.AGATHA ALMOST A MAJOR HURRICANE... ...WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DETERIORATING IN SOUTHERN MEXICO TONIGHT... - a podcast by Todd Nardone

.AGATHA ALMOST A MAJOR HURRICANE...

...WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DETERIORATING IN SOUTHERN MEXICO TONIGHT...

* A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua.

* A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Salina Cruz eastward to Barra De Tonala.

* A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Salina Cruz eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan and Lagunas de Chacahua westward to Punta Maldonado.

Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area and possible in the watch area on Monday, with tropical storm conditions beginning tonight or early Monday.

At 4 p.m. CDT, the center of Hurricane Agatha was located over the eastern Pacific Ocean about 185 miles (295 km) southwest of the Puerto Angel, Mexico. drifting to the northeast near 1 mph (2 km/h), and a faster northeastward motion is expected to begin tonight.  On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will make landfall in southern Mexico  Monday afternoon or evening.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts.  Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the

center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The minimum central pressure based on data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 964 mb (28.47 inches). Additional strengthening is expected during the next 12 to 24 hours and Agatha is forecast to become a major hurricane when it reaches the coast of southern Mexico on Monday.

Storm surge is expected to produce dangerous coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of where thecenter of Agatha makes landfall.  Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico by later today into Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are currently expected:

- Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur.

- Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur.

- Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur.

- Mexican states of Vera Cruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible.

- Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur.

- Mexican states of Vera Cruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible.

The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at  10 p.m. CDT - www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Agatha

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