Podcasts by Unexpected Points
Unexpected Points takes a look at the NFL through a uniquely analytical lens and challenges our assumptions about the game. Each week, data scientist Kevin Cole discusses the topical and macro issues affecting football.
unexpectedpoints.substack.com
Further podcasts by PFF
Podcast on the topic Fantasy Sport
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NFL WEEK 9 REVIEW from 2023-11-06T15:28:58
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WEEKLY NEWS, TNF REVIEW, WEEK 9 PREVIEW from 2023-11-03T14:03:42
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WEEK 8 REVIEW POD, Q&A from 2023-10-30T14:24:44
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TNF REVIEW, ESPN CONTROVERSY, WEEK 8 PREVIEW from 2023-10-27T14:11:20
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ListenNFL WEEK 7 REVIEW POD from 2023-10-23T14:24:01
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NFL WEEK 6 REVIEW POD from 2023-10-16T13:54:21
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TNF REVIEW, WEEKLY COMMENTARY, WEEK 6 PREVIEW from 2023-10-13T14:14:49
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NFL WEEK 5 REVIEW POD from 2023-10-09T15:18:44
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TNF REVIEW, WEEK 5 PREVIEW from 2023-10-06T15:15:21
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NFL WEEK 4 REVIEW POD from 2023-10-02T14:21:07
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TNF REVIEW, RUN PLAY-ACTION DEBATE, WEEK 4 PREVIEW from 2023-09-29T18:36:02
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NFL WEEK 3 ADVANCED REVIEWS from 2023-09-25T14:56:50
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TNF 49ers-Giants Review, Week 3 Preview, Q&A from 2023-09-22T16:38:07
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WEEK 2 NFL REVIEW, Q&A from 2023-09-18T15:02:32
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TNF EAGLES-VIKINGS REVIEW, WEEK 2, Q&A from 2023-09-15T14:43:02
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MNF Jets-Bill Review, Replacing Rodgers from 2023-09-12T15:57:29
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Week 1 Review Pod from 2023-09-11T14:57:04
Watch on YouTube to participate in Q&A. Broadcasting at 10am Mon/Tues/Fri
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Solo Pod: Kickoff TNF Review, Q&A from 2023-09-08T15:38:23
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Jourdan Rodrigue: The Playcallers from 2023-07-17T20:43:18
The Athletic's Jourdan Rodrigue joins the pod to talk her excellent 5-part narrative podcast series, The Playcallers.
The series has extensive reporting and interviews wi...
ListenThinking Basketball's Ben Taylor from 2023-06-27T19:19:13
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
Working in basketball & football analytics: Seth Partnow, Statsbomb from 2023-06-14T12:25:32
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
Hopkins/Cook Released, Kickoff Rule Change, Subscriber Q&A from 2023-06-09T19:05
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PGA-LIV Merger, Early Best-Ball Favs, NBA Finals Talk: Davis Mattek from 2023-06-06T17:32:49
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
"Net Gains" author Ryan O'Hanlon, ESPN from 2023-05-30T20:43:37
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
OTA News, plus Q&A: Hopkins cut, Rodgers all-in from 2023-05-26T18:51:52
Kevin talks through what matters in early offseason news, why the Celtics-Heat series is instructive and takes subscriber questions.
Greatest CFB QBs of the 2000s, Projecting to the NFL: Bill Connelly, ESPN from 2023-05-23T17:16:10
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
NFL Awards Predictions, Subscriber Q&A from 2023-05-19T19:56:04
Watch on YouTube and subscriber there to be part of the next livestream. Leave comments on this post you want answered n...
ListenRanking NFL Front Offices w/ Ben Baldwin from 2023-05-16T15:01:13
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
NFL Schedule Release, Early Offseason Bets, Q&A from 2023-05-12T19:00:08
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The State of NFL Front Offices, with Josh Hermsmeyer from 2023-05-09T19:35:40
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
Judging Executives' Draft Evaluations, Lamar Contract, Q&A from 2023-05-05T21:06:44
Unexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work,...
ListenProcessing the NFL Draft: Hayden Winks, Underdog Fantasy from 2023-05-03T17:25:43
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
Pod: Analytical Draft Grades from 2023-05-01T18:31:16
Another YouTube livestream. Check out the audio or video, plus subscribe on YouTube to catch future episode...
ListenBold NFL draft predictions w/ Pat Kerrane from 2023-04-26T21:01:31
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
Aaron Rodgers Trade Reaction: Mitigated Disaster for the Jets from 2023-04-24T22:12:19
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Wrap-up Pod: Stroud Stumbling, Gambling Suspensions, Lance for sale? from 2023-04-21T19:34:13
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NFL Draft Skill Position Rankings: Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis from 2023-04-18T19:30:47
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
Research recap, Keeping it analytical goes wrong, Q&A from 2023-04-14T20:40:09
Kevin details the Unexpected Points research from this week, plus: -
* How a couple analytically savvy analyst get it wrong with Lamar Jackson splits -
* Taking YouTube livestream ...
ListenEvaluating the 2023 NFL draft process: Mike Renner, PFF from 2023-04-11T19:25:27
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
NFL Offseason Storylines: Mike Sando, The Athletic from 2023-04-06T19:46:28
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
NFL Mock Draft Market Update: Benjamin Robinson, Grinding the Mocks from 2023-04-06T19:17:16
Benjamin Robinson (@benj_robinson) of Listen
Offseason strategy & Rodgers negotiations w/ Eric Eager of Sumer Sports from 2023-03-23T14:09:24
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
NFL Free Agency: Day 1 Review from 2023-03-13T21:50:10
Kevin’s takes on the points added for all the major deal, best positions to target, and why the Bears added the most value.
(Premium) Bears Trade No. 1 Pick Reaction Pod from 2023-03-10T23:58:45
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
NFL Free Agency: Potential Values and Overpays w/ PFF's Brad Spielberger from 2023-03-10T16:30:07
PFF’s Brad Spielberger (@PFF_Brad) joins the pod to talk:
* QB Contracts Listen
Lamar Jackson Non-Exclusive Tag Reaction from 2023-03-08T02:04:41
Unexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
Team Building & Offseason Strategy w/ Jason Fitzgerald of OverTheCap.com from 2023-02-23T02:26:12
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
Super Bowl Decisions, Offseason Moves w/ Ben Baldwin from 2023-02-14T18:37:42
Ben Baldwin (@benbbaldwin) joins me to talk about:
* Super Bowl game ma...
ListenSubscriber Q&A, NFL Awards, HoF Inductees, Super Bowl Talk from 2023-02-10T21:13:11
You can watch the episode on the Unexpected Points YouTube channel. Plus, subscribe and leave questions for...
ListenTen Commandments of Super Bowl Prop Betting w/ Matt Freedman, BettingPros from 2023-02-07T18:34:30
Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) of Listen
Premium: Coaching hires, Brady retires, Lamar contract, Subscriber Q&A from 2023-02-03T20:23:08
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
Predicting the NFL Draft: Benjamin Robinson, Grinding the Mocks from 2023-02-02T14:56:07
Benjamin Robinson (@benj_robinson) of Listen
Amazon Prime Vision's Sam Schwartzstein: Super Bowl talk and broadcasting lessons from 2023-02-01T17:53:28
Sam Schwartzstein (@schwartzsteins) Listen
Weekly Wrap-up, Q&A Pod: Reich hire, Herbert truthing, What should the Jets do? from 2023-01-27T20:46:06
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
Era of the Analytical Front Office? w/ 538's Josh Hermsmeyer from 2023-01-26T17:43:04
Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) of FiveThirtyEight<...
ListenOutlook for Eliminated Playoff Teams w/ Eric Eager, Sumer Sports from 2023-01-17T18:46:13
Eric Eager of Sumer Sports joins me...
ListenPremium Pod: Weekly Wrap-Up, Subscriber Q&A: Bears No. 1 Pick Reactions, Lamar Tag-&-Trade, Carr to the Jets? from 2023-01-13T21:39:03
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
Premium: Weekly Wrap-Up, Subscriber Q&A: Playoff seeding, Bears drafting a QB, Value of Culture from 2023-01-06T21:58:10
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com
Innovations in Betting, Soccer & Football Analytics: Ted Knutson, StatsBomb from 2023-01-03T19:01:06
Ted Knutson, CEO and founder of StatsBomb, joins me to talk about his journey through being a professional bettor, bookmaker and creating inn...
ListenHow to rank the NFL & Week 16 preview w/ Ed Feng, The Power Rank from 2022-12-20T19:54:05
This week Ed Feng of the The Power Rank joins me to talk about the process of ranking teams and what it means for Week 16. We also talk a ...
ListenCelebrating Mike Leach, Introducing the UP Book Club, Q&A from 2022-12-17T01:24:25
For this week’s solo wrap-up pod, I discuss the significance of Mike Leach, and how his thoughtful and intentional way of understanding the game was analytics without numbers.
Plus, I intr...
ListenNFL analytics O.G. Chase Stuart on the state of the game and what the discourse is missing from 2022-12-14T22:31:47
Chase Stuart wrote a daily blog at Football Perspective for a decade, and before that helped craft early analytical measures li...
ListenJimmy Down, Baker Up, Robinson Out, Plus Listener Q&A from 2022-12-09T23:14:23
I’m back on the podcasting streets. You can watch this replay on YouTube to see the video clips of the Mahomes interview...
ListenPod Update: I'M NOT LEAVING! from 2022-12-05T15:25:38
As many of you may know, I've been laid off by PFF as part of a restructure. The pod will continue, and make sure to find all of my written work<...
ListenRanking the NFL's Top Analytical Teams w/ ESPN's Seth Walder from 2022-11-30T05:30:46
For this week's special guest on the Unexpected Points podcast, Kevin is joined by sports analytics writer, ESPN's Specialist Seth Walder, as the duo discusses and ranks the league's (analytical...
ListenNFL Week 12 Analytical Review from 2022-11-28T16:11:33
Kevin reviews all the numbers, adjusted scores and analytical decisions for the Sunday slate of Week 12.
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Thanksgiving Day NFL Review from 2022-11-25T15:50:35
Kevin reviews the three NFL games from Thanksgiving, plus a few model-based best bets.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access ... Listen
MNF Review - Jimmy Haters in Shambles, Zach Wilson Benched? from 2022-11-22T15:42:04
Kevin goes through the MNF matchup with Jimmy shinning, points out the problems with being obsessed with upgrading a "limited" quarterback like Jimmy G or Tua, and all the Zach Wilson drama.
... ListenNFL Week 11 Analytical Review from 2022-11-21T15:57:51
Kevin goes through all the numbers and takeaways from Week 11.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit... Listen
TNF Titans-Packers Review, Return of the Run? NFL Week 11 Best Bet from 2022-11-18T15:53:55
Kevin goes through the TNF matchup, a ESPN segment of the return of the run and best bet for Week 11.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers... Listen
Evaluating Some of the NFL's Younger QB Talent W/ The Ringer's Steve Ruiz from 2022-11-16T09:05:08
Kevin is re-joined by The Ringer's Steve Ruiz to evaluate some of the NFL's younger QB talent.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or ge... Listen
Bills no longer No. 1? Week 10 Analytical Review from 2022-11-14T18:08:48
Kevin reviews all the numbers, adjusted scores and grades from Week 10's Sunday slate.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access ... Listen
TNF Review, Saturday's Analytics Skepticism, Week 10 Best Bets from 2022-11-11T14:58:12
Kevin goes through the numbers and implications of the Panthers-Falcons game, plus why Jeff Saturday is skeptical of analytics and the best bets for the weekend by the numbers.
Thi... Listen
Frank Reich Out, MNF Review from 2022-11-08T15:15:27
Kevin reviews the MNF matchup and goes in-depth on the decision to fire Frank Reich and replace him with Jeff Saturday.
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Jets for Real, for Real? NFL Week 9 Analytical Review from 2022-11-07T15:54:39
Kevin goes through all Sunday's action with the advanced stats and grades.
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TNF Review, NFL Week 9 Best Bets, Mailbag from 2022-11-04T14:33:27
Kevin goes over a surprisingly close TNF contest and his favorite recreational bets for Sunday.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or ge... Listen
Trade Deadline Takeaways, Valuations from 2022-11-02T14:05:03
Former PFFer Eric Eager of Sumer Sports joins Kevin to talk about the marco lesson of the deadline and the specific deals that went down this week.
This is a public episode. If you... Listen
NFL Week 8 Analytical Review from 2022-10-31T15:18:19
Kevin reviews and the numbers and grades for Sunday Week 8.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit
TNF Review & Kadarius Toney Trade Analysis from 2022-10-28T14:33:49
Kevin talks through the Ravens TNF victory and analyzes the Toney, Quinn and Robinson trades.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get ... Listen
Fixing NFL Offenses W/ Sam Schwartzstein, Prime Video Analytics from 2022-10-26T04:15:24
Today, Kevin is re-joined by Prime Video TNF analytics guru, former NFL offensive lineman Sam Schwartzstein to discuss solutions for fixing some NFL offenses, and Prime Video analytics.
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NFL Week 7 Analytical Review from 2022-10-24T15:10:08
Kevin reviews all the relevant numbers and adjusted scores for Sunday's action
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus... Listen
CMC Trade Analysis, TNF Review from 2022-10-21T16:01:46
Kevin recaps Thursday Night Football between the Cardinals & Saints, and breaks down the CMC trade.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscrib... Listen
MNF Chargers-Broncos Review, plus More Analytics Talk from 2022-10-18T14:15:45
Kevin talks through the key numbers, grades and takeaways from MNF, plus a look at how to discuss analytics in a better way that we saw in the pre-game show.
This is a public episo... Listen
NFL Week 6 Analytical Review from 2022-10-17T15:39:23
Kevin review all the number from Week 6.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit Listen
TNF Bears-Commanders Review, Snyder on the ropes, Week 6 Best Bets from 2022-10-14T14:20:05
Kevin discusses the slog that was TNF, plus the stories of the week and some bets he likes for the rest of Week 6.
00:00 Intro
01:00 Analytics discourse taki...
MNF Chiefs-Raiders Review & TNF Bears-Commanders Preview from 2022-10-11T14:37:36
Kevin reviews a wild Chiefs-Raiders matchup and previews TNF.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit ... Listen
Week 5 NFL Analytical Review & MNF Preview from 2022-10-10T15:14:19
Kevin reviews the Sunday slate and previews Chiefs-Raiders MNF matchup.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episod... Listen
TNF Broncos-Colts Review & Week 5 Best Bets from 2022-10-07T15:01:15
Kevin reviews an awful TNF game and looks forward to this weekend's action.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus ep... Listen
MNF 49ers-Rams Review & TNF Broncos-Colts Preview from 2022-10-04T14:58:48
Kevin reviews MNF and previews TNF between the Broncos and Colts.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, vi... Listen
Week 4 Analytical Review & Adjusted Scores from 2022-10-03T15:13:08
Kevin goes through the Sunday slate of games giving all the adjusted scores and important details on what drove the outcomes.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss thi... Listen
TNF Bengals-Dolphins Review & Week 4 Best Bets from 2022-09-30T14:33:26
Kevin reviews this week's TNF matchup and the weekend best bets.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, vis... Listen
MNF Giants-Cowboys Review & TNF Bengals-Dolphins Preview from 2022-09-27T14:05:53
Kevin reviews the MNF matchup with all the advanced stats and adjusted scores, plus a preview of a highly anticipated Bengals-Dolphins game on TNF.
This is a public episode. If you... Listen
Week 3 NFL Analytical Review from 2022-09-26T15:17:48
Kevin goes through the Week 3 Sunday slate of games with all the advanced stats, adjusted scores and big-picture takeaways.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this ... Listen
TNF Browns-Steelers Review & Week 3 Best Bets from 2022-09-23T14:31:17
Kevin goes through all the advanced stats and grades for Browns-Steelers, plus a few bets he likes for this Sunday's action.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this... Listen
Week 2 MNF Doubleheader Analytics Review from 2022-09-20T13:53:38
Kevin goes through all the grading and advanced stats for the two MNF games and what it means for the teams going forward.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this w... Listen
NFL Week 2 Advanced Stats & Takeaways from 2022-09-19T15:55:30
Kevin goes through every Sunday game, gives his predictive adjusted scores and points out the most important stats and data to forecast what will happen the rest of the season.
TNF Chiefs-Chargers Review from 2022-09-16T14:44:41
Kevin goes over all the relevant numbers and grades from the matchup of the Chiefs and Chargers.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or g... Listen
MNF Review, 'Explaining Mahomes' Week from 2022-09-13T14:31:52
Kevin breaks down MNF and why Mahomes' grading is relatively low.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, vi... Listen
NFL Week 1 Review from 2022-09-12T15:26:56
Kevin goes through the Week 1 slate with all the advanced stats and proprietary numbers you need to know.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscri... Listen
Kickoff TNF Rams-Bills Review from 2022-09-09T15:18:08
Kevin goes through all the relevant numbers for the first game of the season, why to love the Bills start, but also not go overboard with enthusiasm.
This is a public episode. If y... Listen
Russ Contract, Week 1 Best Bets from 2022-09-06T18:21:56
Kevin talks through his Bayesian QB rankings, who is undervalued and how it differs from other rankings out there. Plus, his numbers-based best bets for Week 1 and a breakdown of the Russell Wil...
ListenRoster Cutdown Takeaways, Jimmy G is Staying from 2022-08-31T18:49:06
Kevin breaks down some of the more notable roster cuts, trades among all 32 teams, and Jimmy Garoppolo staying in San Francisco for atleast another season as the 9ers' backup.
Thi... Listen
NFL Week 3 Preseason Review and News from 2022-08-29T21:58:48
Kevin goes through every game from the final preseason week, plus discusses the biggest stories around the NFL.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other s... Listen
NFL Preseason Week 2 Review from 2022-08-22T20:21:45
Kevin reviews are the relevant stats from the second week of the NFL preseason.
00:00 Intro
01:25 Life in the Silicon Valley
03:27 Preseason Week 2 Review Setup
...
2022 NFL Betting Preview w/ Rob Pizzola from 2022-08-20T04:00:52
Kevin talks with professional bettor and BetStamp co-founder Rob Pizzola about his business endeavors and takes on teams that are under- and overvalued in 2022.
0:00 ...
ListenImplications of the Deshaun Watson Suspension Settlement from 2022-08-19T01:26:22
Kevin discusses the implications of the Watson settlement.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit Listen
Grading Week 1 of the Preseason from 2022-08-15T21:10:57
Kevin goes through what matter from Week 1 of the preseason, especially in terms of depth charts and young QB play.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with oth... Listen
11 Bold Predictions and Hard Knocks Review from 2022-08-10T21:14:51
Kevin and Josh give their boldest, realistic predictions for the 2022 NFL season. Plus, a few of Hard Knock Ep 1 and the Dan Campbell experience.
This is a public episode. If you’d... Listen
2022 NFL Power Rankings; Player Empowerment from 2022-08-08T21:39:57
Kevin goes through the lookahead betting lines to quantitatively rank NFL teams and find value where the market currently doesn't see it. Plus, talk about Kareem Hunt's contract and what it says...
ListenDolphins-Brady Fiasco, Training Camp Storylines from 2022-08-03T19:12:11
Kevin details why the Dolphins fine was significant and what to pay attention in training camp this week and beyond.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with ot... Listen
Training Camp Signal or Noise, Watson Decision from 2022-08-01T17:21:50
Kevin discusses the why of the Watson decision whether it will be appealed and what it means for the Browns' season. Plus, separating the signal and noise in training camp news.
Th... Listen
Man vs Machine QB Rankings W/ Josh Hermsmeyer from 2022-07-27T20:41:21
Josh Hermsmeyer of 538 joins Kevin to opine on the coaches/executive quarterback rankings released in a recent article and go pick-by-pick giving their own rankings and rationales, plus what a s...
ListenBreaking Down the Kyler Murray Extension & Best Offseason Research from 2022-07-25T16:19:01
Kevin breaks down the details of the Kyler Murray contract and how good he's been so far in his career and what to expect going forward. Plus, a look at the best PFF research that came out this ...
ListenQB GOAT Countdown 5-1: Manning, Brady, Marino and more from 2022-07-21T12:51:43
Kevin counts down the final five greatest statistical QBs of all time.
00:00 Episode Intro/Preview 02:00 #10-#6 Recap 09:00 #5: Drew Brees 18:55 #4: Dan Marino 27:48 #3 Otto Graham ...
ListenQB GOAT Countdown (9th-6th): Rodgers, Young, Montana and others from 2022-07-18T21:20:26
Kevin continues to count down the best statistical QBs in NFL history. Plus, some analysis of the salary tag.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other sub... Listen
Does Lamar belong in the Top-10, QB GOAT Countdown 20-11 from 2022-07-13T18:05:03
Kevin goes further into the controversy around Lamar Jackson not making the top-10 quarterbacks in a recent NFL poll. Plus, he continues to count down the greatest statistical quarterbacks of al...
ListenBaker Traded, More QB Rankings, QB GOAT Countdown 30-21 from 2022-07-11T19:31:26
Kevin explains why the Baker trade is good and bad for the Panthers, what ESPN QB rankings say about recency bias, and continues to count down the greatest statistical QBs of all time.
<... Listen
NFL QB GOAT (40-31) - Jim Kelly, Donovan McNabb, Troy Aikman and others | Unexpected Points | PFF from 2022-07-07T04:33:19
Kevin continues to count down the statistical GOAT quarterbacks according to passing and rushing value added through their careers.
This is a pu... Listen
Jon Robinson Sparks Another Tape vs Analytics Debate, Mailbag from 2022-07-05T17:47:58
Kevin breaks down the latest tape vs analytics war on social media, which he helped start by posting an interview with Titans GM Jon Robinson where he sounded skeptical of analytics value. Plus,...
ListenQB GOAT Countdown 41-50: Cunningham, McNair, Griese & more from 2022-06-30T08:30:50
Kevin counts down the best statistical resumes for quarterbacks in NFL history, starting with numbers 50 through 41.
Episode Timestamps:
00:00 Pre-roll
Listen
Is Gronk the GOAT? Tomlin's Wisdom, Watson Update from 2022-06-27T16:23:49
Kevin looks over the greatest tight end career to decide if Rob Gronkowski is the greatest of them all. Plus, words of wisdom from Mike Tomlin and an update on a potential indefinite suspension ...
ListenBecoming a Data-Driven League: Michael Lopez, NFL Director of Football Data & Analytics from 2022-06-22T19:06:17
Kevin talks with the NFL's director for data analytics about his work to improve the league's quality pf play, officiating, hiring practices and injury prevention.
This is a public... Listen
Perfect Coverage, Understanding QB Stats, Stick to Sports from 2022-06-20T21:13:34
Kevin goes through recent PFF research of the effect of perfect coverage, gives the pluses and minuses of different QB stats and talks about the conflicts of politics on social media for sports ...
ListenSports Science & the NFL w/ Adam Beard, Former Browns Director of High Performance from 2022-06-15T08:00:41
Kevin talks to Adam Beard, Cubs Director of High Performance, about the lessons learned with his time in a similar role with the Browns and how sports science has impacted the NFL.
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NFL's Most Powerful Person, Rams Dunk on Cap Nerds, & NFL Ownership Leveling Up from 2022-06-13T19:08:44
Kevin discusses the news from the previous week, with a focus on what the mainstream narratives might be missing.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other... Listen
Blasphemous NFL Takes w/ 538's Josh Hermsmeyer from 2022-06-08T05:00:28
Kevin and Josh give their best ideals for the NFL that media and football guys would consider cancellable.
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Tight End Contract Disputes, Fitzmagic Retires, More Watson Drama from 2022-06-06T16:50:30
Kevin goes through the news of the week.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit Listen
Ron Yurko on the NFL Tracking Data Revolution from 2022-06-02T02:00:20
Carnegie Mellon professor and creator of nflscrapR talks with Kevin about the trend in NFL analytics, what he's learned working with tracking data and where analysis goes wrong.
Th... Listen
Njoku Extension, Browns Going All-In, Stat Misuse & Mailbag from 2022-05-31T14:49:02
Kevin discusses the David Njoku extension in the larger context of the Browns going for it in 2022, plus some stats being misused and mailbag answers.
This is a public episode. If ... Listen
Sean Clement, former Ravens and Dolphins R&D analyst from 2022-05-25T08:00:14
Kevin talks with Sean Clement, former R&D analyst for multiple NFL franchises, about the trends in the NFL communicating with coaches and where the game is going.
This is a pub... Listen
Haters Ball: QB Rankings, Rest Advantage, & Front Office Facetime from 2022-05-23T15:04:17
In the first annual Unexpected Points Haters Ball, Kevin hates on a few things that have come across his radar in the last several weeks.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to... Listen
NFL Team Tiers & Week 1 Schedule from 2022-05-16T19:43:36
Kevin goes through the Week 1 betting lines, how the market has tiered NFL teams and other news from the week.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other su... Listen
Best Awards Bets (OROY, DROY, DPOY, MVP) & Mailbag from 2022-05-12T16:35:27
Kevin goes through the best bets and longshots for NFL 2022 awards and answers listener questions.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or... Listen
NFL Front Office Rankings: Best, Worst and Most Overrated from 2022-05-09T16:30:58
Ben Baldwin of the Athletic joins Kevin to talk through their front office rankings now the the 2022 NFL draft and free agency offseason is mostly complete.
This is a public episod... Listen
Post-NFL Draft Wide Receiver and Running Back Fantasy Rankings from 2022-05-04T19:47:09
Kevin goes through his post-draft models looking at the likelihood of NFL success for 2022 WRs and RBs.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribe... Listen
2022 NFL Draft Analytical Winners and Losers from 2022-05-02T15:02:50
Kevin goes through the unexpected winners and losers of the 2022 NFL draft.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus ep... Listen
2022 NFL Draft First-Round Analytical Review from 2022-04-29T13:54:18
Kevin breaks down the winner and losers of a trade-filled first round.
0:01 Intro
6:22 AJ Brown Traded to the Eagles
14:52 Hollywood Brown Traded to Cardinals
Aidan Hutchinson Falling, Evaluating the Draft Evaluators, & Mailbag from 2022-04-25T21:11:33
Kevin discusses movements in the NFL draft prop markets. Plus, why the QB evaluators are good at what they do, not what they haven't studied. Plus mailbag.
This is a public episode... Listen
Predicting the 2022 NFL Draft from 2022-04-20T21:06:32
Matt Freedman joins Kevin to discuss betting NFL draft props and the Deebo Samuel trade request news.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers... Listen
Judging Extensions for Denzel Ward, Derek Carr and Stefon Diggs from 2022-04-18T21:07:40
Kevin looks at recent player extensions and what they mean for the broader NFL landscape.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get acce... Listen
2022 Wide Receiver Prospect Rankings from 2022-04-13T22:55:30
Kevin is joined by Rich Hribar of Sharp Football Analysis to discuss the 2022 wide receiver class.
This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or... Listen
2022 NFL Draft Strategy from 2022-04-11T20:52:31
Kevin discusses the Eagles-Saints trade and the best strategy for teams drafting early in the 2022 NFL draft
ListenAnalytical 2022 Draft Quarterback Rankings from 2022-04-06T21:19:25
Jim Sannes of FanDuel and numberFire joins the pod to talk about his quarterback prospect model and what it says about the 2022 class.
ListenCrazy Wide Receiver Trade Market, Free Agency Roundup from 2022-04-04T20:31:15
Kevin talks about the shifting dynamics in the wide receiver trade market and which teams added the most value at the right prices in free agency.
ListenDigesting the New NFL Overtime Rules, How to Build a Data-Driven League from 2022-03-30T18:51:24
Sam Schwartzstein joins the pod to talk about his time building the rules at the XFL, what the NFL could do to improve its rules and what he thinks about the new overtime rules for the playoffs....
ListenThe Uncomfortable Deshaun Watson Press Conference from 2022-03-29T16:32:05
Kevin goes through what we heard from Andrew Berry, Deshaun Watson and the Browns owners in their first public appearances after the Browns traded for Deshaun Watson.
ListenTyreek Hill to the Dolphins, Diagnosing the Chiefs, Remaining QB trades from 2022-03-24T17:15:56
Kevin goes through the winners and loser of the Tyreek Hill trade, and looks back at the Chiefs strategy the last few season building around Patrick Mahomes.
ListenThe Costs and Impacts of the Davante Adams and Deshaun Watson Trades from 2022-03-21T15:31:31
Kevin goes through all the numbers for the practical costs and Super Bowl probability impacts of the big NFL trades.
ListenLessons of Free Agency, Potential Fallout of the Deshaun Watson Decision from 2022-03-17T21:16:23
Kevin talks through the main options for Watson and how the Falcons and Browns will deal with their QB situations going forward. Plus, rules for understanding free agency and what it all means f...
ListenBrady is Back, Cousins is Staying, Deshaun Watson talk from 2022-03-14T13:29:58
Kevin talks about the ramifications of Brady's return, the Vikings taking the right path with Cousins and why he's particularly troubled by the discourse around Deshaun Watson.
ListenRussell Wilson a Win-Win Trade, Rodgers Stays, How the Rest of the QB Carousel Plays Out from 2022-03-09T17:04:24
Kevin gives his data-based takes on the Russell Wilson trade and why it works for both teams.
ListenAnalytical Winners and Losers of the 2022 NFL Combine from 2022-03-07T23:11:41
Kevin goes through the results of his NFL Combine models for every offensive and defensive position.
ListenWhat NFL Combine Results Really Matter; Why Treylon Burks & Breece Hall are the WR1/RB1 from 2022-03-01T18:33:26
Kevin goes through his combine research on the measurements and drills that matter most for each position, plus why his modeling points to Treylon Burks and Breece Hall as the best prospects at ...
ListenIs Aaron Rodgers is too conservative when it counts? Kevin O'Connell saying the right things from 2022-02-22T21:08:31
Kevin discusses the difference in good and bad answers on running the ball from new coaches and whether Aaron Rodgers is too conservative in the playoffs.
ListenCan Mike McDaniel make Tua the answer for the Miami Dolphins? from 2022-02-17T15:12:51
Kevin talks with ESPN's Marcel Louis-Jacques about the Mike McDaniel hire, Tua's ceiling and a potential big-spending offseason for the Miami Dolphins.
ListenRams Win it All, Stafford Hall of Fame? from 2022-02-14T19:23:51
Kevin reviews the numbers behind the Super Bowl and looks ahead at the implications for this offseason and next year.
ListenIs Burrow Already Elite? Super Bowl Preview and Coaching Hires from 2022-02-08T23:04:43
Kevin discusses the numbers behind the Super Bowl matchup and how confident he is that the different coaching hires will be successful.
ListenBrady the GOAT Retires; The NFL's Broken Hiring Process from 2022-02-02T22:32:07
Kevin discusses if the NFL's can fix the broken hiring process for minority coaches, plus a comparison of Tom Brady to GOATs of other sports, and why his career arc is so different.
ListenBengals Shock the World, Stafford To The Super Bowl from 2022-01-31T20:55:18
Ben Brown joins Kevin to break down all the numbers and narratives behind the Conference Championships.
ListenThe Analytics GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah and Coaching/GM Hiring Cycle from 2022-01-27T21:20:44
PFF's Brad Spielberger joins Kevin to talk through all the GM and coaching hires, and what to expect in the coming week.
ListenBills/Chiefs the Greatest Game Ever? Divisional Round Reviews from 2022-01-24T21:57:40
Kevin and Ben review all the stats and narratives around the Division round.
ListenShould the Seahawks trade Russ? Divisional Previews from 2022-01-20T23:19:18
Ben Baldwin joins kevin to discuss the Seahawks future and the divisional round matchups.
ListenRams Roll, Bills Blast, Wild Card Round Review from 2022-01-18T15:15:28
Kevin reviews all the Wild Card round action with the numbers behind the narratives.
ListenSolving the Vikings Offseason, Wild Card Previews & Best Bets from 2022-01-14T04:13:01
Kevin and Ben break down the two paths the Vikings can take this offseason, plus previews of the Wild Card round.
ListenStaley's Decisions, 49ers Contenders, Colts Out, NFL Week 18 Review from 2022-01-10T23:39:08
Kevin and Ben talk through the most impactful games from Week 18 and their playoff implications.
ListenBrowns and Baker Navigating Transition, NFL Hiring Mistakes & Week 18 Best Bets from 2022-01-07T10:00
Kevin goes through an article from the Ringer on NFL higher practices, highlights stat wars, and builds a plan for the Browns to navigate the offseason.
ListenBengals Roaring into the Playoffs, NFL Week 17 Review from 2022-01-04T15:49:30
Kevin and Ben break down the week of NFL action with all the numbers behind the final scores.
ListenBucs Still No. 1, NFL Power Rankings, Week 17 Best Bets from 2021-12-31T16:04:51
Kevin goes through market-based and his own NFL power rankings, highlighting the biggest differences in public perception and reality. Plus, he gives his Week 17 best bets.
ListenChiefs are (again) the Super Bowl Favorites, MNF & Week 16 Review from 2021-12-28T17:51:56
Kevin and Ben Brown go through the Week 16 slate of games with the biggest takeaways for futures and team strength.
ListenNon-QB MVP: Jonathan Taylor or Cooper Kupp, TNF Review, Week 16 Best Bets from 2021-12-24T14:47:42
Kevin review TNF 49ers-Titans game, goes through his analysis on points added for non-QBs and gives some best bets for the weekend.
ListenPackers & Rodgers Flying High, NFL Week 15 & MNF Review from 2021-12-21T17:16:53
PFF's Ben Brown joins Kevin to talk through the Week 15 games through MNF.
ListenChiefs Keep the Crown, TNF Chiefs-Chargers Review, Week 15 Best Bets from 2021-12-17T14:45:01
Kevin breaks down the TNF matchup, who the Jags should hire as head coach and Week 15 best bets.
ListenRams Prove They're in the Elite, MNF & Week 14 Review from 2021-12-14T16:54:37
Kevin is joined by PFF's Ben Brown to talk through all the Week 14 action from an analytical perspective.
ListenTNF Review Vikings-Steelers, Belichick Brilliance, Week 14 Best Bets from 2021-12-10T16:36:01
Kevin reviews Vikings-Steelers, discusses the Belichick-McDermott discourse and gives a few best bets for this Sunday.
ListenMNF Patriots-Bills & NFL Week 13 Review from 2021-12-07T19:34:30
Kevin reviews the games from Week 13.
ListenNFL TNF Review Cowboys-Saints, Why Coaches Love the Run, Week 13 Best Bets from 2021-12-03T16:15:58
Kevin reviews the advanced stats from TNF, discusses a groundbreaking PFF study and gives his best bets for Week 13.
ListenNFL Week 12 Review, Russ Cooked, Pats March On from 2021-11-30T15:37:15
Kevin goes through the results and advanced stats for the Week 12 slate of games.
ListenThanksgiving NFL Reviews, Week 12 Best Bets from 2021-11-26T14:03:01
Kevin reviews Lions-Bear, Raiders-Cowboys and Saints-Bills. Plus, a few best bets for Sunday.
ListenNFL Week 11 Review, Brady MVP, Bills and Titans Flop from 2021-11-23T15:29:03
Kevin goes through the adjusted scores and advanced stats for the entire Week 11 slate.
ListenTNF Patriots-Falcons Review; Week 11 Best Bets from 2021-11-19T16:21:22
Kevin assesses the Patriots title chances, rants about the accurate presentation of evidence and has a few best bets for the Week 1 slate.
ListenNFL Week 10 Review, Rams in trouble, Chiefs back, & Patriots Contending from 2021-11-16T15:41:56
Kevin goes through all his advanced stats and takes from the Week 10 slate.
ListenTNF Ravens-Dolphins Review, Week 10 Best Bets, Cam and OBJ Impact from 2021-11-12T16:52:37
Kevin reviews an ugly TNF matchup and gives his best bets for this weekend's matchups.
ListenNFL Week 9 Review, Titans Rolling, Bills Falter, Successful Best Bets from 2021-11-09T16:12:27
Kevin review the Week 9 slate and his adjusted scores and best bet results.
ListenOdell Beckham Out, Aaron Rodgers Caught, NFL Week 9 Previews and Best Bets from 2021-11-05T14:20:37
Kevin reviews releasing Odell Beckham Jr., touches on the Aaron Rodgers, plus reviews of the Week 9 action and his favorite bets.
ListenNFL Week 8 Review, Chiefs offense on my radar, Bucs still the best team from 2021-11-02T14:44:13
Kevin reviews all the Week 8 NFL action using his adjusted scores, advanced stats and PFF grades.
ListenTNF Packers-Cardinals Review, NFL Week 8 Best Bets from 2021-10-29T15:24:25
Kevin reviews the thrilling Packers victory where the Cardinals were probably the better team, plus a few best bets from the Falcons-Panthers, Bills-Dolphins and Saints-Bucs games.
ListenNFL Week 7 Review, Bengals Roar, Justin Fields Apologists On Notice from 2021-10-26T14:41:54
Kevin reviews Week 7 and his adjusted scores, providing insights into teams that were better or worse than many think. Plus, he puts a few fan bases on notice for excuse making and getting ahead...
ListenBrowns-Broncos Review and Week 7 Best Bets from 2021-10-22T15:56:46
Kevin goes through the emergence of running-backs-don't-matter stud D'Ernest Johnson, the great decision-making of Kevin Stefanski and which games he's betting this Sunday. Plus, a look at a rec...
ListenNFL Week 6 Review, Derrick Henry domination, Cardinals flying high from 2021-10-19T15:05:50
Kevin walks through the Week 6 results, why Derrick Henry is valuable but not the MVP, if Belichick has lost his mojo, and why the Cardinals are not quite the best team in the NFL just yet.
ListenBucs-Eagles Review, Week 6 Best Bets and Previews from 2021-10-15T16:00:56
Kevin goes through all the numbers of a bad beat TNF contest between the Bucs and Eagles, plus his best bets for the rest of the Week 6 slate.
ListenWeek 5 Review: Best Bet Results, Bills the New AFC Kings, & Brady Defies Aging from 2021-10-12T16:18:23
Kevin review the Week 5 results, breaks down his game grades and goes over a successful week of best bets.
ListenSeahawks-Rams Analytical Review, Week 5 Best Bets and Previews from 2021-10-08T16:19:44
Kevin breaks down the Thursday night matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams, plus his favorite bets for the weekend and a detailed preview of each game.
ListenWeek 4 NFL Review: Kyler MVP & Chiefs back on track from 2021-10-05T17:12:37
Kevin goes through each Week 4 matchup, diving into advanced stats, grades and trends.
ListenWeek 4 Preview: Best Bets, Advanced Stats and Trends from 2021-10-01T19:21:46
Kevin reviews the Jaguars tough loss to the Bengal on TNF, plus he previews the entire Week 4 slate, which includes a handful of games with betting value.
ListenNFL Week 3 Review: Chiefs in trouble? Ravens disjointed? Carr Underrated? from 2021-09-28T17:10:58
Kevin goes through all the relevant advanced stats and grades from the Week 3 matchups.
ListenTNF Panthers-Texans Grade/Stats Review, Week 3 Previews from 2021-09-24T17:32:58
Kevin breaks down the TNF performances and why Sam Darnold is thriving in Joe Brady's system, plus he goes through the most important stats and trends for every Week 2 matchup.
ListenWeek 2 Review, Chiefs-Ravens Grading Breakdown, QB Rankings from 2021-09-21T18:17:57
Kevin goes through all the Week 2 action from an analytical lens, digs into why Patrick Mahomes has a relatively poor PFF grade, and puts into context where each team's quarterback stands among ...
ListenTNF Washington Football Team-New York Giants Analytical Review; Week 2 Stats and Trends to Monitor from 2021-09-17T16:00:38
Kevin details why some of the grades from the TNF matchup may not match consensus perception and goes through each remaining Week 2 game with a few stats and trends to watch.
ListenChiefs-Browns analytics review, Why the Patriots are undervalued from 2021-09-14T17:11:47
Kevin and Ryan Paganetti talk through the details of Chiefs vs Browns, including how the Browns played better than their numbers, and Kevin Stefanski had perfect decision-making. Plus, why the P...
ListenBucs-Cowboys: Not as close as the score, Week 1 Sun/Mon preview from 2021-09-10T16:16:23
Kevin looks deep into the advanced stats to show that the Bucs were more than two points better than the Cowboys, plus one thing to watch for every team playing this weekend.
ListenBucs-Cowboys TNF Preview, Galaxy Brain Idea to Break the NFL from 2021-09-08T22:23:46
Former coach and game management specialist Ryan Paganetti joins Kevin to discuss what they're looking for when they watch games and study the numbers, they break down TNF Buccaneers-Cowboys, or...
ListenFuture is now for Mac Jones, Urban Meyer's Overdue Cancellation, Game Management Review from 2021-09-01T07:00
Kevin provides insight on Mac Jones getting the Week 1 start while making the case it won't take long for Justin Fields, Urban Meyer's farcical QB competition leads to cancellation, a review of ...
ListenJJ Zachariason's 15 Bold Fantasy Football Predictions from 2021-08-25T07:00
Kevin talks to JJ Zachariason, editor-in-chief at FanDuel, about his 15 bold predictions, including Trey Lance being a top-5 quarterback, Najee Harris being a top-8 running back and DeVonta Smit...
ListenRyan Paganetti, Former Eagles Game Management and Asst Linebackers Coach from 2021-08-18T20:26:33
Kevin talks with former game mangement coach Ryan Paganetti about his time working with Chip Kelly and Doug Pederson, he takes us inside the booth and behind the scenes on how coaches view analy...
ListenRunning Backs Matter, Bifurcated QB Extension Market, Undervalued Fantasy WRs from 2021-08-11T07:00
Kevin discusses his new research that shows strong value for the top NFL runners, but still leaves questions about paying them big money. Plus, how the Josh Allen extension shifts the extension ...
ListenWhat to do about Wentz, Does Nick Chubb Matter and Fantasy RB Targets from 2021-08-04T10:07:24
(0:00-16:02) Wentz injury/Impact on the Colts moving forward and potential new faces at QB (16:03-25:04) Nick Chubb’s New contact and the Significance it has on the Browns salary ...
ListenKevin Meers, Football Strategy Fellow at Zelus Analytics, former Browns Director of Research from 2021-07-28T07:00
Kevin talks through the Aaron Rodgers agreement and what it means for Davante Adams, and how the NFLPA has failed to protect players from COVID-related financial losses. Plus, we talk with Keevi...
ListenBenefits of Early QB Extensions (Baker, Lamar, Josh), Rodgers Drama, Perspective on Darrell Henderson from 2021-07-21T07:00
Kevin talk through the Aaron Rodgers drama and why passing up a big contract isn't that important, how to view Darrell Henderson after the Cam Akers injury, why teams should be proactive extendi...
ListenMatthew Stafford Overrated; Regret Aversion from 2021-07-14T07:00
(4:55) Kevin breaks down Stafford’s PFF grades leading up to his trade to the Rams (8:00) Breaking down Stafford’s 2020 Ranking (10th) to 2021 (6th) (10:20) Kevin breaks down Stafford’s lack of ...
ListenProcessing the Process: How the Browns (and Dolphins) went from cautionary tale to contender from 2021-07-07T07:00
The Process (2:30) Browns new front office (4:45) Turning over likelihood of success to luck (8:00) Winning Championships (9:50) Letting players go (11:50) Picking the r...
ListenBill Belichick's Last Hurrah from 2021-06-30T07:00
What has Belichick been up to? (2:10) Patriots fourth down rate (9:00) Patriots trade back habits (13:30) Are the Patriots wasting draft picks (15:00) Feedback loops (28:30) How has Belichick be...
ListenNFL is getting smarter on situational aggressiveness from 2021-06-23T07:52:15
Kevin reviews his final QB rankings, looks at rookie QB data to see when they should start, and find that teams are getting smarter on situational aggressiveness.
ListenInside an NFL Front Office: David Giuliani, Browns Director of Strategy & Research from 2021-06-16T16:33:53
David Giuliani, the Browns director and strategy and research, joins Kevin to talk about how the league is becoming more focused on data, how to best communicate with coaches and other decision-...
ListenAnalytical Quarterback Rankings from 2021-06-09T07:00
Kevin quantifies the win-win nature of the Julio Jones trade to the Titans, cancels a RB-truther beat reporter, ranks the NFL quarterbacks according to analytical modeling, and challenges the no...
ListenBest (and Worst) NFL Front Offices from 2021-06-02T07:00
Kevin talks about the week's news, ranks the best and worst front office in the NFL, and talks about how we can apply insight from a new book on noise in expert opinions to the NFL.
ListenRussell Wilson: Underrated MVP Candidate from 2021-05-26T07:00
Kevin breaks down the Julio Jones trade situation from a the perspective of a front office in a two-year cap crunch, tracks year-over-year changes in MVP odds that point to Russell Wilson as a b...
ListenDan Campbell is Canceled from 2021-05-19T07:00
Kevin tries to figure out if Urban Meyer is a donkey, cancels Dan Campbell after the head coach fails Analytics 101, and tells you why Micah Parsons is a value for Defensive Rookie of the Year, ...
ListenAaron Rodgers Has No Leverage from 2021-05-12T07:00
Kevin discussed why we overestimate the leverage NFL players have to force trades, why draft reaches and a thing but steals aren't, and the value betting on Najee Harris for Offensive Rookie of ...
ListenDraft Winners & Losers from 2021-05-05T07:00
Kevin goes solo talking through every teams drafts, with a focus on positional value, trading down and why more humility is needed in draft evaluation. Plus, he talks about the dangers of the GM...
ListenNFL Draft Prop Time from 2021-04-28T07:00
Matthew Freedman of the Action Network parses what's important to pay attention to predicting the NFL draft and which draft props have the highest expected returns.
Listen2021 NFL draft QB breakdown from 2021-04-21T07:00
Benjamin Solak of the Draft Networks joins the pod to talk through his QB evaluation process, what some are missing and why Justin Fields should be the QB2 of the 2021 class.
ListenRookie Wide Receiver Rankings from 2021-04-14T07:00
JJ Zachariason of numberFire joins the pod to rank the 2021 rookie wide receiver class and explain why he's higher on Rashod Bateman and Terrace Marshall than the consensus.
ListenDarnold trade and rookie running back rankings from 2021-04-08T16:49:40
Rich Hribar of Sharp Football Analysis returns to talk about the Sam Darnold trade and ramifications for the Panthers and rookie quarterback rankings, plus he goes through his rookie running bac...
ListenThe best and worst of free agency from 2021-03-25T15:56:15
PFF cap analyst Brad Spielberger joins the pod to wrap up the first week of free agency, highlighting the best and worst moves and what it all means going forward.
ListenFree agent impact from 2021-03-17T07:00
Rich Hribar of Sharp Football Analysis joins the show to talk through a busy couple days in free agency, how the various moves affect the fantasy landscape and general rules for assessing the im...
ListenDak Pre$cott hits the jackpot from 2021-03-10T10:36:32
RJ Ochoa, editor-in-chief of Blogging The Boys, joins the pod to talk the new Dak Prescott deal, why the Cowboys can still compete with a big QB contract and which team he fears most in the NFC ...
ListenRuss-Seahawks marriage on the rocks from 2021-03-03T08:00
Michael-Shawn Dugar of The Athletic joins the show to discuss on the J.J. Watt acquisition shifts the balance of power in the NFC West, plus his reporting on Russ Wilson's dissatisfaction with t...
ListenIs Carson Wentz the answer? from 2021-02-24T13:20:26
Stephen Holder of The Athletic joins the show to discuss the Carson Wentz trade, whether it was the right move for the Colts, and how Chris Ballard and Frank Reich can build around their new qua...
Listen2021 WR Free Agent Class from 2021-02-18T08:00
Matt Harmon of Yahoo Sports and creator of the Reception Perception wide receiver rating system join the show to go through the vaunted 2021 free agency class, which receivers teams should prior...
ListenSuper Bowl review and QB carousel from 2021-02-10T08:00
PFF's salary cap analyst Brad Spielberger joins Kevin to discuss the Chiefs' mistakes in the Super Bowl and look across the landscape of QB-needy teams to figure out who should land where.
ListenSuper Bowl Prop Talk from 2021-02-03T08:00
Matt Freedman of The Action Network joins Kevin to dissect the Matthew Stafford trade, give his rationale for the Chiefs covering and talk through his favorite prop bets for Super Bowl Sunday.
ListenConference Championship review & buyer beware on Matthew Stafford from 2021-01-27T08:00
Kaelen Jones of the Ringer NFL joins Kevin to go over the bad decisions from Conference Championship Sunday, why Aaron Rodgers' legacy took a huge hit, and if Patrick Mahomes is the Michael Jord...
ListenDeshaun Watson trade talk and the future of the Texans from 2021-01-20T08:00
Aaron Reiss of The Athletic joins the show to talk Deshaun Watson trade discussions, the Texans' coaching candidates, if Jared Goff is worth top QB money, and previews of the conference champion...
ListenBenjamin Solak, The Draft Network from 2021-01-13T08:00
Kevin Cole is joined by Benjamin Solak, Senior CFB Writer from The Draft Network to talk about the loss of Doug Pederson, how it will affect the Eagles and much more.
ListenFIVETHIRTYEIGHT’s Josh Hermsmeyer from 2021-01-07T08:00
Kevin Cole is joined by FIVETHIRTYEIGHT’s Josh Hermsmeyer again to talk about the Eagles tanking situation, GM's and head coaches across the NFL and much more in this weeks episode of Unexpected...
ListenSeth Keysor, Chiefs Analyst for The Athletic from 2020-12-30T14:35:25
Kevin Cole is joined by Seth Keysor, Chiefs Analyst for The Athletic to talk about just how good Patrick Mahomes is, the likelihood of super bowl victory and everything else Chiefs.
ListenOver the Cap Founder Jason Fitzgerald from 2020-12-23T08:00
Kevin Cole is joined by Jason Fitzgerald, Founder of Over the Cap to talk the Jets, player contracts, draft capital and more.
ListenArif Hasan, The Athletic from 2020-12-17T08:00
Kevin Cole is joined by Arif Hasan, Beat writer for the Vikings to talk about, Their loss to the bucs and the impact from that on their playoff chances, and more.
ListenSheil Kapadia, The Athletic from 2020-12-10T08:00
Kevin Cole is joined by Sheil Kapadia, senior NFL writer to talk Eagles, Seahawks, Hurts replacing Carson Wentz, what Jeffrey Lurie thinks & much more.
ListenBuffalo Bills Reporter Marcel Louis-Jacques from 2020-12-02T08:00
Kevin Cole is joined by Marcel Louis-Jacques to take a deep dive into the Buffalo Bills to discuss the coaching situation and the front office.
ListenMichael Leone, Establish the Run from 2020-11-26T08:00
PFF's Kevin Cole is joined by Establish the run Director of Analytics Michael Leone to talk DFS analysis.
ListenEvan Silva, Establish the Run from 2020-11-19T14:36:26
PFF's Kevin Cole is joined by Establish the run co-founder Evan Silva to draft teams and find their super bowl winner.
ListenFilm Analyst & Football Writer Jake Burns from 2020-11-12T08:00
Film Analyst & Football Writer Jake Burns joins Kevin to talk film breakdown, the state of the Cleveland Browns, taking a broader look at the QB position and where Baker Mayfield fits in.
ListenInterview with Professional bettor Rob Pizzola from 2020-11-05T08:00
Professional bettor Rob Pizzola talks through his process, why the Seahawks and Saints are undervalued and his thoughts on rest of the Week 9 slate.
ListenInterview with the Athletic's Ben Baldwin from 2020-10-29T07:00
Ben Baldwin of The Athletic joins Kevin to talk advanced QB stats, Wilson vs Mahomes and why coaching aggressiveness is on the rise.
ListenMichael Lopez, the NFL's Director of Football Data and Analytics On How the NFL is Using Current Trends and Data from 2020-10-22T04:20:07
Michael Lopez, the NFL's Director of Football Data and Analytics joins PFF's Kevin Cole to discuss his background and how he got into football. Also on this episode, Kevin and Michael discuss ho...
ListenMatthew Freedman of FantasyLabs Talks Prop Betting from 2020-10-15T03:41:37
Matthew Freedman of FantasyLabs joins PFF"s Kevin Cole to discuss the validity of prop bets in today's market. Kevin and Matthew also discuss NFL props in the 2020 season and outline some situat...
ListenESPN's Mina Kimes Hands Out Quarter Season Awards + NFL News from 2020-10-08T14:45:44
ESPN NFL Analyst Mina Kimes joins PFF's Kevin Cole to discuss all the latest NFL news including Dwayne Haskins' benching and Bill O'Brien's ousting in Houston (3:25). Also on this episode, Mina ...
ListenJosh Hermsmeyer from FiveThirtyEight Talks Air Yards + AFC & NFC Super Bowl Contenders from 2020-10-01T05:01:24
PFF's Kevin Cole sits down with FiveThirtyEight and Establish the Run's Josh Hermsmeyer to talk Josh's famous Air Yards model (2:30) and statistical trends through 3 weeks of the NFL season (11:...
ListenRufus Peabody of Massey-Peabody Analytics and Bet the Process Podcast Talks Gambling and NFL Week 3 Action from 2020-09-24T04:25:15
PFF's Kevin Cole sits down with Rufus Peabody. Kev and Rufus talk all things gambling including Rufus' background (01:58) and what sort of data points go into the making of the Massey-Peabody's ...
ListenWeek 1 Review + Aaron Donald Slander with ESPN's Seth Walder from 2020-09-16T15:15:07
PFF's Kevin Cole welcomes ESPN's Seth Walder to discuss the NFL's opening weekend and which current narratives he's buying or selling after one week of action (2:04). Kevin and Seth also discuss...
ListenDFS Strategy + Early Season Outlook with Establish the Run's, Adam Levitan from 2020-09-10T00:56:55
PFF Data Scientist, Kevin Cole, welcomes Establish the Run's, Adam Levitan, to talk DFS and the origins of Establish the Run (01:41). Also on this episode, Kev and Adam discuss DFS strategy (06:...
ListenCoverage vs. Pass Rush + 2020 NFL QB rankings with For the Win & USA Today's, Steven Ruiz from 2020-09-02T00:51:22
PFF Data Scientist, Kevin Cole, welcomes USA Today's, Steven Ruiz. Kev and Steve discuss Steven's latest work (01:38) and dive into the age old question: coverage vs. pass rush (09:34)? Kev and ...
ListenBold Predictions for the 2020 NFL Season with JJ Zachariason from 2020-08-27T22:45:54
On the first ever episode of Unexpected Points, PFF Data Scientist, Kevin Cole sits down with FanDuel and numberFire's, JJ Zachariason. Kev and JJ discuss JJ's 15 bold predictions for the upcomi...
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