SUSTAINED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS NOW OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST OF OAXACA... ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER OAXACA THROUGH THE DAY... * A Hurricane Warning - a podcast by Todd Nardone

from 2022-05-30T13:35:56

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..SUSTAINED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS NOW OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST OF OAXACA...


...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER OAXACA THROUGH THE DAY...


* A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua.


* A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Salina Cruz eastward to Barra De Tonala.


* A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Salina Cruz eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan and Lagunas de Chacahua westward to Punta Maldonado.


Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area and possible in the watch area on Monday, with tropical storm conditions beginning tonight or early Monday.


At 4 a.m. CDT, the center of Hurricane Agatha was located over the eastern Pacific Ocean about 100 miles 160 km) southwest of the Puerto Angel, Mexico. Agatha is moving toward the northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will make landfall in the state of Oaxaca, Mexico, this afternoon or this evening.


Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb (28.47 inches). Little change in strength is expected today before Agatha reaches the coast of Oaxaca.  Rapid weakening is expected after


landfall, and Agatha is forecast to dissipate over southeastern Mexico by late Tuesday.


Storm surge is expected to produce dangerous coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of where thecenter of Agatha makes landfall.  Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.


Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico by later today into Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are currently expected:


- Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur.


- Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur.


- Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur.


- Mexican states of Vera Cruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible.


- Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur.


- Mexican states of Vera Cruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible.


The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at  10 a.m. CDT - www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Agatha



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