2020-01-11T11:30:08

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/01/08/what-intellectual-progress-did-i-make-in-the-201...
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A Very Unlikely Chess Game from 2020-01-09T19:51:26

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/01/06/a-very-unlikely-chess-game/

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Hardball Questions for the Next Debate (2020) from 2020-01-08T13:40:47

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/01/05/hardball-questions-for-the-next-debate-2020/
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Why Doctors Think They're The Best from 2020-01-03T18:42:49

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/01/02/why-doctors-think-theyre-the-best/

Ninety per...
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Please Take the 2020 SSC Survey! from 2019-12-30T16:04:20

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/12/30/please-take-the-2020-ssc-survey/

Please take Listen

Please Vote for ACC Winner from 2019-12-27T21:55:43

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/12/26/please-vote-for-acc-winner/

I’ve now posted all eigh...
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[ACC Entry] How Much Significance Should We Ascribe to Spiritual Experiences? from 2019-12-26T15:41:56

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/12/25/acc-how-much-significance-shou...
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[ACC Entry] Should You Have a Merry Christmas? from 2019-12-26T10:16:22

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/12/24/acc-should-you-have-a-merry-christmas/

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[ACC Entry] Will Automation Lead to Economic Crisis? from 2019-12-24T17:45:13

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/12/23/acc-will-automation-lead-to-economic-crisis/
Listen

A Maximally Lazy Guide to Giving to Charity in 2019 from 2019-12-23T21:06:28

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/12/22/a-maximally-lazy-guide-to-giving-to-charity-in-...
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[ACC Entry] When During Fetal Development Does Abortion Become Morally Wrong? from 2019-12-20T20:39:22

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/12/19/acc-when-during-fetal-developm...
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[ACC Entry] Should Gene Editing Technologies Be Used in Humans? from 2019-12-20T17:37:14

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/12/18/acc-should-gene-editing-technologies-be-used...
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[ACC Entry] Should We Colonize Space to Mitigate X-Risk? from 2019-12-18T19:24:55

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/12/17/acc-shou...
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[ACC Entry] Does Calorie Restriction Slow Aging? from 2019-12-14T10:33:39

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/12/12/acc-does-calorie-restriction-slow-aging/

<...
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[ACC Entry] Is Eating Meat a Net Harm? from 2019-12-13T20:57:16

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/12/11/acc-is-eating-meat-a-net-harm/

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[ACC Entry] What Are the Benefits, Harms, and Ethics of Infant Circumcision? from 2019-12-11T20:53:58

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/12/10/acc-is-infant-circumcision-ethical/

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2019 Adversarial Collaboration Entries from 2019-12-10T21:50:46

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/12/09/2019-adversarial-collaboration-entries/

...
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Symptom, Condition, Cause from 2019-12-07T16:57:14

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/12/04/symptom-condition-cause/

On my recent post on autism, se...
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SSC Meetups Everywhere Retrospective from 2019-11-29T20:01:46

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/11/28/ssc-meetups-everywhere-retrospective/

Slat...
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Mental Mountains from 2019-11-29T19:58:27

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/11/26/mental-mountains/

I.

Kaj Sotala has Listen

Book Review: All Therapy Books from 2019-11-24T13:15:34

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/11/20/book-review-all-therapy-books/

I. Listen

More Intuition-building on Non-empirical Science: Three Stories from 2019-11-20T21:43:29

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/11/18/more-intuition-building-on-non-empirical-science-three-stories/

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Autism and Intelligence: Much More Than You Wanted to Know from 2019-11-17T12:58:02

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/11/13/au...
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Fish – Now by Prescription [Classic] from 2019-11-16T18:34:48

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/06/15/fish-now-by-prescription/

I.

LOVAZA™®© (ask your doctor if LOVAZA™®© is right for you) is an excellent medicat...
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Sleep – Now by Prescription [Classic] from 2019-11-16T18:19:03

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/09/28/sleep-now-by-prescription/

Ramelteon isn’t a bad drug....
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Book Review: The Body Keeps the Score from 2019-11-15T17:56:56

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/11/12/book-review-the-body-keeps-the-score/

Listen

Building Intuitions on Non-empirical Arguments in Science from 2019-11-10T14:53:46

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/11/06/building-intuitions-on-non-empirical-argum...
Listen

Samsara from 2019-11-06T18:59

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/11/04/samsara/

I.

The man standing outside my front do...
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The Life Cycle of Medical Ideas [Classic] from 2019-11-02T18:09:58

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/09/12/the-life-cycle-of-medical-ideas/

I. Listen

New Atheism: The Godlessness That Failed from 2019-11-01T17:18:06

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/10/30/new-atheism-the-godlessness-that-failed/

Listen

Financial Incentives Are Weaker Than Social Incentives but Very Important Anyway from 2019-11-01T08:19:42

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/10/28/financial-incentive...
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Highlights from the Comments on PNSE from 2019-10-28T17:48:13

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/10/24/highlights-from-the-comments-on-pnse/

( Listen

Indian Economic Reform: Much More Than You Wanted to Know from 2019-10-25T18:20:06

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/10/23/indian-economic-reform-much-more-than-you-w...
Listen

The PNSE Paper from 2019-10-25T17:03:17

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/10/21/the-pnse-paper/

I’ve mentioned this a few times, but it’s worth g...
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Is Enlightenment Compatible With Sex Scandals? from 2019-10-22T09:58:34

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/10/16/is-enlightenment-compatible-with-sex-scandals/
...
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The Control Group Is Out of Control [Classic] from 2019-10-19T09:48:39

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/04/28/the-control-group-is-out-of-control/

Listen

Book Review: Against the Grain from 2019-10-17T17:19:26

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/10/14/book-review-against-the-grain/

Someone on SSC Disc...
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Beware Isolated Demands for Rigor [Classic] from 2019-10-05T13:58:19

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/08/14/beware-isolated-demands-for-rigor/

I.

From Identity, Personal Identity, and the Self by John Perry: Listen

Too Much Dark Money in Almonds from 2019-09-22T07:53:11

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/09/18/too-much-dark-money-in-almonds/

Everyone always talks abou...
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Against Tulip Subsidies [Classic] from 2019-09-21T08:55:53

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2015/06/06/against-tulip-subsidies/

I.

Imagine a lit...
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Against Against Pseudoaddiction from 2019-09-18T19:44:42

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/09/16/against-against-pseudoaddiction/

I.

“Pseudoaddiction” is one of the standard beats every article on the opioid...
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SSC Meetups 2019: Times and Places from 2019-09-15T12:08:39

Thanks to everyone who offered to host a meetup. Full list of cities, times, and places is below. If you’re reading this, you’re invited. Please don’t feel like you “won’t be welcome” just becau...
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Lots of People Going Around With Mild Hallucinations All the Time from 2019-09-15T12:00:44

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/0...
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SSC Journal Club: Relaxed Beliefs Under Psychedelics and the Anarchic Brain from 2019-09-14T12:32:45

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2...
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[Partial Retraction] Age Gaps and Birth Order Effects from 2019-09-14T12:08:45

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/09/09/partial-retraction-age-and-birth-order-effects/ Listen

Book Review: Seeing Like a State [Classic] from 2019-09-07T10:01:13

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/03/16/book-review-seeing-like-a-state/

I.
...
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List of Passages I Highlighted in My Copy of Ages of Discord from 2019-09-05T17:09:52

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/09/04/list-of-passages-i-highlighted-in-my-co...
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Book Review: Ages of Discord from 2019-09-03T20:05:05

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/09/02/book-review-ages-of-discord/

I.
...
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Meetups Everywhere 2019 from 2019-08-30T16:46:41

Last autumn we organized meetups in 85 different cities (and one ship!) around the world. Some of the meetup groups stuck around or reported permanent spikes in membership, which sounds like a s...
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Book Review: Reframing Superintelligence from 2019-08-30T16:38:24

Ten years ago, everyone was talking about superintelligence, the singularity, the robot apocalypse. What happened?

I think the main answer is: the field matured. Why isn’t everyone talkin...
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A Thrive/Survive Theory of the Political Spectrum from 2019-08-24T17:12:31

I admitted in my last post on Reaction that I devoted insufficient spac...
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Don't Fear the Simulators from 2019-08-23T17:11:32

From the New York Times: Are We Living In A Computer Simulatio...
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Maybe Your Zoloft Stopped Working Because a Liver Fluke Tried to Turn Your Nth-Great-Grandmother Into a Zombie from 2019-08-23T17:10:37

Or at least this is the theory proposed in Brain Evolution Through The Lens Of Parasite Manipulation by Marco del Giudice...
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Attempted Replication: Does Beef Jerky Cause Manic Episodes? from 2019-08-18T07:45:08

Last year, a study came out showing that beef jerky and other cured meats, could trigger mania in bipolar disorder ( Listen

Book Review: Secular Cycles from 2019-08-15T17:55:03

There is a tide in the affairs of men. It cycles with a period of about three hundred years. During its flood, farms and businesses prosper, and great empires enjoy golden ages. During its ebb, ...
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All Debates Are Bravery Debates [Classic] from 2019-08-10T09:11:14

“I don’t practice what I preach because I’m not the kind of person I’m preaching to.”
— J. R. “Bob” Dobbs

I.

I read Atlas Shrugged probably about a ...
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Against Bravery Debates [Classic] from 2019-08-10T08:13:32

There’s a tradition on Reddit that when somebody repeats some cliche in a tone that makes it sound like she believes she is bringing some brilliant and heretical insight – like “I know I’m going...
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Highlights from the Comments on Billionaire Philanthropy from 2019-08-10T07:29:03

Thanks to everyone who commented on Against Against Billionaire Philanthropy. For whatever reason, ...
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Squareallworthy on UBI Plans from 2019-08-06T17:25:34

I want to signal-boost Tumblr user squareallworthy‘s analysis of various UBI plans:

1. Listen

Against Against Billionaire Philanthropy from 2019-08-06T17:25:17

[Conflict of interest notice: I’ve volunteered for both private and public charities, but more often private. I received a small amount of money for work d...
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Who By Very Slow Decay [Classic] from 2019-08-01T17:17:37

[Trigger warning: Death, pain, suffering, sadness]

I.

Some people, having completed the traditional forms of empty speculation – “What do you want to be w...
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The Categories Were Made for Man, Not Man for the Categories [Classic] from 2019-07-27T08:27

I.

“Silliest internet atheist argument” is a hotly contested title, but I have a special place in my heart for the people who occasionally try to prove Biblical fallibili...
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Adversarial Collaboration Contest 2019 from 2019-07-27T07:42:32

[self plagiarism notice: this is mostly copied from last year’s contest announcement]

1. Announcing the second annual Adversaria...
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Book Review: The Electric Kool-aid Acid Test from 2019-07-25T16:49:47

Ken Kesey, graduating college in Oregon with several wrestling championships and a creative writing degree, made a classic mistake: he moved to the San Francisco Bay Area to find himself. He ren...
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Know Your Gabapentinoids from 2019-07-21T08:47:39

The gabapentinoids are a class of drugs vaguely resembling the neurotransmitter GABA. Although they were developed to imitate GABA’s action, later research discovered they acted on a different t...
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Caution on Bias Arguments from 2019-07-21T08:30:44

“You say it’s important to overcome biases. So isn’t it hypocritical that you’re not trying to overcome whichever bias prevents you from realizing you’re wrong and I’m right?”
...
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Against Lie Inflation from 2019-07-18T18:32:15

[Related to: The Whole City Is Center]

I....
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Archipelago and Atomic Communitarianism [Classic] from 2019-07-14T08:17:36

I.

In the old days, you had your Culture, and that was that. Your Culture told you lots of stuff about what you were and weren’t allowed to do, and by golly you listened....
Listen

Do People Like Their Mental Health Care? from 2019-07-14T07:37:25

Along with more specific questions, I asked people who took the SSC survey to rate their experience with the mental ...
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Survey Results: Sexual Roles from 2019-07-11T19:51

I already started analyzing the Listen

Gay Rites are Civil Rites from 2019-07-11T19:44:45

I.

I went to Antigua Guatemala in April. Their claim to fame is the world’s biggest Easter celebration. I wasn’t even there for Easter. I was three weeks early. But alrea...
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Style Guide: Not Sounding Like an Evil Robot from 2019-07-10T17:58:05

The saying goes: “Never offend people with style when you can offend them with substance”. This is the same idea as Listen

Some Clarifications on Rationalist Blogging from 2019-07-05T17:33:34

1. According to the survey, only 13% of SSC commenters identify as rationalists. Almost none of the rationalists I know IRL comment on SSC. Saying “rationalist community” when you mean “SSC comm...
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Editing Unsong from 2019-07-04T20:25:31

A few years ago, I wrote the online serial novel Unsong. Someday I want to get it published. But I want to fix it up before I try. I know publisher...
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Considerations on Cost Disease [Classic] from 2019-06-29T13:37:14

I.

Tyler Cowen writes about cost disease. I’d previou...
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More Confounders from 2019-06-27T17:53:22

[Epistemic status: Somewhat confident in the medical analysis, a little out of my depth discussing the statistics]

For ...
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If Only Turing Was Alive to See This from 2019-06-22T09:48:54

There’s a silly subreddit called r/totallynotrobots where people pretend to be badly-disguised robots. They post cat pictures with capti...
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Are Sexual Purity Taboos a Response to STIs? from 2019-06-22T09:46:30

I.

Did cultural evolution create sexual purity taboos to prevent the spread of STIs? A few weeks ago, I wrote a post assuming this was obviously true; after getting some ...
Listen

If Kim Jong-un Opened a KFC, Would You Eat There? from 2019-06-21T16:17:06

Philip Morris is pivoting to smoke-free cigarettes, because “society expects us to act responsibly, and we are doing j...
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Followup on the Baumol Effect: Thanks, O Baumol from 2019-06-20T16:32:29

Last week I reviewed Alex Tabarrok and Eric Helland’s Listen

Nobody is Perfect Everything is Commensurable [Classic] from 2019-06-15T23:00:14

I.

Recently spotted on Tumblr:

“This is going to be an unpopular opinion but I see stuff about ppl not wanting to reblog ferguson things and awareness...
Listen

Highlights From the Comments on Cultural Evolution from 2019-06-13T18:35:05

Peter Gerdes says:

As the examples of the Nicaraguan deaf children...
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Book Review: Why Are the Prices So D*mn High? from 2019-06-12T18:15:45

Why have prices for services like health care and education risen so much over the past fifty years? When I looke...
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Addendum to “Enormous Nutshell”: Competing Selectors from 2019-06-09T22:19:29

[Previously in sequence: Epistemic Learned Helplessness, Listen

Asymmetric Weapons Gone Bad from 2019-06-09T22:08:48

[Previously in sequence: Epistemic Learned Helplessness, Listen

List of Passages I Highlighted in My Copy of “The Secret of Our Success” from 2019-06-08T18:10:17

[Previously in sequence: Epistemic Learned Helplessness, Listen

Book Review: The Secret of Our Success from 2019-06-07T17:59:39

[Previously in sequence: Epistemic Learned Helplessness] Listen

[Repost] Epistemic Learned Helplessness from 2019-06-06T16:58:52

[This is a slightly edited repost of an essay from my old LiveJournal]

A friend recently complained about how many people lack the basic...
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In Favor of Niceness, Community, and Civilization [Classic] from 2019-06-01T09:22:34

[Content warning: Discussion of social justice, discussion of violence, spoilers for Jacqueline Carey books.]

[Edit 10/25: This post was inspired by a debate with a friend of...
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Postscript to APA Photo-Essay from 2019-05-30T20:36:30

I was surprised how many people responded to my APA photo-essay with comments like “Seems psychiatry as a fiel...
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The APA Meeting: A Photo-Essay from 2019-05-25T15:50:48

The first thing you notice at the American Psychiatric Association meeting is its size. By conservative estimates, a quarter of the psychiatrists in the United States are packed...
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A Critical Period for Lactation Fetishes from 2019-05-17T17:24:04

Enquist et al on lactation fetishes is one of my favorite papers.

They wonder – as we’ve all wondered at one poi...
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Age Gaps and Birth Order Effects from 2019-05-16T17:02:58

Psychologists are split on the existence of “birth order effects”, where oldest siblings will have different personality traits and outco...
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Is There a Case for Skepticism of Psychedelic Therapy? from 2019-05-12T12:56:13

There’s been an explosion of interest in the use of psychedelics in psychiatry. Like everyone else, I hope this works out. But recent discussion has been so overwhelmingly positive that it’s wor...
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5-HTTLPR: A Pointed Review from 2019-05-10T10:15:07

In 1996, some researchers discovered that depressed people often had an unusual version of the serotonin transporter gene 5-HTTLPR. The study became a psychiatric sensation, getting thousands of...
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Little Known Types of Eclipse from 2019-05-04T14:49:05

A lunar eclipse occurs when the Earth gets between the Moon and the Sun.

A solar eclipse occurs when the Moon gets between the Earth and the Sun.

A terrestrial eclipse occurs when ...
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Update to Partial Retraction of Animal Value and Neuron Number from 2019-05-04T14:47:32

A few weeks ago I published results of a small (n = 50) survey showing that people’s moral valuation of different kinds of animals Listen

Buspirone Shortage in Healthcaristan SSR from 2019-05-03T11:51:51

(Epistemic status: Unsure on details. Some post-publication edits 5/1 to make this less strident.)

I.<...
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1960: The Year the Singularity Was Cancelled from 2019-04-24T21:12:39

[Epistemic status: Very speculative, especially Parts 3 and 4. Like many good things, this post is based on a conversation with Paul Chris...
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Highlights From the Comments on College Admissions from 2019-04-19T17:42:15

HalTheWise discusses a factor I missed (until ...
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Increasingly Competitive College Admissions: Much More Than You Wanted to Know from 2019-04-19T12:00:29

0: Introduction

This is from businessstudent.com

Acceptance rate...
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Pain as Active Ingredient in Dating from 2019-04-12T20:20:55

Reciprocity is a simple dating site, created by some friends of mine. You sign up and see a list of all your Facebook friends who also signed up. You ca...
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Short Book Reviews April 2019 from 2019-04-11T18:46:36

Timothy Carey’s Listen

Social Censorship: The First Offender Model from 2019-04-04T17:06:27

RJ Zigerell (h/t Marginal Revolution) studies public support for eugenics. He finds that about 40% of Americans suppor...
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Two Wolves and a Sheep from 2019-03-31T16:19:16

Democracy is two wolves and a sheep deciding what to have for dinner. “Mutton” takes the popular vote, but “grass” wins in the Electoral College. The wolves wish they hadn’t all moved into the s...
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Partial Retraction of Post on Animal Value and Neural Number from 2019-03-31T16:17:25

Commenter Tibbar used Mechanical Turk to replicate my survey on how people thought about the moral weights of animals.

After getting 263 responses (to my 50...
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Cortical Neuron Number Matches Intuitive Perceptions of Moral Value Across Animals from 2019-03-28T21:13:58

[EDIT: No longer confident in this post, see edit note at bottom. May formally partially-retract it later.]

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Neurons and Intelligence: A Birdbrained Perspective from 2019-03-27T19:24:43

Elephants have bigger brains than humans, so why aren’t they smarter than we are?

The classic answer has been to play down absolute brain size in favor of brain size relative to body. Som...
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Translating Predictive Coding Into Perceptual Control from 2019-03-22T22:03:35

Wired wrote a good article about Karl Friston, the neuroscientist whose works I’ve...
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Book Review: Inventing the Future from 2019-03-21T21:43:32

They say “don’t judge a book by its cover”. So in case you were withholding judgment: yes, this bright red book covered with left-wing slogans is, in fact, communist. Listen

Gwern's AI-Generated Poetry from 2019-03-17T10:21:23

Gwern has answered my prayers and taught GPT-2 poetry.

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Does Reality Drive Straight Lines on Graphs, or Do Straight Lines on Graphs Drive Reality? from 2019-03-15T22:41:33

Here’s a graph of US air pollution over time:

During the discussion of 90s environmentalism, some people pointed out that this showed the Clean Air Act didn’t matter. The trend i...
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Puritan Spotting from 2019-03-14T20:11:26

[Related to: Book Review: Albion’s Seed]
[Epi...
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Book Review: Albion's Seed [Classic] from 2019-03-13T19:03

I.

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Ketamine: Now by Prescription from 2019-03-12T21:35:01

Last week the FDA approved esketamine for treatment-resistant depression.

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Prospiracy Theories from 2019-03-06T20:14:53

[Title from this unrelated story or this unrel...
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Meaningful from 2019-03-02T09:48:24

[With apologies to Putnam, Pope, and all of you]

Two children are reading a text Listen

In Mod We Trust from 2019-03-01T18:57:27

The Verge writes a story (an exposé?) on the Facebook...
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Rule Thinkers In, Not Out from 2019-02-28T21:36:09

Imagine a black box which, when you pressed a button, would generate a scientific hypothesis. 50% of its hypotheses are false; 50% are true hypotheses as game-changing and elegant as relativity....
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Wage Stagnation: Much More Than You Wanted to Know from 2019-02-28T21:25:53

[Epistemic status: I am basing this on widely-accepted published research, but I can’t guarantee I’ve understood the research right or managed to emphasize...
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RIP Culture War Thread from 2019-02-23T15:54:38

[This post is having major technical issues. Some comments may not be appearing. If you can’t comment, please say so on the subreddit.]

...
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My Plagiarism from 2019-02-22T17:37:18

I was going back over yesterday’s post, and something sounded familiar about this paragraph:
<...
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GPT-2 as Step Toward General Intelligence from 2019-02-21T22:28:58

A machine learning researcher writes me in response to yesterday’s post, saying:

<...
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Do Neural Nets Dream of Electric Hobbits? from 2019-02-21T19:54:27

Last week OpenAI announced its latest breakthrough. GPT-2 is a language model that can write essays to a prompt, answer questions, ...
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The Proverbial Murder Mystery from 2019-02-16T13:59:56

I.

Chefs. Hundreds of them. Tall chefs, short chefs, black chefs, white chefs. I pushed forward through them, like an explorer hacking away at undergrowth. They muttered ...
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Survey Results on SSRIs from 2019-02-09T09:59:02

SSRIs are the most widely used class of psychiatric medications, helpful for depression, anxiety, OCD, panic, PTSD, anger, and certain personality disorders (Why should the same drug treat all t...
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Respectability Cascades from 2019-02-07T18:43:22

I.

I don’t know much about gay history, but the heavily mythicized version of it I heard goes like this:

At first open homosexuality was totally taboo. A few group...
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Book Review: Zero to One from 2019-02-02T09:42:07

I.

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Predictions for 2019 from 2019-01-26T09:11:38

At the beginning of every year, I make predictions. At the end of every year, I Listen

Psychiat-List Now Up from 2019-01-25T19:46:43

Lots of people have asked me to recommend them a psychiatrist or therapist. I’ve done a terrible job responding: it’s a conflict of interest to recommend my own gr...
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2018 Predictions: Calibration Results from 2019-01-24T18:14:22

At the beginning of every year, I make predictions. At the end of every year, I score them. Here are 2014 Listen

Highlights from the Comments on Kuhn from 2019-01-20T10:49:28

Thanks to everyone who commented on the review of The Structure Of Scientific Revolution...
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Kernel of Doubt: Testing Math Preference vs. Corn-Eating Style from 2019-01-17T19:31:46

In 2010, Ben Tilly of the blog Random Observations wrote Analysis Vs. Algebra Predicts Eating Corn?, ...
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Too Many People Dare Call it Conspiracy from 2019-01-16T19:57:58

[Content warning: References to anti-Semitic and anti-Catholic canards]

I feel deep affection for Gary Allen’s Listen

SSC Survey Results 2019 from 2019-01-14T18:35:46

Thanks to the 8,171 people who took the 2019 Slate Star Codex survey. Some of the links below will say 13,171 people took the survey, but that’s a bug – sometimes ...
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Paradigms All the Way Down from 2019-01-12T21:04:21

Related to: Book Review: The Structure Of Scientific Revolutions
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Book Review: The Structure of Scientific Revolutions from 2019-01-10T19:53:50

When I hear scientists talk about Thomas Kuhn, he sounds very reasonable. Scientists have theories that guide their work. Sometimes they run into things their theories can’t explain. Then some g...
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Preregistration of Investigations for the 2019 SSC Survey from 2019-01-06T13:49:23

This post is about the 2019 SSC Survey. If you’ve read at least one blog post here before, please Listen

What Happened to 90s Environmentalism? from 2019-01-03T22:57:31

0. Introduction

I grew up in the 90s, which meant watching movies about plucky children fighting Pollution Demons. Sometimes teachers would show them to us in class. None...
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Please Take the 2019 SSC Survey from 2019-01-01T18:34:17

Please take the 2019 Slate Star Codex Survey.

The survey helps me learn more about SSC readers and plan community eve...
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Beware the Man of One Study [Classic] from 2018-12-29T08:49:24

Aquinas famously said: beware the man of one book. I would add: beware the man of one study.

For example, take medical researc...
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Refactoring: Culture as Branch of Government from 2018-12-20T22:39:38

Ribbonfarm likes to talk about refactoring, a conceptual change in how you see the world. I’m not totally sure...
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Fallacies of Reversed Moderation from 2018-12-20T22:25:31

A recent discussion: somebody asked why people in Silicon Valley thought that only high-tech solutions to climate change (like carbon capture or geoengineering) mattered, and why they dismissed ...
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Trump: A Setback for Trumpism from 2018-12-14T22:44:44

Donald Trump has been called a setback for many things. America. The global community. The environment. Civil service. Civil society. Civility. Civilization. The list...
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Diametrical Model of Autism and Schizophrenia from 2018-12-12T21:45:03

One interesting thing I took from Evolutionary Psychopathology was a better understanding o...
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Del Giudice on the Self-Starvation Cycle from 2018-12-07T21:06:51

[Content note: eating disorders]

Anorexia has a cultural component. I’m usually reluctant to assume anything is cultural – every mediocr...
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Book Review: Evolutionary Psychopathology from 2018-12-05T18:30:10

I.

Evolutionary psychology is famous for having lots of stories that make sense but are hard to test. Psychiatry is famous for having mountains of experimental data but n...
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Book Review: The Mind Illuminated from 2018-11-30T22:10:52

I.

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Is Science Slowing Down? from 2018-11-27T22:47:29

[This post was up a few weeks ago before getting taken down for complicated reasons. They have been sorted out and I’m trying again.]

Is...
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The Economic Perspective on Moral Standards from 2018-11-17T20:21:13

[Content warning: scrupulosity]

I.

“There is no ethical consumption under late capitalism”.

I hear this f...
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Preschool: Much More Than You Wanted to Know from 2018-11-15T08:01:24

I.

A lot of people pushed back against my post on preschool, so it looks like we need to discus...
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Ketamine: An Update from 2018-11-09T20:06:51

In 2016, I wrote Ketamine Research In A New Light, which discussed the emerging consensus that, contra exist...
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SSRIs: An Update from 2018-11-09T18:15:22

Four years ago I examined the claim that SSRIs are little better than placebo. Since then, some of my...
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Marijuana: An Update from 2018-11-08T21:10:40

[Originally to be titled “Marijuana: I Was Wrong”, but looking back I was suitably careful about everything, and my reward is not having to say that.]...
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Preschool: I Was Wrong from 2018-11-07T21:20:20

Kelsey Piper has written an article for Vox: Early Childhood Education Yield...
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My California Ballot from 2018-11-05T18:15:52

These are my preliminary choices for California elected positions and ballot initiatives. Some of them are based on Listen

Working with Google Trends from 2018-11-02T21:09:39

[Epistemic status: low. You tell me if you think this works.]

Commenter no_bear_so_low has been doing some great work with Google Trends...
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Sort by Controversial from 2018-11-01T18:23:52

[Epistemic status: fiction]

Thanks for letting me put my story on your blog. Mainstream media is crap and no one would have believed me ...
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Nominating Oneself for the Short End of a Tradeoff from 2018-10-26T20:55:45

I’ve gotten a chance to discuss The Whole City Is Center with a few people now. They remain skeptical of the idea th...
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Cognitive Enhancers: Mechanisms and Tradeoffs from 2018-10-24T19:02:36

[Epistemic status: so, so, so speculative. I do not necessarily endorse taking any of the substances mentioned in this post.]

There’s be...
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The Chamber of Guf from 2018-10-16T20:32:14

[I briefly had a different piece up tonight discussing a conference, but the organizers asked me to hold off on writing about it until they’ve put up their...
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Anxiety Sampler Kits from 2018-10-13T13:52:57

The best thing about personalized medicine is that it’s obviously right. The worst thing is we mostly have no idea how to do it. We know that different people respond to different treatments. Bu...
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Kavanaugh: A Probability Poll from 2018-10-09T19:04:31

There’s some literature suggesting that people are more careful when they think in probabilities. If you ask them for a definite answer, they might give it and sound very confident, but if you e...
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Nighttime Ventilation Survey Results from 2018-10-06T19:41:14

Thanks to the 129 people who tried altering their nighttime carbon dioxide levels after my post on this, a...
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Next Door in Nodrumia from 2018-10-05T21:29:15

[Content note: attempt to consider real people’s real problems using angel-on-pinhead impractical reasoning and ideas]

I. Listen

Highlights from the Comments on NIMBYs from 2018-10-04T22:23:26

Quixote writes:

It’s odd to me how bad San Francisco is, when other large cities ...
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Steelmanning the NIMBYs from 2018-10-03T19:34:26

[Epistemic status: very unsure. I sympathize with many YIMBY ideas and might support them on net; this post is me exaggerating the NIMBY parts of my brain ...
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Adversarial Collaboration Contest Results from 2018-09-29T21:01:17

Grand Prize ($1000): Does The Education System Adequately...
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The Tails Coming Apart as Metaphor for Life from 2018-09-29T07:59:36

A neglected gem from Less Wrong: Why The Tails Come Apart, by commenter Thrasymachus. It explains why ev...
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Treating the Prodrome from 2018-09-23T07:53:36

A prodrome is an early stage of a condition that might have different symptoms than the full-blown version. In psychiatry, the prodrome of schizophrenia is the few-months-to-few-years period whe...
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Book Review: The Black Swan from 2018-09-21T17:03:51

I.

Writing a review of Listen

The Omnigenic Model as a Metaphor for Life from 2018-09-15T21:46:07

The collective intellect is change-blind. Knowledge gained seems so natural that we forget what it was like not to have it. Piaget says children gain long-term memory at age 4 and don’t learn ab...
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In the Balance from 2018-09-13T20:09:30

When you first take the Artifact, you will see a vision of ALPHANION, Demon-Sultan of the Domain of Order, who appears as a grid of spheres connected by luminous lines. Alphanion will urge you t...
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Time to Vote! from 2018-09-10T16:51:22

This is the bi-weekly visible open thread (there are also hidden open threads twice a week you can reach through the Open Thread tab on the top of the page). Post about anything you want, ask ra...
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[ACC Entry] Should Transgender Children Transition? from 2018-09-09T11:09:58

[This is an entry to the Adversarial Collaboration Contest by flame7926 and a_reader.] Listen

[ACC Entry] Should Childhood Vaccination Be Mandatory? from 2018-09-08T09:01:27

This is an entry to the Adversarial Collaboration Contest by Mark Davis and Mark Webb, wh...
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[ACC Entry] Are Islam and Liberal Democracy Compatible? from 2018-09-07T18:10:16

[This is an entry to the Adversarial Collaboration Contest by John Buridan and Christian ...
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[ACC Entry] Does the Education System Adequately Serve Advanced Students? from 2018-09-06T20:10:24

[This is an entry to the Adversarial Collaboration Contest...
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This Week: Adversarial Collaboration Entries from 2018-09-04T19:00:41

This week I’ll be presenting entries from the adversarial collaboration contest.

Remember, an adversarial collaboration is where two people with opposite views on a controversial issue wo...
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Bureaucracy as Active Ingredient from 2018-08-31T17:55:28

Commenters on yesterday’s post brought up an important point: sometimes bureaucracies aren’t just inefficient...
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Bulls**t Jobs (Part 1 of ?) from 2018-08-31T17:49:27

A surprisingly common part of my life: a patient asks me for a doctor’s note for back pain or something. Usually it’s a situation like their work chair hurts their back, and their work won’t let...
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Elegy for John McCain from 2018-08-29T17:56:20

Say a prayer for John McCain
Who passes from his earthly pain
His eyes are shut upon his brow
He warmongers to angels now

Beyond the sky, where sorrows cease
He ra...
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Carbon Dioxide: An Open Door Policy from 2018-08-24T16:37:20

[Content note: reading this post might cause feelings of suffocation or provoke panic attacks in susceptible individuals. Epistemic status is very speculat...
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Practically-a-Book Review: EA Hotel from 2018-08-22T17:26:29

Effective altruism (“EA”) is a movement dedicated to redirecting charity-related resources to the most important and successful charities. In practice this involves a lot of research into how im...
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The Parentheses Riddle from 2018-08-18T14:22:59

Because I hate you, I included this question on the SSC survey:

It’s a weird trick question, but I would say B is right. Imagine converting “(” to X and “)” to Y. Then the first answer is...
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SSC Survey: Scattered Negative Results from 2018-08-17T17:35:52

Traffic to this blog is declining. I need to act decisively to draw people back. Write something so interes...
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SSC Survey Results: ADHD and Rejection Sensitivity from 2018-08-16T19:39:55

Introduction

ADHD is typically considered a disorder of attention and focus. There are various other traits everyone knows are linked – officially, hyperactivity and “beh...
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SSC Meetups 2018: Times and Places from 2018-08-09T19:38:32

Thanks to everyone who offered to host a meetup. We’re scheduled for meetups in 77 cities (and one ship!) in 23 countries, soundly beating last year’s list. Full list of cities, times, and place...
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Before You Get Too Excited About That Trigger Warning Study... from 2018-08-08T16:33:16

STUDY: Trigger Warnings Are Harmful To College Students says the Daily Wire, describing...
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Cancer Progress: Much More Than You Wanted to Know from 2018-08-07T06:40:15

Official statistics say we are winning the War on Cancer. Cancer incidence rates, mortality rates, and five-year-survival rates have generally been moving in the right direction over the past fe...
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The Toxoplasma of Rage [Classic] from 2018-08-03T20:56:56

“Nobody makes an IRC channel for no reason. Who are we doing this versus?”
— topic of #slatestarcodex

I.

Some old news I only jus...
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Verses Composed upon Reading a Review from Tripadvisor from 2018-07-27T18:35:06

The Tourist Board of Xanadu
Did recently impose a fee
On those who travel far from home
To visit Kubla’s pleasure dome
Of $20, 9 – 3

So twice five miles of fertile...
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Value Differences as Differently Crystallized Metaphysical Heuristics from 2018-07-27T18:21:18

[Previously in sequence: Fundament...
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The Whole City is Center from 2018-07-21T20:19:58

Related to yesterday’s post on people being too quick to assume value differences: some of the simplest fake value differences are where people make a big deal about routing around a certain wor...
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Fundamental Value Differences Are Not That Fundamental from 2018-07-21T18:50:46

Ozy (and Listen

Did a Melatonin Patent Inspire Current Dose Confusion? from 2018-07-14T21:16:23

Yesterday I wrote about melatonin, mentioning that most drugstore melatonin su...
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Melatonin: Much More Than You Wanted to Know from 2018-07-12T18:12:28

[I am not a sleep specialist. Please consult with one before making any drastic changes or trying to treat anything serious.]

Listen

The Craft and the Codex from 2018-07-08T20:24:12

The rationalist community started with the idea of rationality as a martial art – a set of skills ...
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SSC Journal Club: Dissolving the Fermi Paradox from 2018-07-06T20:46:29

I’m late to posting this, but it’s important enough to be worth sharing anyway: Sandberg, Drexler, and Ord on Dissolving the Fermi Paradox.
Listen

Highlights from the Comments on Piketty from 2018-07-01T09:08

Chris Stucchio recommended Matt Rognlie’s criticisms of Piketty (Listen

List of Passages I Highlighted in My Copy of Capital in the Twenty-First Century from 2018-06-29T21:36:09

[Original review is here. Don’t worry, people who had interesting comments on the review ...
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Book Review: Capital in the Twenty-First Century from 2018-06-27T19:54:19

[Epistemic status: I am not an economist. Many people who are economists have reviewed this book already. I review it only because if I had to slog through reading this thing I at least want...
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Cost Disease in Medicine: the Practical Perspective from 2018-06-23T08:35:44

Sometimes I imagine quitting my job and declaring war on cost disease in medicine.

I would set up a practice with a name like Cheap-O Psychiatry. The corny name would be important. It wou...
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Contra Caplan on Arbitrary Deploring from 2018-06-23T08:14:31

Last year, Bryan Caplan wrote about what he called The Unbearable Arbitrariness Of Deploring:

Let’...
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The GATTACA Trilogy from 2018-06-21T20:57:02

[Few people realize that the 1997 cult hit GATTACA was actually just the first film in a three-movie trilogy. The final two movies, directed by the legendary Moira LeQuivalence, were flops w...
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HPPD and the Specter of Permanent Side Effects from 2018-06-08T07:07:29

I recently worked with a man who took LSD once in college and never stopped hallucinating. It’s been ten years now and it’s still going. We can control it with medication, but take the meds away...
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In Search of Missing US Suicides from 2018-06-03T09:16:44

[Content warning: suicide. Thanks to someone on Twitter I forget for alerting me to this question]

Among US states, there’s a clear rela...
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Highlights from the Comments on Basic Jobs from 2018-05-30T20:42:02

These are some of the best comments from Basic Income, Not Basic Jobs: Against Hijacking Uto...
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Should Psychiatry Test for Lead More? from 2018-05-26T08:49:22

Dr. Matthew Dumont treated a 44 year old woman with depression, body dysmorphia, and psychosis. She failed to respond to most of the ordinary treatments, failed to respond to electroconvulsive t...
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Can Things Be Both Popular and Silenced? from 2018-05-25T09:40:32

The New York Times recently reported on various anti-PC thinkers as “the intellectual dark web”, spa...
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Basic Income, Not Basic Jobs: Against Hijacking Utopia from 2018-05-19T15:42:09

Some Democrats angling for the 2020 presidential nomination have a big idea: Listen

Varieties of Argumentative Experience from 2018-05-10T19:08:21

In 2008, Paul Graham wrote How To Disagree Better, ranking arguments on a scale from name-calling to explicitly refuting the other person’s...
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Book Review: History of the Fabian Society from 2018-05-03T00:19:31

I.

A spectre is haunting Europe. Several spectres, actually. One of them is the spectre of communism. The others are literal ghosts. They live in abandoned mansions. Some...
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Adversarial Collaboration Contest: Loose Ends and Registration from 2018-05-01T07:22:29

Thanks to everyone who expressed interest in the adversarial collaborations co...
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Call for Adversarial Collaborations from 2018-04-29T09:41:08

An adversarial collaboration is an effort by two people with opposing opinions on a topic to collaborate on a summary of the evidence. Just as we hope that a trial with both prosecutor and defen...
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Mental Health on a Budget from 2018-04-27T15:52:03

Everyone knows medical care in the US is expensive even with insurance and prohibitively expensive without it. I have a lot of patients who are uninsured, or who bounce on and off insurance, or ...
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Gupta on Enlightenment from 2018-04-21T21:26

That story about the blockchain-based dating site gets better: its designer is an enlightened bein...
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Highlights from the Comments on Survey Harassment Rates from 2018-04-20T08:45:25

[Content warning: harassment. This discusses the comments to Listen

SSC Survey Results: Sexual Harassment Levels by Field from 2018-04-19T19:23:32

[content note: sexual harassment]

I.

Recent discussion of sexual harassment at work has focused on a few high-pr...
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Recommendations vs. Guidelines from 2018-04-14T06:59:48

Medicine loves guidelines. But everywhere else, guidelines are still underappreciated.

Consider a recommendation, like “Try Lexapro!” Even if Lexapro is a good medication, it might not be...
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Highlights from the Comments on DC Graduation Rates from 2018-04-13T08:20:50

Bizzolt writes:

DC Public Schools HS teacher here (although I’m not returning...
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Why DC’s Low Graduation Rates? from 2018-04-12T14:30:03

[Some changes to the conclusions in this post; see edit at the end and entry 21 on Mistakes page]

US News: Listen

Adult Neurogenesis – A Pointed Review from 2018-04-06T18:11:54

[I am not a neuroscientist and apologize in advance for any errors in this article.]

Hey, let’s review the literature on adult neurogene...
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Highlights from the Comments on Twelve Rules from 2018-04-05T18:16:23

From sclmlw:

While I don’t agree with lots of Jordan Peterson, I think S...
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Are the Amish Unhappy? Super Happy? Just Meh? from 2018-04-04T19:40:50

Recently on Marginal Revolution: Are the Amish unhappy?

The average levels ...
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The Hour I First Believed from 2018-04-02T22:22:22

There’s a Jewish tradition that laypeople should only speculate on the nature of God during Passover, because God is closer to us and such speculations might succeed.

And there’s an athei...
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Book Review Twelve Rules for Life from 2018-03-28T14:33:39

I got Jordan Peterson’s Listen

Navigating And:Or Avoiding the Inpatient Mental Health System from 2018-03-24T19:01:39

This is in response to questions I get about how to interact (or not interact) with the inpatient mental health system and involuntary commitment. The table of contents is:

1. How can I g...
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The Dark Rule Utilitarian Argument for Science Piracy from 2018-03-21T16:28:30

I sometimes advertise sci-hub.tw – the Kazakhstani pirate site that lets you get scientific papers for free. It’s clearly illegal in the US. But is it unethical...
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SSC Journal Club Friston on Computational Mood from 2018-03-12T18:36:56

A few months ago, I wrote Toward A Predictive Theory Of Depression, which used the predictive coding...
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I Can Tolerate Anything Except the Outgroup [Classic] from 2018-03-09T02:07:05

I'm traveling and not in a position to record "SSC Journal Club: Friston on Computational Mood" so I thought I'd release this SSC classic to tide people over:

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God Help Us, Let’s Try to Understand Friston on Free Energy from 2018-03-05T23:06:54

I’ve been trying to delve deeper into predictive processing theories of the brain, and I keep coming across K...
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SSC Journal Club Cipriani on Antidepressants from 2018-02-27T02:54:55

I.

The big news in psychiatry this month is Cipriani et al’s Comparative eff...
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Highlights from the Comments on Technological Unemployment from 2018-02-23T19:54:23

Thanks to everyone who commented on the post about technological unemployment. Listen

Current Affairs’ “Some Puzzles for Libertarians”, Treated as Writing Prompts for Short Stories from 2018-02-22T19:52:42

[Taken from here.]

I.
Listen

Technological Unemployment Much More Than You Wanted to Know from 2018-02-20T18:21:04

[I am not an economist or an expert on this topic. This is my attempt to figure out what economists and experts think so I can understand the issue, and I’...
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Five More Years from 2018-02-16T19:58:23

Those yearly “predictions for next year” posts are starting to reach the limit of their usefulness. Not much changes fro...
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Even More Search Terms That Led People to This Blog from 2018-02-15T14:25:03

[Previously in series: Search Terms That Have Led People To...
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More Testimonials for SSC from 2018-02-14T12:03:20

Last post I thanked some of the people who have contributed to this blog. But once again, it’s time to honor some of the...
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We've Got Five Years, What a Surprise from 2018-02-14T03:58:07

Today is the fifth anniversary of Slate Star Codex. Overall I’m very happy with how this project is going so far, and I want to take this opportunity to thank everyone who’s made things work beh...
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Guyenet on Motivation from 2018-02-08T03:13:38

Rereading Listen

Predictions for 2018 from 2018-02-06T13:24:56

At the beginning of every year, I make predictions. At the end of every year, I Listen

Powerless Placebos from 2018-02-01T14:51:15

[All things that have been discussed here before, but some people wanted it all in a convenient place]

The most important study on the p...
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The Invention of Moral Narrative from 2018-01-31T13:23:10

H/T Robin Hanson: Aeon’s The Good Guy / Bad Guy Myth. “Pop culture today is obsessed with the...
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Highlights from the Comments on Conflict vs. Mistake from 2018-01-30T03:33:02

Thanks to everyone who commented on the posts about conflict and mistake theory.

aciddc writes: Listen

SSC Survey Data on Models of Political Conflict from 2018-01-26T15:04:48

There were a lot of good comments on yesterday’s conflict vs. mistake post. Some were very appropriate challenges: for example, doesn’t public choice theory itself assume conflict between specia...
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Conflict Vs. Mistake from 2018-01-25T14:04:56

Jacobite – which is apparently still a real magazine and not a one-off gag making fun of Jacobin – summarizes their article Listen

Practically-A-Book Review Luna Whitepaper from 2018-01-18T14:18:07

They say money can’t buy love. But that was the bad old days of fiat money. Now there are dozens of love-based cryptocurrencies – LoveCoin, CupidCoin, Erosium, Nubilo – with market caps in the m...
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Bundles of Joy from 2018-01-17T15:33:47

On December’s survey, I asked readers who had children whether they were happy with that decision. Here are the resul...
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Maybe the Real Superintelligent AI Is Extremely Smart Computers from 2018-01-16T03:29:22

By Ted Chiang, on Buzzfeed: The Real Danger To Civilization Isn’t AI: It’s Runaway Capitalism. Chiang’s science fiction is great and I highly recommend it. This article, not so much.

The ...
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Meditations on Moloch [Classic] from 2018-01-13T19:02:37

[Content note: Visions! omens! hallucinations! miracles! ecstasies! dreams! adorations! illuminations! religions!]

I. Listen

Self-Serving Bias from 2018-01-12T16:24:30

Alex Tabarrok beat me to the essay on Oregon’s self-service gas laws that I wanted...
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Fight Me, Psychologists Birth Order Effects Exist and Are Very Strong from 2018-01-08T15:35:23

“Birth order” refers to whether a child is the oldest, second-oldest, youngest, etc. in their family. For a while, pop psychologists created a whole industry around telling people how their birt...
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Book Review Madness and Civilization from 2018-01-05T04:24:07

I started reading Foucault’s Listen

2017 Predictions Calibration Results from 2018-01-03T14:54:42

At the beginning of every year, I make predictions. At the end of every year, I score them. Here are 2014 Listen

Adderall Risks Much More Than You Wanted to Know from 2017-12-29T00:09:30

I didn’t realize how much of a psychiatrist’s time was spent gatekeeping Adderall.

The human brain wasn’t built for accounting or software engineering. A few lucky people can do these thi...
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A History of the Silmarils in the Fifth Age from 2017-12-27T00:15:34

The Silmarillion describes the fate of the three Silmarils. Earendil kept one, and traveled with it through the sky, where it became the planet Venus. Maedhros stole another, but regret...
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Preregistration of the Hypotheses for the SSC Survey from 2017-12-26T01:42:08

[This post is about the 2018 SSC Survey. If you’ve read at least one blog post here before, please take the survey if y...
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Please Take The 2018 SSC Reader Survey from 2017-12-22T17:27:22

If you’re reading this and have previously read at least one Slate Star Codex post, please take the 2018 SSC Survey.
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What to Make of New Positive NSI-189 Results? from 2017-12-08T23:23:16

I wanted NSI-189 to be real so badly.

Pharma companies used to love antidepressants. Millions of people are depressed. Millions of people who aren’t depressed think they are. Sell them al...
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Tax Bill 3 Don’t Mess With Taxes from 2017-12-08T03:52:46

Thanks to everyone who commented on my last two posts, especially the many people who disagreed with me. Two things I will admit I got mostly wrong:

1. I was wrong to say there was “no ca...
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Response to Comments The Tax Bill is Still Very Bad from 2017-12-07T03:37:05

There was some good pushback on yesterday’s article on taxes. But sorry, I’m still right.

Many people responded with generic low-tax anti-government positions. Fine. Let’s say the governm...
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The Tax Bill Compared to Other Very Expensive Things from 2017-12-05T22:10:25

Here is the cost of the current GOP tax bill placed in the context of other really expensive things. Although it’s not quite enough money to solve world hunger, it’s enough to end US ho...
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Against Overgendering Harassment from 2017-12-05T16:37:44

About 30% of the victims of sexual harassment are men. About 20% of the perpetrators of sexual harassment are women.

Don’t believe me? In a Listen

Book Review: Inadequate Equilibria from 2017-12-01T19:12:34

Eliezer Yudkowsky’s catchily-titled Inadequate Equilibria is many things. It’s a look into whether there is any role for individual reason in a world where you can always just trust exp...
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Contra Robinson on Public Food from 2017-11-22T20:18:45

Earlier this year, Nathan Robinson of Current Affairs wrote an article against scho...
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List of Passages I Highlighted in My Copy of Legal Systems Very Different From Ours from 2017-11-16T17:16:11

Question I’d never thought to ask before: are we sure it’s a good idea to let people know what the laws are?

The Chinese legal system originated somewhat over 2000 years ago ...
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Book Review Legal Systems Very Different From Ours from 2017-11-14T15:35:15

Medieval Icelandic crime victims would sell the right to pursue a perpetrator to the highest bidder. 18th century English justice replaced fines with criminals bribing prosecutors to drop cases....
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Ars Longa, Vita Brevis from 2017-11-09T16:48:55

The Alchemist asked if I wanted a drink. I did, but no amount of staring could make my eyes settle on the color of the liquid in the flask. And the gold the alchemists paid the taxmen smelled fu...
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Does Age Bring Wisdom? from 2017-11-08T17:33:45

I turn 33 today. I can only hope that age brings wisdom.

We’ve been talking recently about the high-level frames and heuristics that organize other concepts. They’re hard to transmit, and...
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CONCEPT-SHAPED HOLES CAN BE IMPOSSIBLE TO NOTICE from 2017-11-07T15:09:03

When I wrote about my experiences doing psychotherapy with people, one commenter won...
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NON-EXPERT EXPLANATION from 2017-11-03T15:27:53

SSC’s review of postmodernism got very mixed reviews. Some of them made a good point: why should I ...
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POSTMODERNISM FOR RATIONALISTS (MY ATTEMPT) from 2017-11-02T15:54:28

Some of the Seattleites put together a Postmodernism For Rationalists presentation that’s been sparki...
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AGAINST RAT PARK from 2017-10-26T02:58:38

Rat Park is a famous study in which lab rats were kept in a really nice habitat that satisfied their every need. Contrary to the usual results with lab animals, scientists couldn’t get these hap...
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HOW DID NEW ATHEISM FAIL SO MISERABLY? from 2017-10-25T14:54:36

The Baffler publishes a long article against “idiot” New Atheists. It’s interesting only in the context of so many Listen

KOLMOGOROV COMPLICITY AND THE PARABLE OF LIGHTNING from 2017-10-24T20:07

A good scientist, in other words, does not merely ignore conventional wisdom, but makes a special effort to break it. Scientists go looking for trouble.

— Paul Graham, Listen

HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE COMMENTS ON DARK AGES from 2017-10-17T16:27:20

Thanks to everyone who made interesting comments on yesterday’s post about Dark Ages.

Several people challenged the matching of the economic/population decline to the “fall of Rome”. For ...
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WERE THERE DARK AGES? from 2017-10-16T15:50:26

Cracked offers Five Ridiculous Myths You Probably Believe About The Dark Ages; nu...
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SSC JOURNAL CLUB SEROTONIN RECEPTORS from 2017-10-11T02:38:52

Pop science likes to dub dopamine “the reward chemical” and serotonin “the happiness chemical”. God only knows what norepinephrine is, but I’m sure it’s cutesy.

In real life, all of this ...
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IN FAVOR OF FUTURISM BEING ABOUT THE FUTURE from 2017-10-11T02:36:32

From Boston Review: Know Thy Futurist. It’s an attempt to classify and analyze various types of futurism, in much the same way that a Jack Chick...
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SSC SURVEY RESULTS ON TRUST from 2017-10-11T02:33:28

Last post talked about individual differences in whether people found others basically friendly or hostile. The Listen

DIFFERENT WORLDS from 2017-10-11T00:39:10

A few years ago I had lunch with another psychiatrist-in-training and realized we had totally different experiences with psychotherapy.

We both got the same types of cases. We were both p...
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Podcasts by Astral Codex Ten Podcast

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Links For November 2023 from 2023-12-04T22:02

Contra DeBoer On Movement Shell Games from 2023-12-04T22:01

"Lots of alcoholics want to quit in principle, but only some join AA"

In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruism from 2023-12-01T11:42

"All you do is cause boardroom drama, and maybe some other things I’m forgetting..."

God Help Us, Let's Try To Understand AI Monosemanticity from 2023-12-01T11:34

Inside every AI is a bigger AI, trying to get out

Book Review: I See Satan Fall Like Lightning from 2023-11-23T11:55

Does Anaesthesia Prove Ketamine Placebo? from 2023-11-20T04:39

Followup: Quests And Requests from 2023-11-20T04:33

Hardball Questions For The Next Debate from 2023-11-16T09:16

Highlights From The Comments On Kidney Donation from 2023-11-16T09:02

Quests And Requests from 2023-11-14T11:05

Projects that need incubating

Dictator Book Club: Chavez from 2023-11-09T14:13

Review of Rory Carroll's "Comandante"

Mantic Monday 10/30/23 from 2023-11-07T04:14

Manifest || Manifold.Love || Eyeless in Gaza

My Left Kidney from 2023-10-28T08:04

﻿Impact Market Mini-Grants Results from 2023-10-18T03:47

Pause For Thought: The AI Pause Debate from 2023-10-09T04:41

How Are The Gay Younger Brothers Doing? from 2023-10-09T04:40

Links For September 2023 from 2023-10-05T00:51

Book Review: The Alexander Romance from 2023-09-28T04:52

[if this looks familiar to you, see explanation here]

Highlights From The Comments On Elon Musk from 2023-09-22T02:17

Book Review Contest 2023 Winners from 2023-09-22T02:16

Book Review: Elon Musk from 2023-09-22T02:15

Not the new one, sorry

Highlights From The Comments On Last Week's Model Cities Post from 2023-09-12T06:35

Comments On The Solano County City

Vote In The 2023 Book Review Contest from 2023-09-12T06:31

Contra Kirkegaard On Evolutionary Definitions Of Mental Illness from 2023-09-12T06:25

Model City Monday 9/4/23: California Dreamin' from 2023-09-09T04:19

Tech moguls plan new city in Solano County

My Presidential Platform from 2023-09-09T04:19

Your Book Review: Zuozhuan from 2023-09-05T05:46

Finalist #16 in the Book Review Contest

Here's Why Automaticity Is Real Actually from 2023-09-05T05:45

Highlights From The Comments On Fetishes from 2023-09-05T05:41

Mantic Monday 8/28/23 from 2023-09-02T07:42

Superconductor autopsy -- Prediction mutual funds -- Flight delays

Your Book Review: Why Nations Fail from 2023-09-02T07:39

Finalist #15 in the Book Review Contest

Meetups Everywhere 2023: Times&Places from 2023-08-30T09:38

Highlights From The Comments On Dating Preferences from 2023-08-30T09:36

More Thoughts On Critical Windows from 2023-08-30T09:33

Critical Periods For Language: Much More Than You Wanted To Know from 2023-08-30T09:31

What Can Fetish Research Tell Us About AI? from 2023-08-30T09:28

Your Book Review: The Mind Of A Bee from 2023-08-24T04:25

Bride Of Bay Area House Party from 2023-08-20T13:59

In Defense Of Describable Dating Preferences from 2023-08-20T13:49

Your Book Review: The Weirdest People in the World from 2023-08-20T13:42

Finalist #13 in the Book Review Contest

Highlights From The Comments On Putin from 2023-08-18T14:35

Links for August 2023 from 2023-08-18T14:26

Your Book Review: The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich from 2023-08-12T09:27

More Memorable Passages From "The Man Without A Face" from 2023-08-12T08:00

Dictator Book Club: Putin from 2023-08-09T13:08

Review of Masha Gessen's "The Man Without A Face"

Meetups Everywhere Fall 2023 - Call For Organizers from 2023-08-09T13:05

Mantic Monday 7/31/23: Room Temperature Superforecaster from 2023-08-04T07:01

Plus more CFTC, X, and UFOs

Your Book Review: On the Marble Cliffs from 2023-08-04T06:59

Finalist #11 in the Book Review Contest

Bad Definitions Of "Democracy" And "Accountability" Shade Into Totalitarianism from 2023-08-04T06:56

Highlights From The Comments On Social Model Of Disability from 2023-08-01T14:18

Listen

We're Not Platonists, We've Just Learned The Bitter Lesson from 2023-07-30T11:50

Your Book Review: The Laws of Trading from 2023-07-30T11:34

Highlights From The Comments On British Economic Decline from 2023-07-30T11:32

The Extinction Tournament from 2023-07-25T13:22

Contra The xAI Alignment Plan from 2023-07-20T11:55

Your Book Review: The Educated Mind from 2023-07-20T11:35

Contra The Social Model Of Disability from 2023-07-17T06:56

Why Match School And Student Rank? from 2023-07-14T00:44

Your Book Review: Secret Government from 2023-07-13T11:30

Finalist #8 in the Book Review Contest

Impact Market Mini-Grants Results from 2023-10-18T03:47

Whales v. Minnows // US v. Itself // E...
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A Machi...
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https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-42423<...
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