06: That sounds accurate [***] - a podcast by Wes Carroll

You have just tested positive for a condition known to affect 1% of the population. However, your doctor assures you that the test for this condition is only 90% accurate. You’re not sure whether that’s supposed to make you feel better or not. So, you tell me: assuming no other information, what’s the chance that you have the condition?
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Spiciness: *** out of ****

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