Podcasts by Theory of DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Strategy
According to a McKinsey report, a whopping 91% of all profit in DFS is earned by just 1.3% of the users. What are these top 1% of players doing? How are they approaching the game that allows them to take the bulk of the winnings over others? In this podcast, Jordan Cooper discusses game theory concepts of expert-level DFS play that will completely revolutionize your process and put yourself on the same footing as the pros!
Further podcasts by Jordan Cooper
Podcast on the topic Fantasy Sport
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#109: Secrets of Modern Sports Betting from 2023-10-17T16:35:52
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Ed Miller to discuss his new book, why sports betting is a game of information asymmetry & adverse selection, how the ecosystem is held together by duct tape, the d...
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#108: Eat Your Own Tail from 2023-09-25T16:10:19
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Daniel Hutchings (nerdytenor) to discuss the effect of contest simulations on the DFS ecosystem, who they could benefit most, their usefulness in large-field GPPs versu...
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#107: The Three Ms from 2023-08-15T12:00
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Peter Jennings (CSURAM88) to discuss how profitable DFS players can translate their skills to sports betting including utilizing fantasy-based player projections approp...
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#106: Define Optimal from 2023-07-18T11:54:40
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Brian Hooper (bric75) to debate the merits of fandom, the shifting bankroll mix between DFS and sports betting, portfolio theory in GPP play, duplication prediction, po...
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#105: Simply Simtacular from 2023-06-13T15:12:04
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Steve Buzzard (dacoltz) to discuss Stokastic's new sims tool, how it can be useful for both beginner & advanced DFS players, the difference in mindset when creating con...
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#104: It’s Simtastic! from 2023-06-07T18:34:06
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss how sportsbooks prioritize liquidity, and the effect of publicly available contest-level simulations on the DFS ecosystem.
➔ Theory of DFS For Advance...
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#103: Death Faking Budget from 2023-04-26T17:08:06
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Matt Buchalter (PlusEVAnalytics) to discuss the overlap of skills needed to win at DFS and sports betting, cognitive biases, adverse selection issues, the potential of ...
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#102: Gifts Galore from 2023-04-12T17:05:32
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss prop tools, managing sports book bonuses and limits as a sharp, and dividing your time & bankroll between DFS play and sports betting.
➔ Theory of DFS...
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#101: Baseball’s Back from 2023-03-29T16:56:22
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their contest selection and bankroll allocation plans for MLB DFS this coming season, as well as who they'd put on the Mount Rushmore of DFS players.
...
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#100: The Bat Doesn’t Care from 2023-03-15T16:54:27
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Derek Carty to discuss how the league rule changes will affect MLB DFS this coming season as well as utilizing projections for prop betting.
Derek Carty on Twitt...
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#99: Extremely Low Scoring from 2023-03-01T16:20:30
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss XFL DFS, the shuttering of Monkey Knife Fight, misunderstanding sports betting handles, the time value of late swap edges, and more.
➔ Theory of DFS ...
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#98: EV Privilege from 2023-02-15T16:46:56
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Erik Beimfohr to discuss work-life balance, the myriad of ways to grind out edges, diminishing returns on your time, and battling the fear of missing out.
Erik B...
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#97: Pressing&Holding from 2023-01-18T16:34:51
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss NBA DFS content, FanDuel's recent cancelling of contests, flash drafts on DraftKings, and focusing on exploiting one edge at a time.
➔ Theory of DFS F...
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#96: Where Does The Money Come From? from 2023-01-02T17:38:01
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield recap their 2022 DFS play and discuss adjustments they plan on making for the new year, including a macro look of exactly where the edges lie.
➔ Theory of DFS...
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#95: Spreadsheety from 2022-12-26T21:59:07
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Sammy Reid to discuss the strategic similarities between poker and DFS, how poker theory has changed over the past 20 years, the softness of live games compared to onli...
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#94: Arse Squared from 2022-12-06T15:34:34
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their strategic decisions for this past NFL Sunday slate and how to better measure the accuracy of ownership projections.
➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced...
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#93: Swap Slappies from 2022-11-21T16:47:52
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss late swap strategy for MMA DFS, and the low overall scoring on the past NFL slate.
➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: Listen
#71: Scr*tum Correlation from 2022-03-29T12:17:55
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Derek Carty to discuss how the changes to ballparks, humidors, and the universal DH will affect MLB DFS this coming season. Also, we preview some new additions to THE B...
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#70: Slate Dynamics from 2022-03-24T13:03:48
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss balancing win probability and duplication in MMA / NFL showdown, understanding the context of a slate, and the correlation of ownership projections and playe...
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#69: Serendipity from 2022-03-08T14:50:15
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss simplifying & streamlining your DFS process, the USFL, the best locations & time zones for a DFS player, explaining what you do for a living, and more.
<... Listen
#68: This Means We’re Still Early from 2022-02-22T12:38:54
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss the difference between high stakes vs. high volume play, defining your edge on specific slates, and simplifying how you use tools to minimize mistakes.
<... Listen
#67: Eaten By Bugbears from 2022-02-07T15:26:39
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss live finals and swapping equity with other DFS players.
➜ Learn the fundamental concepts of expert-level DFS gameplay that will completely revolutioni...
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#66: Probably Nothing from 2022-01-24T16:00:19
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their media diets and how to get the most out of Twitter as a DFS player.
➜ Learn the fundamental concepts of expert-level DFS gameplay that will comp...
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#65: Computer Overlords from 2022-01-10T15:35:04
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield review the NFL Week 18 slate and discuss their late-swap processes for NBA DFS as it compares to other sports.
➜ Learn the fundamental concepts of expert-leve...
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#64: Tax-Loss Harvesting Season from 2021-12-27T15:51:39
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield review their 2021 results and discuss judging when to step up stakes, adjusting volume based on your perceived edge, and setting future goals.
➜ Learn the fun...
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#63: Broken Windows Theory from 2021-12-20T16:40:48
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss how COVID is wrecking NBA DFS play, getting back to the basics with hand-building lineups, and instilling a proper work ethic when learning to play DFS.
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#62: Hoodwinked from 2021-12-13T16:07:08
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss how "coach speak" factors into player selection, why variance helps the DFS ecosystem long-term, and efficiency differences when building lineups via mobile ...
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#61: That‘s What The Tools Say from 2021-12-07T15:32:57
Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss the use of randomness in optimizers, avoiding clumping when building lineup portfolios, the perils of viewing ownership in a bubble, and the general chaos of...
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#60: Life EV from 2021-11-23T13:52:20
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss what we're thankful for in DFS, overcoming the fear of missing out, and sacrificing profit potential for the maximization of your life overall.
➜ Lea...
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#59: Fictional Level Of Respect from 2021-11-16T16:42:40
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Josh Engleman to discuss a variety of topics including the difference between strategy & diversification, the worth of having a professional "super league" for DFS, bre...
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#58: There Is No Lesson from 2021-11-09T12:56:48
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss how team & game stacking affects ownership and why sometimes there's not necessarily anything specific to be "learned" from a given slate.
➜ Learn th...
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#57: The Fake Floor from 2021-11-01T14:44:55
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss the difference between good process and "steam", if cash games only provide the facade of stable returns and the value of having strong beliefs, but loosely...
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#56: What‘s Your Equation? from 2021-10-25T15:14:18
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss the value of reducing your mental load on a slate, why setting goals affects your overall approach in playing DFS more than anything else, protecting your r...
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#55: Good For The Aggregators from 2021-10-18T14:37:56
Jordan Cooper welcomes Travis Pettey (petteytheft89) to discuss how NBA DFS has changed since 2015, originating your own numbers versus using industry projections, how lineup construction differ...
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#54: X Marks The Spot from 2021-10-15T16:38:49
Jordan Cooper welcomes on James Gettinger (chess_is_ok) to discuss the differences between the games now versus 5 years ago, the scale of edges in DFS, and optimal contest selection & bankroll m...
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#53: Chalk Smash from 2021-10-12T13:57:16
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss differentiation on heavily chalky slates, overvaluing optionality, and where the line is in giving up too much projection for leverage.
➜ Learn the f...
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#52: No Angles from 2021-10-04T14:47:03
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss strategic decisions on slates with flat ownership, using optionality as a tie-breaker, and when projections don't match with thinking "I know better".
<... Listen
#51: Sanity Checks from 2021-09-27T13:53:31
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss using expected fantasy point metrics, running back variance, and whether or not player potential is already priced into the market.
➜ Learn the funda...
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#50: Hot Or Due? from 2021-09-20T14:40:35
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss macro strategies from the past NFL slate and arbitraging public opinion on certain players & team situations.
➜ Learn the fundamental concepts of exp...
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#49: Immediate Regression from 2021-09-14T17:07:36
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss how the field is reacting to late NFL news, over-stacking in small field GPPs, and whether or not industry projections will curtail some of the overreaction...
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#48: Up The Nutso from 2021-09-07T15:11:45
Jordan Cooper welcomes on JM Tohline (JMToWin) of One Week Season to discuss why sharp DFS players who know little about the sport consistently beat "NFL experts" and how DFS is not a game of pi...
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#47: There‘s So Much Dumb Money from 2021-08-31T15:51:20
Jordan Cooper welcomes on author Ed Miller to discuss the skill gap in DFS, if the game design is indeed "broken", how casual players seek solutions that actively hurt their chances, the paralle...
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#46: Magic Settings from 2021-08-24T15:42:10
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Adam Scherer (ShipMyMoney) to discuss handling downswings, switching between formats, how average players utilize optimizers poorly, and the effect of content and tools...
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#45: The Black Box from 2021-08-17T17:10:42
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Daniel Hutchings (nerdytenor) to discuss how his background in poker software helped him develop a winning DFS process, the difference between balanced strategies versu...
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#44: The Gray Area from 2021-08-10T15:29:32
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Paul Villamizar (pew_pew_pew) to discuss the DFS soccer ecosystem, the politics of high-stakes play, the importance of having a good reputation while giving action, and...
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#43: The Edgelords from 2021-08-03T15:17:50
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Michael Leone from Establish The Run to discuss the Best Ball ecosystem, how the edge in small field DFS GPPs differs from large field ones, and the mentality it takes ...
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#42: CSV Tilt from 2021-07-27T16:19:09
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Neil Orfield (ncorfield8k) to discuss the long-term value of custom projections vs. game theory, optimizer mistakes & upload errors, how the process of similarly sharp ...
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#41: Monster Creator from 2021-07-20T14:41:20
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Justin Freeman to discuss projections as a range of outcomes, simulation methodologies, game sims vs. contest sims, and determining the expected value of a DFS lineup.<...
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#40: The Blah Blah Blahs from 2021-07-07T14:30:55
Jordan Cooper welcomes Kyle Dvorchak back on to share the results of his overlay hunting challenge the past few months and discuss the major mentality differences between season-long fantasy pla...
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#39: Mass Delusion Complex from 2021-06-30T14:42:01
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss how pitcher quality & offensive production affects MLB DFS strategies moving into the hot summer months, exploiting overconfidence in small sample sizes, an...
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#38: Middle Management Player from 2021-06-22T12:16:14
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Ryan Belongia (rydagreat) to discuss DFS soccer strategies, roster construction mistakes people make in GPPs, overvaluing floor versus ceiling, and the difficulty of pr...
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#37: The Whole Sticky Stuff from 2021-06-15T14:52:38
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss how the crackdown on starting pitchers may affect DFS, determining the efficient ownership of a player or stack, and why directional accuracy can be more im...
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#36: Uncertain Balls from 2021-06-08T14:17:23
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss how the same exact concepts from DFS large-field GPP play apply to NFL Best Ball drafting strategies for super-tournaments.
➜ Learn the fundamental c...
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#35: Big Fish In A Little Sea from 2021-06-01T12:43:02
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Warren Kosoy (billsfan777) to discuss exploiting fragility in projections, bankroll management mistakes, the benefits of focusing on niche sports, and collusion in high...
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#34: The Barbell Thing from 2021-05-25T15:31:37
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss small field vs. large field dynamics, lineup diversification methodologies for MLB GPPs, and why FanDuel seemingly has much softer contests than DraftKings....
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#33: The Cleanest Path from 2021-05-18T15:40:55
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss MLB GPP dynamics this season including roster construction, combinatorics, and misconceptions about building contrarian lineups.
➜ Learn the fundamen...
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#32: Morning Pages from 2021-05-11T16:54:35
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss maintaining work-life balance when playing DFS, content creation approaches, and the value of writing out your thoughts.
➜ Learn the fundamental conc...
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#31: Taming The Optimizer from 2021-05-04T15:18:25
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Peter Viles (Uhhuhbro) to discuss massive multi-entry GPP play, working with optimizer tools, studying sharp lineups, and his journey from low stakes to high stakes con...
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#30: Soccer, It's There from 2021-04-27T14:00
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Alex Hooper to discuss moving up from lower stakes play, specializing in a niche sport and formats, managing a small bankroll, and defining short-term and long-term goa...
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#29: The Gut Spectrum from 2021-04-20T16:26:16
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Brian Hooper (Bric75) to discuss a wide array of topics including projections, simulations, leverage, bankrolls, sports betting, politics and economics.
Brian Ho...
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#28: One Slate Mentality from 2021-04-13T15:34:15
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Peter Lu to discuss probabilistic thinking, exploiting your opponent's decisions, applying leverage in MLB GPPs, and getting past the mindset of judging your results ba...
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#27: Projections Are Nonsense from 2021-04-05T15:12:25
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Dave Potts (CheeseIsGood) to discuss his transition from season-long fantasy baseball to DFS, the fragility of MLB projections, and overcoming your fear of embracing va...
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#26: No More Odor from 2021-03-30T15:10:06
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Derek Carty to discuss MLB projections, the variance between pitchers and hitters, the effect of inefficient player salaries, and exploiting perceptions in DFS.
...
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#25: One Long Session from 2021-03-23T15:36:17
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Alex Sonty to discuss dealing with mental fatigue playing DFS, how to avoid falling into pattern recognition biases, the similarities between DFS and poker, and how the...
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#24: Tax Scrutiny from 2021-03-16T15:34:31
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Pete Kwon to discuss tax planning for DFS, the advantages of certain filing statuses, qualified deductions, harvesting losses, and operating your DFS play as part of a ...
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#23: Get Layed Get Paid from 2021-03-09T15:01:48
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Kyle Dvorchak to discuss taking advantage of overlay, calculating effective rake, the balance of time versus reward, and scaling your contest selection strategies.
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#22: Making Boring Things Fun from 2021-03-02T16:25:57
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Jesse Haven (a.k.a. Muleyhaven) to discuss the importance of finding the softest action, increasing your time efficiency, focusing on the fundamentals, and gearing your...
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#21: No Days Off from 2021-02-25T16:41:53
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Travis Mangone to discuss the small edges in cash games, the fragility of projections, exploiting industry consensus, and the work ethic & mindset required to grind out...
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#20: Teacher Tilt from 2021-02-16T16:01:04
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Greg Ehrenberg to discuss the perils of creating DFS content, teaching methodologies, explaining fundamental concepts to broader audiences, and the mental strain of doi...
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#19: I See Dead Money from 2021-02-09T15:35:46
Jordan Cooper welcomes on John Breslin (a.k.a. SquirrelPatrol) to discuss his approach to playing DFS full-time, using a portfolio strategy in GPPs, treating your play as a financial investment,...
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#18: Mook Farms from 2021-02-02T14:18:41
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss the extremes of contest selection, the ethics of bum hunting, and exploiting overlay opportunities.
Learn the fundamental concepts of expert-level DF...
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#17: Champion The Nit from 2021-01-28T15:38:48
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss matching your contest selection, bankroll allocation and play style to your risk profile, and treating DFS cash games as a stock investment.
Learn th...
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#16: Non-Fun Tokens from 2021-01-19T14:52:32
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Davis Mattek to debate NBA Top Shots, NFTs as investment vehicles, the rationality of markets, and whether increasing the network erodes your ability to maximize or eve...
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#15: No Nuts Building Required from 2021-01-12T15:18:27
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss small-field GPP play, exploiting the fragility of projections, and how optionality may be more important than usual this NBA season.
Learn the fundam...
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#14: Keep Calm&Blame Variance from 2021-01-05T16:14:48
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss their DFS results over the past calendar year, controlling tilt, accepting variance, and sacrificing EV in contest selection for the sake of stability.
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#13: Simplification vs. Complication from 2020-12-29T15:34:13
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss the value of watching games, NBA correlations, building leverage into your lineups, why being a good "cash" player helps you in GPPs, and determining whethe...
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#12: Late News Snooze from 2020-12-22T11:49:51
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss the impact of late news right before lock, the perils of misjudging ownership, and the mathematical concept of "lineups not players".
Learn the funda...
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#11: Secret Variables from 2020-12-15T14:05:30
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Derek Carty to discuss the misconceptions about projections, predictive versus descriptive stats, the context of sample sizes, viewing things in relatives rather than a...
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#10: Embracing Uncertainty from 2020-12-08T12:29:02
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss exploiting the field's overconfidence in predicting outcomes and how the volatility in certain sports (ie. NBA preseason) actually increases your edge.
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#9: Start With A Strategy from 2020-12-01T13:20:43
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss how ownership between contests dramatically affects decisions, thinking of your multi-entry builds as a portfolio, and the benefits of taking potential late...
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#8: Skin In The Game from 2020-11-25T08:08:52
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Peter Overzet to discuss his evolution as a DFS player, what it means to have skin in the game, why people's obsession with "takes" and "picks" leads them astray from b...
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#7: Just How Sexy Is A Naked QB? from 2020-11-24T13:53:01
Jordan Cooper & Matt Gajewski discuss correlation with non-stacked QBs, the cons of just utilizing price or positional leverage in GPP lineups, and how the nature of NCAA football alters typical...
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#6: Getting Comfortable With Losing from 2020-11-17T11:37:08
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss handling downswings, how long-term profitable DFS play involves a lot of losing, why building "safe" lineups is a poor strategy, the unrealistic win expecta...
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#5: Backtesting Your Takes from 2020-11-10T13:51:01
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss confirmation bias, the perils of analyzing small sample sizes, and how positional variance has changed quite dramatically in NFL DFS.
Learn the funda...
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#4: A Trip To Late Swap City from 2020-11-03T13:56:10
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss late swap strategy, how most DFS players underestimate the variance of a single sports game, and their decisions as it applied to this past NFL slate.
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#3: Taking The Reverse 'L' from 2020-10-27T14:23:02
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss how increasing or decreasing the variance in your lineup affects your cash contest selection, whether or not correlation trumps projection in smaller field ...
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#2: There's No Better Marketing Than Winning from 2020-10-20T12:40:48
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss identifying leverage points, why gearing your lineups to the contests you play is so important, and their own decision-making as it applied to this past NFL...
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#1: People Are Out-Leveling Themselves from 2020-10-13T13:10:17
Jordan Cooper & Erik Beimfohr discuss how the game play in single-entry higher stakes contests has changed over the past few years, why the top projected players on a slate may not actually be t...
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