HURRICANE SEASON FORMS OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY AS IT APPROACHES SOUTHERN MEXICO. - a podcast by Todd Nardone

FIRST NAMED STORM OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON FORMS OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO...

...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY AS IT APPROACHES SOUTHERN MEXICO...

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the southern coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Punta Maldonado. Hurricane conditions are possible within that area on Monday, with tropical storm conditions possible late Sunday or early Monday.

Interests elsewhere in southern Mexico should closely monitor the progress of Agatha.  Additional watches and warnings will likely be required for portions of this area later today.

At 7 a.m. CDT, the center of Tropical Storm Agatha was located over the eastern North Pacific Ocean about 220 miles (355 km) southwest of Puerto Angel, Mexico.  Agatha is moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the northeast by Sunday.  On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will approach the southern coast of Mexico on Sunday and make landfall there on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.  Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). Additional steady to rapid strengthening is forecast to occur, and Agatha is expected to become a hurricane on Sunday.

Storm surge could produce coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center passes the coast in areas of onshore winds. The surge may be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico by Sunday into Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are currently expected:

- Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur.

- Mexican states of Chiapas and the eastern portions of Guerrero: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur.

- Mexican states of Vera Cruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible.

The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 10 a.m. CDT - www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Agatha

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