Podcasts by What if - The EUISS Foresight Podcast
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What if...Russia and Europe clashed in Africa? from 2023-12-13T15:39:48.076689
In this episode, things turn violent for an EU electoral observer mission in Gambola. Five of its staff are killed in an ambush, with evidence that a Russian private military company was involved. ...
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What if...China uses the coronavirus crisis to promote its world vision? from 2023-12-13T15:39:48.050964
In this episode, EUISS senior analyst Alice Ekman discusses with Florence Gaub how China has not just survived the pandemic crisis but is in fact thriving on it. From the Belt and Road Initiative t...
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What if...Covid-19 leads to a decline in remittances to Georgia, Ukraine&Moldova? from 2023-12-13T15:39:48.047545
In this episode, EUISS senior analyst Stanislav Secrieru discusses with Florence Gaub what economic impact Covid-19 will have on three Eastern neighbourhood states. Will the flow of remittances cea...
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What if...Covid-19 impacted the US presidential elections? from 2023-12-13T15:39:48.036639
The pandemic has hit the United States harder than any other country; and Americans are scheduled to go to the polls in November. Will the coronavirus lead to a postponement of the elections? And i...
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What if…China’s diplomacy is more predictable than we think? from 2023-12-13T15:39:47.998101
China not only has a vision for a different world order, it also has a vision for deploying different diplomatic practices. In this first episode of our mini-series on China, EUISS Senior Analyst A...
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What if...Russian society drifts apart? from 2023-12-13T15:39:47.988296
In this episode, Sinikukka Saari and Stanislav Secrieru explain to Florence Gaub why there is a danger that Russia may become divided into four Russias: differentiated in economic but also geograph...
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What is the Strategic Compass? from 2023-12-13T15:39:47.961366
In the second episode of our mini-series on strategy, Florence Gaub has two guests: the pen-holder of the Strategic Compass, Jean-Pierre van Aubel, and Daniel Fiott, the Security and Defence editor...
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What is strategic foresight? from 2023-12-13T15:39:47.957287
In this last episode of our mini-series on strategy, Security and Defence editor Daniel Fiott and Florence Gaub discuss strategy and strategic foresight: how are they different, how do they complem...
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From tech to Star Trek: doing foresight in the European Defence Agency from 2023-12-13T15:39:47.952239
In this episode, Florence Gaub and Daniel Fiott talk foresight to Jean-Francois Ripoche from the European Defence Agency: how is it used, how is it useful, and why science fiction can help get it d...
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Show me the numbers: how are economic forecasts made? from 2021-12-10T09:25
In this episode, Florence Gaub learns from Laura Bardone how the European Commission conducts economic forecasts and discovers that it does not involve a big calculator.
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Star Trek, Unicorns and looking at the future: a conversation with Maroš Šefčovič from 2021-10-22T08:15
In this special edition of our What if podcast, the EU’s first-ever commissioner for strategic foresight Maroš Šefčovič explains to Florence Gaub what foresight is, how it can help policy-making, a...
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What is strategy? from 2021-06-25T08:30
In this first episode of our mini-series on strategy, EUISS director Gustav Lindstrom explains to Florence Gaub what strategy actually is (and what it is not), how the EU has become more and more s...
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Why… did we expect democracy in the Arab world? from 2021-03-26T09:20
In this episode, Florence Gaub is the guest on her own show and explains to Giovanni Faleg why expectations of a rapid democratisation in the Arab world in 2011 were misplaced. She shows that a pro...
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Why… did we not see the rise of China coming? from 2021-03-19T09:30
In this episode, Alice Ekman explains to Florence Gaub why people commonly thought that China was going to become a democracy, or alternatively implode economically. We look at why wishful thinking...
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Why… did we underestimate Russia’s ambitions? from 2021-03-12T09:25
In this new mini-series we look at past expectations that turned out to be untrue and try to learn from past mistakes. In our first episode, Stanislav Secrieru and Florence Gaub look at Russia: alt...
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What if...Russia expands its influence in Belarus? from 2020-12-18T09:25
In this last episode of the Russia miniseries, Florence Gaub discusses with Andrew Wilson (ECFR) the future trajectory of a Belarus very much under the influence of Russia. How far might Russia go ...
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What if...Russia becomes'the Singapore of steel'? from 2020-12-11T09:25
In this episode, Janis Kluge (SWP) takes Florence Gaub to a future where Russia has reformed its economy with spectacular success. What would have to happen for this to come true, what would it mea...
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What if…China rode the techno-ticket to power? from 2020-07-17T08:25:14
While technology might be just the sum of science and industry, for China it is a pillar of its geopolitical ambition. In this last episode of our miniseries on China, Alice Ekman and Florence Gaub...
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What if…China wants to be a superpower? from 2020-07-10T13:05:11
As China gains more and more influence on the global stage, the big question is what it intends to achieve with this new status. In this second episode of our miniseries on China, Alice Ekman and F...
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What if...Africa was immune to Covid-19? from 2020-05-29T08:25:05
Projections show a possible death toll of more than 3 million for Africa, but what if these calculations turn out to be wrong? EUISS Senior Analyst Giovanni Faleg discusses with Florence Gaub wheth...
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What if...Covid-19 leads to an escalation of conflicts? from 2020-05-22T08:25:12
Currently, 43 states in the world are experiencing ongoing conflicts. What impact will the Covid-19 pandemic have on these conflicts? Will they escalate, or is there perhaps an opportunity for peac...
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What if...Putin mismanages Covid-19? from 2020-05-15T10:24:52
Russia initially seemed to be doing better than other states when it came to the pandemic, but it has since emerged that the truth is far from what the Kremlin projected. How is Putin managing Covi...
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What if...the internet didn't exist during a pandemic? from 2020-04-24T14:01:58
In this episode, EUISS associate analyst Nathalie van Raemdonck discusses a counterfactual 'What if ...?' scenario with Florence Gaub: a COVID-19 pandemic without the internet. From crisis manageme...
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What if…China and Russia partner up in cyberspace? from 2020-02-28T09:30:03
In this episode, Russia and China join forces to enforce their approach to the internet – with far-reaching geopolitical consequences that go well beyond cyberspace. What appears to be a technical ...
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What if…Russia clashes with Ukraine in the Sea of Azov? from 2020-02-21T09:10:01
In this episode, things come to a head in the Sea of Azov: Russia seizes two fishing vessels, killing one of the captains, and triggers a wave of demonstrations in Ukraine. The EU is called on to r...
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What if…Warren/Trump/Biden became president in 2021 - and what each means for the Middle East from 2020-02-14T08:15
In this episode, Simona Soare and Florence Gaub examine three different scenarios that could be in store for us come January 2021: what would it mean for the Middle East if Elizabeth Warren, Joe Bi...
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What if…another civil war became international? from 2020-01-31T10:00:24
In this episode, civil war breaks out in the fictional country of Tcherba. The government suspends mediation talks with the Uralanskian Freedom Front and accuses the People’s Republic of Fijikistan...
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What if… there was another American civil war? from 2020-01-24T10:23:48
In this episode, the United States are in their 8th week of violence across the country, involving urban and rural areas, left and right, citizens and security forces. Nathalie van Raemdonck and Ro...
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